Immigrants slow or reverse the population decline in the rural Great Plains.
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  Political Geography & Demographics (Moderators: muon2, 15 Down, 35 To Go)
  Immigrants slow or reverse the population decline in the rural Great Plains.
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Author Topic: Immigrants slow or reverse the population decline in the rural Great Plains.  (Read 1616 times)
retromike22
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« on: December 21, 2014, 04:54:09 PM »

http://www.vox.com/2014/12/18/7416639/immigrants-midwest



"when it comes to slowing down — or avoiding — demographic decline, the region has immigrants to thank."

That "Nebraska, Kansas, Oklahoma panhandle, and Northern Texas" region seems to be the largest area. What's up with southern Arkansas?
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #1 on: December 21, 2014, 05:02:33 PM »


That growth is probably due to chicken farms and processing centers down in the southern part of the state.
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retromike22
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« Reply #2 on: December 21, 2014, 05:41:06 PM »


That growth is probably due to chicken farms and processing centers down in the southern part of the state.

Ah, I see.
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #3 on: December 21, 2014, 05:44:57 PM »

Ugh, I was looking forward to Nebraska losing another seat... Sad
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True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)
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« Reply #4 on: December 21, 2014, 07:03:18 PM »

Ugh, I was looking forward to Nebraska losing another seat... Sad

Nah. For kicks, Sean Trende over at RCP did a projection at the end of last year of where changes by 2040 would show up if current trends continued.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2013/12/30/population_data_show_more_movement_south_and_west.html



As you can see, North Dakota was the only state in the Plains projected to gain or lose, and that assumed the the shale boom continues which was never a realistic possibility.
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Sol
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« Reply #5 on: December 21, 2014, 07:09:54 PM »

What are the current projections for seat changes in 2020?
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user12345
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« Reply #6 on: December 21, 2014, 07:22:13 PM »

What are the current projections for seat changes in 2020?
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Linus Van Pelt
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« Reply #7 on: December 21, 2014, 09:25:44 PM »

After the most recent census estimates, Muon2 has the following:

CO +1
FL +1
IL -1
MI -1
MN -1
NC +1
OH -1
PA -1
RI -1
TX +3
VA +1
WV -1

This differs from the above map in a couple of places. I am very confident that Muon knows how to calculate the compound growth correctly.
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muon2
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« Reply #8 on: December 21, 2014, 10:39:05 PM »

After the most recent census estimates, Muon2 has the following:

CO +1
FL +1
IL -1
MI -1
MN -1
NC +1
OH -1
PA -1
RI -1
TX +3
VA +1
WV -1

This differs from the above map in a couple of places. I am very confident that Muon knows how to calculate the compound growth correctly.

We aren't so far apart. Sean adds one to MT that I give to TX and takes one from NY that I take from MN. I look forward to a new update in a few days.
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Sol
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« Reply #9 on: December 21, 2014, 11:31:38 PM »

Isn't MN losing extremely likely?
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muon2
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« Reply #10 on: December 21, 2014, 11:49:28 PM »

Isn't MN losing extremely likely?

They barely avoided a loss in 2010 and haven't kept up since then. They need a strong turnaround to avoid a 2020 loss, though their economic success could help them this decade.
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Clarko95 📚💰📈
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« Reply #11 on: December 25, 2014, 09:40:11 PM »


GODDAMMIT.


The Rust Belt must rise again! (and very soon, hopefully)
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Obama-Biden Democrat
Zyzz
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« Reply #12 on: December 25, 2014, 11:16:25 PM »

To think that in the 2000 election, NY had 33 electoral votes and TX had 32.
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Snowstalker Mk. II
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« Reply #13 on: December 26, 2014, 09:11:05 PM »

The fact that Florida now has a higher population than New York is deeply disturbing.
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Nhoj
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« Reply #14 on: December 26, 2014, 10:00:06 PM »

The fact that Florida now has a higher population than New York is deeply disturbing.
This is one the few times you can probably blame those puerto ricans you dislike.
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ilikeverin
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« Reply #15 on: December 26, 2014, 10:19:57 PM »

Isn't MN losing extremely likely?

They barely avoided a loss in 2010 and haven't kept up since then. They need a strong turnaround to avoid a 2020 loss, though their economic success could help them this decade.

Hasn't MN been perennially on the cusp for a couple of cycles?  They can do it again!  I believe in a Minnesota Miracle!
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