New South Wales State Election, 2015
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Author Topic: New South Wales State Election, 2015  (Read 29137 times)
Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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« Reply #125 on: March 28, 2015, 02:02:40 AM »

Galaxy also says a Liberal win. Not sure on the vote, but there's apparently a 11% swing in regional NSW, and a 8% swing in Sydney.

Hurry up ABC!

I have a feeling that the Sydney swings will be biggest in the safe seats - both Labor and Liberal. It feels very much like SA, where the government was able minimise the swings in the marginal seats.
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Anton Kreitzer
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« Reply #126 on: March 28, 2015, 03:22:53 AM »

Looks like Labor is picking up The Entrance, and Lismore is too close to call.
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Anton Kreitzer
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« Reply #127 on: March 28, 2015, 03:25:42 AM »

Still very early in the night though.  On another note, the two booths reporting in Blue Mountains have swung strongly to Labor.
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morgieb
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #128 on: March 28, 2015, 03:28:26 AM »

Looks like Coogee's swing is very small.

HUGE swing in Campbelltown though off 8% of the vote.
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morgieb
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #129 on: March 28, 2015, 03:35:24 AM »

From what I can tell Labor are doing well in their heartland, but aren't gaining significant traction in the suburban marginals and the safe Coalition seats aren't seeing much correction at all.
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Knives
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« Reply #130 on: March 28, 2015, 03:44:29 AM »

After Victoria and Queensland this is just so... boring and disappointing...
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Talleyrand
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« Reply #131 on: March 28, 2015, 03:58:27 AM »

So the Coalition is on track to win in Strathfield, East Hills, and Monaro.
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morgieb
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #132 on: March 28, 2015, 03:59:54 AM »

So the Coalition is on track to win in Strathfield, East Hills, and Monaro.
Labor is "ahead" in Strathfield seemingly.
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Anton Kreitzer
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« Reply #133 on: March 28, 2015, 04:01:22 AM »

After Victoria and Queensland this is just so... boring and disappointing...

Not for me it isn't! Tongue

East Hills is holding up very well at the moment, as is Oatley.
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Talleyrand
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« Reply #134 on: March 28, 2015, 04:09:50 AM »

Looks like Morgieb is right and Labor has edged slightly ahead in Strathfield. However, Oatley has been called for the Liberals.
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morgieb
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #135 on: March 28, 2015, 04:11:19 AM »

On early figures.....Liberals have a majority in the Upper House.

Though given the lower house vote, this seems surprising.
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Talleyrand
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« Reply #136 on: March 28, 2015, 04:13:38 AM »

On early figures.....Liberals have a majority in the Upper House.

Though given the lower house vote, this seems surprising.

On the bright side the Greens might win 4 seats in the LA!
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Ebowed
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« Reply #137 on: March 28, 2015, 04:16:10 AM »

Greens in 2nd in Heffron (huzzah), Ballina, Lismore, Manly (lol).

1st in Newtown, Balmain.

3rd in Summer Hill.
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Talleyrand
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« Reply #138 on: March 28, 2015, 04:20:10 AM »

The swings in seats like Upper Hunter and Tweed are massive. They'll probably be decent targets for the Labor party if it does well next time.
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Talleyrand
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« Reply #139 on: March 28, 2015, 04:22:39 AM »

Dear God. Luke Foley has a swing AGAINST him in Auburn!
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Knives
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« Reply #140 on: March 28, 2015, 04:32:52 AM »

Dear God. Luke Foley has a swing AGAINST him in Auburn!

He is such an unappealing person tbh. And plus they Labor totally ignored demographics by parachuting him in.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #141 on: March 28, 2015, 04:35:27 AM »

Queanbeyan isn't in yet... hold your horses on Monaro.
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morgieb
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #142 on: March 28, 2015, 04:36:53 AM »

Dear God. Luke Foley has a swing AGAINST him in Auburn!

He is such an unappealing person tbh. And plus they Labor totally ignored demographics by parachuting him in.
He's won the seat at least. Will be interesting to see if he stays on. Personally, I wouldn't, but who else is there?
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Anton Kreitzer
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« Reply #143 on: March 28, 2015, 04:38:41 AM »
« Edited: March 28, 2015, 04:49:15 AM by Anton Kreitzer »

Dear God. Luke Foley has a swing AGAINST him in Auburn!

He is such an unappealing person tbh. And plus they Labor totally ignored demographics by parachuting him in.
He's won the seat at least. Will be interesting to see if he stays on. Personally, I wouldn't, but who else is there?

A small swing, but still a swing to the Liberals. Maybe Auburn's demographics are changing? Maybe, as Talleyrand said, the people of Auburn like the leader "parachuted" in?

I'm still wondering what happened in East Hills - was the smear campaign THAT effective?

Queanbeyan isn't in yet... hold your horses on Monaro.

Very true, and there's already a 1% swing to Labor there.
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morgieb
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #144 on: March 28, 2015, 04:44:14 AM »

Dear God. Luke Foley has a swing AGAINST him in Auburn!

He is such an unappealing person tbh. And plus they Labor totally ignored demographics by parachuting him in.
He's won the seat at least. Will be interesting to see if he stays on. Personally, I wouldn't, but who else is there?

A small swing, but still a swing to the Liberals. Maybe Auburn's demographics are changing? Maybe, as Talleyrand said, the people of Auburb like the leader "parachuted" in?

I'm still wondering what happened in East Hills - was the smear campaign THAT effective?

Queanbeyan isn't in yet... hold your horses on Monaro.

Very true, and there's already a 1% swing to Labor there.
Apparently. Should be overturned IMO.

Also piss off with this mandate sh**t.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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« Reply #145 on: March 28, 2015, 04:52:34 AM »

Hmm - looks like Queanbeyan is not turning out as strong...
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Talleyrand
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« Reply #146 on: March 28, 2015, 04:54:52 AM »

Hmm - looks like Queanbeyan is not turning out as strong...
Antony says these results confirm Monaro as a National hold.
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Wake Me Up When The Hard Border Ends
Anton Kreitzer
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« Reply #147 on: March 28, 2015, 04:56:20 AM »

Dear God. Luke Foley has a swing AGAINST him in Auburn!

He is such an unappealing person tbh. And plus they Labor totally ignored demographics by parachuting him in.
He's won the seat at least. Will be interesting to see if he stays on. Personally, I wouldn't, but who else is there?

A small swing, but still a swing to the Liberals. Maybe Auburn's demographics are changing? Maybe, as Talleyrand said, the people of Auburb like the leader "parachuted" in?

I'm still wondering what happened in East Hills - was the smear campaign THAT effective?

Queanbeyan isn't in yet... hold your horses on Monaro.

Very true, and there's already a 1% swing to Labor there.
Apparently. Should be overturned IMO.

Also piss off with this mandate sh**t.

By that comment, do you mean my new signature picture?

Hmm - looks like Queanbeyan is not turning out as strong...

I'm surprised about that - you'd think given the demographics that it would have greatly assisted Whan's comeback. Still got a lot of votes to count though.
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Hifly
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« Reply #148 on: March 28, 2015, 05:02:38 AM »

Well this is weird. Also note that the Liberal candidate in Auburn is the Mayor of Auburn...
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morgieb
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #149 on: March 28, 2015, 05:04:42 AM »

Dear God. Luke Foley has a swing AGAINST him in Auburn!

He is such an unappealing person tbh. And plus they Labor totally ignored demographics by parachuting him in.
He's won the seat at least. Will be interesting to see if he stays on. Personally, I wouldn't, but who else is there?

A small swing, but still a swing to the Liberals. Maybe Auburn's demographics are changing? Maybe, as Talleyrand said, the people of Auburb like the leader "parachuted" in?

I'm still wondering what happened in East Hills - was the smear campaign THAT effective?

Queanbeyan isn't in yet... hold your horses on Monaro.

Very true, and there's already a 1% swing to Labor there.
Apparently. Should be overturned IMO.

Also piss off with this mandate sh**t.

By that comment, do you mean my new signature picture?

Hmm - looks like Queanbeyan is not turning out as strong...

I'm surprised about that - you'd think given the demographics that it would have greatly assisted Whan's comeback. Still got a lot of votes to count though.
Nah, that was a bitch at Chris Ulhrmann/other commentators on the ABC.
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