2014 Gubernatorial Races by CD

[Miles]

^ Hogan's margin in CD1 is also pretty crazy. 77% is a Deep South/Appalachia-like performance.

[smoltchanov]

^ Hogan's margin in CD1 is also pretty crazy. 77% is a Deep South/Appalachia-like performance.

And almost 48% in 8th is also "not bad". Of course, 8th includes parts of Carroll and Frederick, but AFAIK it's most populated part is Montgomery, which is uber Democratic now (no Republican officeholders of any stature).

[Miles]

^ Yeah, from my county breakdown sheet, 63% of the votes in CD8 came from Montgomery County. Brown was still running about 16% behind Obama there, though.

[Mr.Phips]

^ Hogan's margin in CD1 is also pretty crazy. 77% is a Deep South/Appalachia-like performance.

And almost 48% in 8th is also "not bad". Of course, 8th includes parts of Carroll and Frederick, but AFAIK it's most populated part is Montgomery, which is uber Democratic now (no Republican officeholders of any stature).

I expected the 8th to be fairly close.  The 5th was pretty bad too.  That district should not have been within single digits given that PG county makes up the vast majority of its votes.

[Miles]

^ Actually, only 42% of the vote in CD5 came from PG. Even in 2012, it was 44%.

[Mr.Phips]

^ Actually, only 42% of the vote in CD5 came from PG. Even in 2012, it was 44%.

Oh really?  Hmm.  Well even so, that portion of PG voted around 90% for Obama and the rural counties are not THAT bad for Democrats.  Any Democrat should be able to manage the high fifties in that district. 

[Miles]

I'm aiming to have TX out in the next few days, for both Senate and Governor.

As a 'preview,' I was also curious how Wendy Davis did her in own State Senate seat. She actually would have lost it 53/46. Going further up the ballot, Cornyn would have carried it by almost 16%.

If she ran for reelection, she would have obviously spent more time campaigning in the district, but there's really no guarantee she would have made up the 13.5K votes she'd need to carry the district. Maybe running for Governor was the right call. Go big or go home, I guess (especially in Texas).

[ElectionsGuy]

Its amazing that Baker almost won MA-1

[Maxwell]

Its amazing that Baker almost won MA-1

Interestingly enough, this was the third party candidates highest performance, suggesting voters in the district were dissatisfied with Coakley more there.

[RI]

Fallin vs. Dorman
OK-01: Fallin 58.67% (97,995), Dorman 38.36% (64,068)
OK-02: Fallin 52.23% (84,994), Dorman 43.11% (68,835)
OK-03: Fallin 61.14% (104,231), Dorman 35.61% (60,711)
OK-04: Fallin 53.48% (88,811), Dorman 43.25% (71,820)
OK-05: Fallin 52.26% (77,466), Dorman 44.85% (66,483)
Either OK-04 or OK-05: Fallin 50.89% (6,801), Dorman 47.31% (6,322)

[badgate]

I'm aiming to have TX out in the next few days, for both Senate and Governor.

As a 'preview,' I was also curious how Wendy Davis did her in own State Senate seat. She actually would have lost it 53/46. Going further up the ballot, Cornyn would have carried it by almost 16%.

Do you mean if Wendy Davis had run for US Senate she would have lost her state Senate district by 16%? Sorry, confused by the wording

[Miles]

^ As in it voted for Cornyn over Alameel by 16%.

[Miles]

Texas

[Miles]

The NY State Board of Elections had results for the rest of the districts:

[Maxwell]

Cuomo won the 11th by 15, while Grimm won the 11th by 13. Look at that ballot splitting.

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

Cuomo won the 11th by 15, while Grimm won the 11th by 13. Look at that ballot splitting.

That really just goes to show how horrible Astorino is. 

[ElectionsGuy]

Cuomo won the 11th by 15, while Grimm won the 11th by 13. Look at that ballot splitting.

That really just goes to show how horrible Astorino is. 

No, Astorino did outstanding upstate. There was a clear division between upstate and the NYC area in the governors race. Staten Island is usually Republican leaning, but I don't really know why Cuomo won it by so much.

[Miles]

^ On RRH, they compared NY to CA, and said that Astornio really showed how bad Kashkari was. Neither state had a Senate race to drive up turnout and the Republicans in the Governor's races lost by double-digits, but the Congressional sitaution in the two states was like day and night.

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

Cuomo won the 11th by 15, while Grimm won the 11th by 13. Look at that ballot splitting.

That really just goes to show how horrible Astorino is. 

No, Astorino did outstanding upstate. There was a clear division between upstate and the NYC area in the governors race. Staten Island is usually Republican leaning, but I don't really know why Cuomo won it by so much.

I'll give him credit for outperforming Palladino, but someone from Westchester really ought to have cleaned up in Staten Island. It's just extraordinarily difficult to win statewide when SI/LI and upstate are often divided. I should add that winning Suffolk's not a bad accomplishment either. Probably just expecting too much due to the national wave.

[Maxwell]

Cuomo won the 11th by 15, while Grimm won the 11th by 13. Look at that ballot splitting.

That really just goes to show how horrible Astorino is. 

It also goes to show how bad Recchia is, to under-perform Cuomo so significantly.

[IceSpear]

Cuomo won the 11th by 15, while Grimm won the 11th by 13. Look at that ballot splitting.

That really just goes to show how horrible Astorino is. 

No, Astorino did outstanding upstate. There was a clear division between upstate and the NYC area in the governors race. Staten Island is usually Republican leaning, but I don't really know why Cuomo won it by so much.

Apparently Staten Islanders see corruption as a virtue.

[muon2]

Texas

The impressive result here is that there were no close Pub-winning CDs. CD 23 was closest with Abbott at 56-42. The power of gerrymandering.

[Miles]

Illinois

Summary:


Detailed breakdowns.

[smoltchanov]

Quinn managed to lose both 8th and 17th almost by double-digits? And won 9th only by 10? Not surprised that he lost rather convincingly then...

[Miles]

^ In fairness, CD17 swung about 5% to Quinn, but it was the swings around suburban Chicago that killed him.

2010 by CD for reference.