The future of the GOP's demographics

[Padfoot]

If the GOP passed a reasonable immigration plan (that would be a no on the mass deportation and fence building) they could get the Hispanic vote to be at least 50-50.  That seems like the most likely group they could win over.

Immigration reform would help with Asian Americans as well but I think the GOP would need to drop their anti-science rhetoric to make any major headway with this group.  Although there are many religiously conservative Asians, large numbers of Asian Americans have no religion or do not subscribe to the ridiculous way that conservatives treat scientific findings.

I have no idea how the GOP could win the black vote.  Slavery, segregation, racially based poverty, and racism are so entrenched in the history of our political parties I just don't see how there will be a major reversal unless there is another major historical upheaval like the Civil War or the Civil Rights Movement.  Republicans don't do themselves any favors by passing voter ID laws and fighting affirmative action but I don't think that simply dropping those issues would help.

[Padfoot]

What Padfoot said -apart from a few token blacks, African Americans are a lost cause for the GOP, and have been since the 1960s (thank Barry Goldwater and Richard Nixon's Southern Strategy for that legacy):

 


Best to focus your outreach on Latinos and Asians. 

First, the Southern strategy was about outreach to suburban, moderate Southerners, not white racists.  And second, the GOP definitely needs to improve black outreach.  We don't need to win the black vote yet, but we need to start chipping away at the Democrats' advantage.

Those so called "moderates" we're just better at hiding their racial biases.  The flip of the south from dem to GOP is totally attributable to racial politics and it remains largely so to this day.  The southern strategy first employed by Nixon used racial dog whistles that allowed people to shield their prejudices while still openly talking about inherently racial issues.