Who will be the LEAST popular new governor?

[Keystone Phil]

If Wolf is unpopular enough, he very likely won't even run again. If he's anywhere near Corbett levels, he definitely won't run again. I'm already very much a believer that Casey has a strong chance at being the nominee in 2018.

His seat is too precious. Too risky

The PA Dems don't have a bad bench. They could easily find someone to replace Casey.

Such as Schwartz?

She'd want to but she'd probably be too old by 2018.

Congressman-elect Boyle would surely run whenever there's an open seat. 2018 would almost be perfect for him.

Who do you think would be the strongest Republican Senate nominee for Pennsylvania in 2018?

We're still too far out to say. Luckily, we have a bench.

[Vega]

If Wolf is unpopular enough, he very likely won't even run again. If he's anywhere near Corbett levels, he definitely won't run again. I'm already very much a believer that Casey has a strong chance at being the nominee in 2018.

His seat is too precious. Too risky

The PA Dems don't have a bad bench. They could easily find someone to replace Casey.

Such as Schwartz?

She'd want to but she'd probably be too old by 2018.

Congressman-elect Boyle would surely run whenever there's an open seat. 2018 would almost be perfect for him.

Who do you think would be the strongest Republican Senate nominee for Pennsylvania in 2018?

We're still too far out to say. Luckily, we have a bench.

And so do the Democrats, thankfully.

[BigSkyBob]

Rauner. He has opted to captain the Titantic Illinois as it moves inexorably towards the fiscal iceberg.

[Pandaguineapig]

For some reason I can't see Ducey being popular

[Rockefeller GOP]

Rauner. He is a polarizing figure.

How is a moderate Republican who just got elected in a deep blue state and hasn't served a day in office "polarizing"?

[free my dawg]

Rauner because Illinois.

[Mister Mets]

I like Hogan, but he seems to be the best bet.

In the last 50 years, two other Republicans were elected Governor of Maryland. One lost reelection, and a comeback attempt. Spiro Agnew was brought down by a federal investigation for things he did in the two years he was Governor.

Others are vulnerable, too. Rauner's close, given Illinois, but he may be wealthy enough to avoid elements of corruption. Ricketts bombed first time he ran in Nebraska. Wolf has high expectations in a state that booted an incumbent. Walker has a low floor, as an independent reliant on voters from both parties. Raimondo doesn't have her party's base.

[LeBron]

Probably Rauner. He's set a new record in how fast it takes for an Illinois Governor to get hit with a corruption scandal, and he's destined for failure. He seems to me like a governor that's willing to abuse his veto power as well, and should that happen, that won't bode well for his approvals either.

[Mr. Illini]

Rauner because all the anti-Quinn Democrats who voted for him will realize he is a Republican.

[Wake Me Up When The Hard Border Ends]

Rauner, given that Illinois governors have a history of being absorbed into the corrupt IL state political machine.

The IL state political machine reminds me of New South Wales here in Australia, where the Labor government, who were incredibly corrupt, were defeated in a landslide back in 2011. With the term ending in March this year, a significant number of  members in the Liberal/National government, including the now ex-Premier, have now been caught out for corruption themselves.

[dmmidmi]

Rauner, because nobody holding an elected office is ever popular in Illinois.

[dmmidmi]

Rauner, because nobody holding an elected office is ever popular in Illinois.

Obama

Every rule has an exception.

[IceSpear]

Rauner, because nobody holding an elected office is ever popular in Illinois.

Obama

Every rule has an exception.

A better rule would be "Nobody who is governor of Illinois is ever popular". Both Durbin and Obama were in pretty good shape.

[Suburbia]

Definetly Rauner. With his anti-union credentials, the Democrats will want to pick up this seat. It will be No. 1 in 2018 for the Democrats.

[President Johnson]

I feel like Rauner was elected because of Quinn's unpopularity rather than his positions, so him.

I agree. The same with Wolf, he was elected because Corby was very unpopular.

[Badger]

I feel like Rauner was elected because of Quinn's unpopularity rather than his positions, so him.

I agree. The same with Wolf, he was elected because Corby was very unpopular.

The odds are just a TAD different for a Republican running in IL vs. a Democrat running in PA.