Greek election - January 25th 2015 (user search)
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  Greek election - January 25th 2015 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Greek election - January 25th 2015  (Read 94281 times)
Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,805
Spain


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -9.04
« on: December 29, 2014, 07:45:59 AM »
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Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,805
Spain


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -9.04
« Reply #1 on: January 24, 2015, 08:26:12 AM »

Thanks for the ammunition.
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Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,805
Spain


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -9.04
« Reply #2 on: January 24, 2015, 03:15:24 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on January 24, 2015, 02:15:12 PM

Phil, I seriously doubt that.

The chances right now that SYRIZA wins in a landslide (8%+ or 10%+) tomorrow are higher than ND winning.

But... Just 3 days ago you predicted a ND win!
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Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,805
Spain


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -9.04
« Reply #3 on: January 25, 2015, 07:20:06 PM »
Quote from: Hal Jam on January 25, 2015, 07:04:55 PM
It will now be 149 or 150 seats. From my projections, 151 seems too far-fetched now. With 90% of ballots in, the gap between Syriza and ND is now back to tightening a little bit. If it widens just by 0,1 point, it will get to 150 seats.

SYRIZA has 149.41 seats right now (rounded down to 149) and To Potami 16.49 (rounded up to 17). I'm almost sure SYRIZA will get 1 seat from To Potami.
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Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,805
Spain


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -9.04
« Reply #4 on: January 25, 2015, 08:25:36 PM »
Quote from: jaichind on January 25, 2015, 08:21:00 PM
Athens and Thessaloniki are only the real places where there are significant votes outstanding.  SRYIZA is running around 37% in Athens and 34% in Thessaloniki.  If so I suspect SRYIZA's vote share will hold steady from here and end up around 36.36%

And Irakleiou.
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Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,805
Spain


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -9.04
« Reply #5 on: January 25, 2015, 08:29:12 PM »
Hey, maybe SYRIZA steals their 150th vote from PASOK and not from To Potami after all.
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Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,805
Spain


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -9.04
« Reply #6 on: January 25, 2015, 08:34:22 PM »
Quote from: Hal Jam on January 25, 2015, 08:31:01 PM
Quote from: Niemeyerite on January 25, 2015, 08:29:12 PM
Hey, maybe SYRIZA steals their 150th vote from PASOK and not from To Potami after all.
Do you mean in Parliament or right now in the counting ? Because right now the highest mean allocation of the last seat is between Potami and Syriza, excluding the other parties.

Right now in the counting. PASOK is decreasing with the last reports, while Potami seems steady.

EDIT: But I think that's a very unlikely scenario.
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