If only these Democrats ran, who would become the nominee?

[Blue3]

If only these Democrats ran, who would become the nominee?

Some names are deliberately excluded.

And NOT who would you like to win, but who would win.

[morgieb]

Unfortunately I suspect it'd be Cuomo. He'd have Wall Street behind him at least (and certain parts of the establishment) and the alternatives aren't flash.

[IceSpear]

Sadly, Cuomo would start out as the frontrunner. But it would be very unpredictable.

[TDAS04]

O'Malley is my guess. 

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

O'Malley is my guess. 

[Cory]

O'Malley is my guess. 

[Libertarian Socialist Dem]

Al Franken, and then we'd get the liberal version of Reagan.

[Suburbia]

O'Malley. Cuomo and Nixon are not liked anymore by the Democratic base, and Villagoroisa is somewhat not garnering attention as before.

[politicus]

Frankenslide.

[Vega]

Probably Cuomo.

[AelroseB]

Cuomo by a mile.

Martin O'Malley wouldn't gain any traction whatsoever - why is there such adulation for him on this board?  He has no merits, and Maryland obviously doesn't care for him.

[Progressive]

It would come down to Cuomo and anti-Cuomo. Unfortunately for O'Malley, his LG and the 2014 Dem candidate's significant loss hurts his chances.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

I'll just break them down into catagories

Definitely wouldn't get it:
Joe Manchin
Andrew Cuomo
Jay Nixon

Pretty unlikely they'd get it:
Jim Webb
Ed Rendell
Steve Bullock

A contender, but not the most likely:
Howard Dean
Antonio Villaraigosa

The most likely ones:
Luis Gutierrez
Martin O'Malley
Tammy Baldwin
Al Franken


   

[SWE]

Whoever ends up being the strongest anti-cuomo candidate. Most likely O'Malley or Franken.

[IceSpear]

I'll just break them down into catagories

Definitely wouldn't get it:
Joe Manchin
Andrew Cuomo
Jay Nixon

Pretty unlikely they'd get it:
Jim Webb
Ed Rendell
Steve Bullock

A contender, but not the most likely:
Howard Dean
Antonio Villaraigosa

The most likely ones:
Luis Gutierrez
Martin O'Malley
Tammy Baldwin
Al Franken   

I don't think you can dismiss Cuomo that easily. He'd easily be the most well funded in this field, which is a fairly important factor.

Why would Luis Gutierrez be likely? Random House members tend to be relegated to a side show in primaries, and the early states such as IA/NH/SC aren't exactly booming with Hispanics, which would presumably be his base.

[Mister Mets]

Interesting list.

I'd go with Al Franken. He seems like he'd be able to get progressive support, and appeal to donors. I think he'd do well in debates and speeches, to say nothing of retail politics.

Runner-ups would be Tammy Baldwin (the only one/ appeal to progressives), Andrew Cuomo (best resume) and Howard Dean (name recognition/ political talent.)

Webb would be a strong nominee, but doesn't seem like a Democratic primary voter's ideal candidate. Joe Manchin is too conservative. Martin O'Malley is too bland, and has a Republican successor. Steve Bullock's too obscure. Jay Nixon's vulnerable due to the race riots in Missouri.  Antonio Villaraigosa has too many skeletons. Luis Guiterrez is probably not in the position to capitalize on a desire for a Hispanic nominee (Hispanics don't dominate early primaries to the extent African-Americans do, He's a generic congressman.) Ed Rendell's too old.

[Xing]

I think it would go to O'Malley. Yes, Cuomo would have a lot of financial help, but I don't think money would be enough to offset the problems he has with the Democratic base.

[Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas]

Baldwin would create an Obama-like effect among the primary base. Not only is she a two-for-one first, but she's far more vocally left-wing than Obama was when he was running.

She would not be able to pivot to the center for the general, though, which would likely doom her campaign against someone like Bush or Walker.