For most of the campaign (From June on...) I expected either Kerry to win or the election to end up a tie and go to the House, where Bush would win. My prediction map reflects this.
I thought that the obstacles and hatred was too much for Bush to overcome, and I'm surprised he did, although he threw away whatever he had and thus now he has 30% approval ratings.
Wow you dug that one out of the time machine.
I know your not old enough to have voted, but judging by some of your posts you seem pretty typical of that 15% block of voters who voted for Bush in 04, but now is disgusted with the administration, which is shown in his approval #'s.