Canadian by-elections, 2015
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Author Topic: Canadian by-elections, 2015  (Read 60939 times)
Hatman 🍁
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« Reply #75 on: February 05, 2015, 09:41:20 PM »
If Rob Ford can still be a councillor, Wynne isn't going anywhere.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #76 on: February 05, 2015, 09:44:17 PM »
No. Though the maximum sentence for those 2 is 5 years in jail.

Shawbonquit 2829, Thibeault 2459, 88/238.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #77 on: February 05, 2015, 09:44:49 PM »
Adam: The OLP, PCAA and PLQ all beg to differ.
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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #78 on: February 05, 2015, 09:46:13 PM »
Thibeault is losing by a decent amount. I was cynical enough to think he'd run away with the race because no one would care what he did. Even if he wins I'm glad to be proven wrong.
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136or142
Adam T
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« Reply #79 on: February 05, 2015, 09:48:22 PM »
Quote from: RogueBeaver on February 05, 2015, 09:44:49 PM
Adam: The OLP, PCAA and PLQ all beg to differ.

Huh?
I appreciate you trying to help me, but I honestly don't know what you mean by that.

Hatman, Rob Ford, for all his many faults, never tried to bribe anybody that we know of.  Outside of allegedly smoking crack, I don't believe he actually committed any crime.
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136or142
Adam T
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« Reply #80 on: February 05, 2015, 09:50:08 PM »
Quote from: RogueBeaver on February 05, 2015, 09:18:29 PM
10/238: 146 Thibault, 113 Shawbonquit. Really wish we had poll maps like the US, would make guesstimates easier.

Really? You could actually know what's going on in Sudbury with a map? I'm impressed.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #81 on: February 05, 2015, 09:50:52 PM »
Shawbonquit 3592 Thibeault 3320, 108/236.
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #82 on: February 05, 2015, 09:51:21 PM »
It seems to be ending up close to my predictions. A win for ethics in politics, I'd say.
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MaxQue
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« Reply #83 on: February 05, 2015, 09:52:14 PM »
Quote from: Adam T on February 05, 2015, 09:50:08 PM
Quote from: RogueBeaver on February 05, 2015, 09:18:29 PM
10/238: 146 Thibault, 113 Shawbonquit. Really wish we had poll maps like the US, would make guesstimates easier.

Really? You could actually know what's going on in Sudbury with a map? I'm impressed.

Well, we would know if those areas voted Liberal or NDP last time.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #84 on: February 05, 2015, 09:52:18 PM »
Adam: Alberta Tories, Ontario Grits and Quebec Grits. As for poll maps, if we had those we could know where the votes are coming from.
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #85 on: February 05, 2015, 09:53:40 PM »
Quote from: Adam T on February 05, 2015, 09:50:08 PM
Quote from: RogueBeaver on February 05, 2015, 09:18:29 PM
10/238: 146 Thibault, 113 Shawbonquit. Really wish we had poll maps like the US, would make guesstimates easier.

Really? You could actually know what's going on in Sudbury with a map? I'm impressed.
Just juxtapose the results with
http://www.election-atlas.ca/ont/107/88.php?e=2014
and you can see how things are shaping up early on.
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #86 on: February 05, 2015, 09:54:59 PM »
The gap is closing now, Shawbonquit ahead by 2.2 points right now.
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Hatman 🍁
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« Reply #87 on: February 05, 2015, 09:56:32 PM »
Quote from: Adam T on February 05, 2015, 09:50:08 PM
Quote from: RogueBeaver on February 05, 2015, 09:18:29 PM
10/238: 146 Thibault, 113 Shawbonquit. Really wish we had poll maps like the US, would make guesstimates easier.

Really? You could actually know what's going on in Sudbury with a map? I'm impressed.

Are you aware of what forum this is? Tongue
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Hatman 🍁
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« Reply #88 on: February 05, 2015, 09:57:36 PM »
People are tweeting that the Liberals are ahead Sad
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #89 on: February 05, 2015, 09:59:06 PM »
Quote from: 🍁 Hatman on February 05, 2015, 09:57:36 PM
People are tweeting that the Liberals are ahead Sad
Do they know something we don't? Paikin is tweeting that the NDP leads.
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #90 on: February 05, 2015, 09:59:58 PM »
Quote from: New Canadaland on February 05, 2015, 09:59:06 PM
Quote from: 🍁 Hatman on February 05, 2015, 09:57:36 PM
People are tweeting that the Liberals are ahead Sad
Do they know something we don't? Paikin is tweeting that the NDP leads.

Typically someone at a party HQ will have more up to date (if less accurate) numbers.
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136or142
Adam T
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« Reply #91 on: February 05, 2015, 10:00:46 PM »
Quote from: 🍁 Hatman on February 05, 2015, 09:57:36 PM
People are tweeting that the Liberals are ahead Sad

What difference? It's going to go back and forth, or at least the lead is going to narrow and widen.
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #92 on: February 05, 2015, 10:04:16 PM »
They could be right. The NDP lead is still shrinking on Elections ON.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #93 on: February 05, 2015, 10:04:18 PM »
Shawbonquit 5174, Thibeault 5116, 150/238.
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #94 on: February 05, 2015, 10:04:32 PM »
Quote from: Adam T on February 05, 2015, 10:00:46 PM
Quote from: 🍁 Hatman on February 05, 2015, 09:57:36 PM
People are tweeting that the Liberals are ahead Sad

What difference? It's going to go back and forth, or at least the lead is going to narrow and widen.

No indication so far that the NDP will catch up, but we'll see.
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Hatman 🍁
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« Reply #95 on: February 05, 2015, 10:05:36 PM »
According to Sid Ryan:

Libs 8471 NDP 7551 After 193 polls
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #96 on: February 05, 2015, 10:08:02 PM »
SadSadSadSadSadSadSadSadSadSadSadSadSadSadSadSadSadSadSadSadSadSadSadSadSadSadSadSadSadSadSadSadSadSadSad

SCREW YOU SUDBURY. SCREW YOUR BIG NICKEL. SCREW YOUR GIANT SMOKE STACK.
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #97 on: February 05, 2015, 10:10:10 PM »
Wow that was a turn for the worse.
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Hash
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« Reply #98 on: February 05, 2015, 10:20:38 PM »
The Liberal lead is now over 1,000. Amazing how it turned around.
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136or142
Adam T
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« Reply #99 on: February 05, 2015, 10:23:25 PM »
Why would the Liberals have gained here and the NDP dropped, when it seems that Wynne is almost as bad a premier as McGuinty?

The only thing I can think of is that the voters are punishing the NDP for the need of the by election in the first place.
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