Canadian by-elections, 2015

[Krago]

Here's the results map from the recent Sudbury by-election.



And the results from 2014 general election, for comparison.




And John C. Turmel finally won a poll in a by-election!  I'm 99.99% certain it is an error (the NDP is listed as having three votes in Poll 86), but a win's a win!

http://www.elections.on.ca/NR/rdonlyres/7849B894-4C4F-490E-9E8C-271BCF0C0D4D/6461/F0244ED088.pdf

[Krago]

Final results:

Cape Breton Centre
David Wilson (Lib) 3060 votes (49.02%) (+5.81)
Tammy Martin (NDP) 2538 votes (40.66%) (-4.63)
Edna Lee (PC) 644 votes (10.32%) (-1.17)

Sydney-Whitney Pier
Derek Mombourquette (Lib) 3794 votes (49.05%) (+5.02)
Madonna Doucette (NDP) 2332 votes (30.15%) (-19.22)
Brian MacArthur (PC) 1609 votes (20.80%) (+14.20)

The Liberal victor in CBC is David Wilton.  David Wilson is the disgraced former MLA for Glace Bay.

[Krago]

Notley calls Calgary Foothills provincial by-election for Sept. 3

[Krago]

In 1988, people in Welland and Thorold voted in a provincial by-election on November 3, a municipal election on November 14 and a federal election on November 21.

[Krago]

There will be two by-elections in Quebec. Today, Gilles Ouimet (PLQ) resigned. He was the MNA for Fabre (Laval West). Margeurite Blais (also PLQ) resigned last week. She was the MNA for St-Henri--Ste-Anne (Montreal Southwest).

If Orange Wave II succeeds, I wonder if Pierre Ducasse will run provincial NPD-Quebec candidates in those two ridings.  That would really shake up Quebec politics.

[Krago]

What better time!... but this would be very interesting to try and read; using 2011 federal figures both would go NPDQ correct? in Particular Saint-Henri--Sainte-Anne looks to be a good fit for the NDP, QS tends to poll over 10% and they would not be the happiest with a NPDQ running. I'm actually really hopeful that they do run candidates!

Transposing the results of the 2011 Federal Election onto the 125 Quebec provincial ridings gives this result:

NDP 101
Lib 10
Cons 8
BQ 6

Fabre would be the NDP's 5th best seat: NDP 51% LIB 18% BQ 16% CONS 12% GRN 2%

Saint-Henri--Sainte-Anne would be the NDP's 18th best seat: NDP 46% BQ 22% LIB 20% CONS 8% GRN 3%

[Krago]

QC: PQ MNA and Chief Opposition Whip Marjolain Dufour (René Lévesque) resigning for health reasons effective next week.

... that's three by-elections now in La Belle eh?

René-Lévesque would be the NDP's 52nd best seat: NDP 51% BQ 34% CONS 10% LIB 3% GRN 2%

Also, it lies west of Sept-Îles - Pierre Ducasse's hometown - and 3/4 of the population resides within the federal riding of Manicouagan, where he ran in 2004 and 2006 (and tried for the NDP nomination this time).