Dixie Moves to Dominate GOP Primaries
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Author Topic: Dixie Moves to Dominate GOP Primaries  (Read 2192 times)
Frodo
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« on: December 24, 2014, 12:06:01 AM »

Dixie rising: How the Deep South is trying to game the GOP primary

By James Hohmann
12/22/14 5:33 AM EST


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Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2014/12/dixie-rising-113734.html#ixzz3MmuurGcD
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Brewer
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« Reply #1 on: December 24, 2014, 12:13:58 AM »

Cruz, Perry, or Huckabee.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #2 on: December 24, 2014, 01:12:05 AM »

Huckabee, Bush, Kasich, and Christie

Bush takes Florida and Texas

Christie takes Georgia and North Carolina

Kasich takes Virginia

And Huckabee takes the rest.
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King
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« Reply #3 on: December 24, 2014, 05:24:53 AM »

Glorious news
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #4 on: December 24, 2014, 09:19:31 AM »

Dixie rising: How the Deep South is trying to game the GOP primary

By James Hohmann
12/22/14 5:33 AM EST


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Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2014/12/dixie-rising-113734.html#ixzz3MmuurGcD

This is misleading.  "Texas and Florida are considering also holding a primary the same day but may wait until later in the month"?  Lol.  Texas and Florida already have their primaries scheduled for March 1.  They're not considering anything.  Tennessee also already has its primary scheduled for the same day.  So do Oklahoma and Viriginia.  Super Tuesday is already quite Southern-heavy, so adding a few more southern states like AL and MS isn't going to change things much.
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Frozen Sky Ever Why
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« Reply #5 on: December 24, 2014, 09:57:20 AM »

Fantastic. This means a lunatic/scumbag is likely to be the nominee.
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Brewer
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« Reply #6 on: December 24, 2014, 10:29:13 AM »

Fantastic. This means a lunatic/scumbag is likely to be the nominee.

That was always going to be the case. Tongue
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CountryClassSF
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« Reply #7 on: December 24, 2014, 10:58:06 AM »

RINO establishment will do what they can to disenfranchise them.
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« Reply #8 on: December 24, 2014, 11:36:49 AM »

Interestingly, in the Democratic primaries this would increase the strength of African American voters.
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Chunk Yogurt for President!
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« Reply #9 on: December 24, 2014, 11:46:37 AM »

RINO establishment will do what they can to disenfranchise them.

I don't know, the south seems pretty establishment-friendly to me.  Southern voters are the reason that people like Graham and Cochran are in the Senate.

Jen Buh will win most of the South.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #10 on: December 24, 2014, 12:01:09 PM »


Hmmmm. I don't think she's running next year. She has a good gig with NBC.
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Phony Moderate
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« Reply #11 on: December 24, 2014, 12:06:41 PM »


Hmmmm. I don't think she's running next year. She has a good gig with NBC.

Didn't you hear that, as a Five-Star General, she led America to victory in World War III?
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Ljube
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« Reply #12 on: December 24, 2014, 12:12:50 PM »

The plan behind this is to have only one establishment candidate remaining by Super Tuesday, while the conservative field remains fractured, so that moderate GOP voters could coalesce around that candidate and help him sweep the southern states, thus, practically, securing the nomination.

As part of this plan, we should expect several establishment candidates dropping out after Iowa and New Hampshire, and all but one dropping out after Nevada.
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CountryClassSF
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« Reply #13 on: December 24, 2014, 12:43:17 PM »

RINO establishment will do what they can to disenfranchise them.

I don't know, the south seems pretty establishment-friendly to me.  Southern voters are the reason that people like Graham and Cochran are in the Senate.

Jen Buh will win most of the South.

Well, the Cochran folks essentially went as deep into the gutter as they could possibly get, getting Dems to cross over and playing the race card, etc, and just squeaked across finish line.  It's theoretically possible to have a situation where several conservatives split the vote in those states, if there are still 3+ candidates contesting the race. So yeah, I agree with you.

The problem is that this is the same thing that seems to happen every year - the establishment candidate who isn't particularly liked is able to win by dividing the more conservative electorate.  We have to essentially agree to leave one conservative standing after IA/SC/NV et al, otherwise the establishment plays divide and conquer as they always do.

I noticed this in the Democrat primary of 2008 too.  They try to set the calendar to favor states that are likely to favor their preferred candidate.  Then momentum drives the remainder of the electorate.  It really is unfortunate.

I'd prefer national primaries.  Atleast in 1992 and some other years (2008 Dems even too with an odd calendar)-all voters were able to decide on the nominees
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Icefire9
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« Reply #14 on: December 24, 2014, 12:48:10 PM »

The plan behind this is to have only one establishment candidate remaining by Super Tuesday, while the conservative field remains fractured, so that moderate GOP voters could coalesce around that candidate and help him sweep the southern states, thus, practically, securing the nomination.

As part of this plan, we should expect several establishment candidates dropping out after Iowa and New Hampshire, and all but one dropping out after Nevada.

I'm not so sure that the 'establishment' candidates will all cooperate as well as you think.  These people are trying to become president, and I don't think they'll just bow out if they think they have a legitimate chance.
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HillaryLandslide2016
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« Reply #15 on: December 24, 2014, 01:04:43 PM »

That's great news for Hillary. If a racist, sexist, white old man is the Republican nominee, a Hillaryslide becomes even more likely. Smiley
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DS0816
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« Reply #16 on: December 24, 2014, 01:06:51 PM »


+1


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Libertarian Socialist Dem
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« Reply #17 on: December 24, 2014, 01:20:58 PM »

RINO establishment will do what they can to disenfranchise them.

I don't know, the south seems pretty establishment-friendly to me.  Southern voters are the reason that people like Graham and Cochran are in the Senate.

Jen Buh will win most of the South.

Well, the Cochran folks essentially went as deep into the gutter as they could possibly get, getting Dems to cross over and playing the race card, etc, and just squeaked across finish line.  It's theoretically possible to have a situation where several conservatives split the vote in those states, if there are still 3+ candidates contesting the race. So yeah, I agree with you.

The problem is that this is the same thing that seems to happen every year - the establishment candidate who isn't particularly liked is able to win by dividing the more conservative electorate.  We have to essentially agree to leave one conservative standing after IA/SC/NV et al, otherwise the establishment plays divide and conquer as they always do.

I noticed this in the Democrat primary of 2008 too.  They try to set the calendar to favor states that are likely to favor their preferred candidate.  Then momentum drives the remainder of the electorate.  It really is unfortunate.

I'd prefer national primaries.  Atleast in 1992 and some other years (2008 Dems even too with an odd calendar)-all voters were able to decide on the nominees

The thing is in the post Citizens United era all bets are kind of off. All a struggling candidate needs to do to hold on until a friendly batch of primaries is find a sugar daddy to underwrite their campaign.
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Vega
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« Reply #18 on: December 24, 2014, 01:26:55 PM »

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Rockefeller GOP
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« Reply #19 on: December 24, 2014, 06:28:18 PM »


Very curious as to why you don't utilize the very pretty red avatar function we have on this site.
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CountryClassSF
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« Reply #20 on: December 24, 2014, 07:50:05 PM »


Very curious as to why you don't utilize the very pretty red avatar function we have on this site.

+1.
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