Nevada 2014 Statewide Races by CD

[Miles]

I broke down all six NV statewide elections by CD (and as a Democrat, I was cringing the entire time):

GOVERNOR:


LG:


SOS:


AG:


TREASURER:


CONTROLLER:


Ross Miller was the only Democrat to carry CD4; he was the only one to net enough votes out of Clark County to drown out the rural counties.

And here are statewide averages by CD. Usually, my statewide averages are just based on two-party results, but third parties do well in NV, so it seemed wrong to exclude them. I clumped together the Libertarians/Indies and the None of These votes to make the 'Other' category.

At first, I didn't include the Governor's race, as it wasn't as competitive as the others. So here's the statewide averages by CD excluding the Governor's race:



Finally, with Sandoval included, the total Republican advantage goes from +11 to +17:

[free my dawg]

Kids, this is why you run competitive candidates everywhere you can.

[ElectionsGuy]

Turnout disaster really sunk the D's everywhere in Nevada this cycle, they have the opportunity to get lots of offices back in 2018, but until then, literally everything on the state level is Republican controlled. Also, I see Horsford's problem was that he didn't run ahead of the standard GOP margin in NV-04, not that he had any problems himself. He could certainly get the seat back in 2016.

[Vosem]

=
LG:

I was impressed but not surprised when I saw that Sandoval won NV-1, but for Democrats to lose that district in a race that had been thought of as competitive at one point is just mind-blowing.

[RogueBeaver]

^ Guv was never competitive.

[Vosem]

^ Guv was never competitive.

Quoted the LG race -- Hutchinson v. Flores was thought of as competitive at one point

[Miles]

Turnout disaster really sunk the D's everywhere in Nevada this cycle, they have the opportunity to get lots of offices back in 2018, but until then, literally everything on the state level is Republican controlled. Also, I see Horsford's problem was that he didn't run ahead of the standard GOP margin in NV-04, not that he had any problems himself. He could certainly get the seat back in 2016.

Here's just CD4, comparing the votes that Democrats got in Clark County vs the rest of the district:



Other than Miller, who actually carried the district, Horsford actually did the best. In a Presidential year, I think he could pretty easily make up that deficit of less than 4K votes.

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FWIW, turnout in NV-01 was by far the lowest.

[Adam Griffin]

Um, how often does NV-1 have only 1/3 to 1/2 of the turnout of the other CDs? I didn't think 70% of the population there was undocumented.

[Mr.Phips]

Only Democrats could allow something like this too happen.  Would Republicans all fail to vote in an election because they didn't have a good gubernatorial candidate?  Its as if Democrats are animals that only know to vote if the party literally drags them to the polling booth.  Disgusting.