Mexico June 7th 2015 elections

[jaichind]

El Bronco AHEAD IN NL RACE: FINANCIERO/PARAMETRIA exit POLL in NL

"El Bronco," had at least a 6-point lead in exit polls conducted by the television network TV Azteca and other media.

 

[jaichind]

Parametria exit poll has PRI ahead in Guerrero

[ag]

So far, PAN is declaring itself ahead in Queretaro, SLP and Colima (?). Sonora and BCS are still voting. Both PRD and PRI have claimed victory in Michoacan. PRD has claimed victories in 8 out of 16 boroughs of DF (including Miguel Hidalgo and Iztapalapa). But, of course, so far there are no numbers - another 22 minutes before we have PREP up, and a further 30 minutes before Lorenzo speaks.

[ag]

El Bronco AHEAD IN NL RACE: FINANCIERO/PARAMETRIA exit POLL in NL

"El Bronco," had at least a 6-point lead in exit polls conducted by the television network TV Azteca and other media.

 

El Norte exit poll is

El Bronco 47%
PRI 28%
PAN 22%

If that is the case, PRI is in for an unpleasant night

[jaichind]

Parametría exit polls has PRI ahead in Colima and PRI PRD neck-to-neck in Michoacan.

[jaichind]

El Bronco AHEAD IN NL RACE: FINANCIERO/PARAMETRIA exit POLL in NL

"El Bronco," had at least a 6-point lead in exit polls conducted by the television network TV Azteca and other media.

 

El Norte exit poll is

El Bronco 47%
PRI 28%
PAN 22%

If that is the case, PRI is in for an unpleasant night

Yes, but TV Azteca has El Bronco beating PRI by 6% only 39-33.

[jaichind]

What is going on with PREP?  They should be coming out with prelim results now.  Still nothing.

[ag]

What is going on with PREP?  They should be coming out with prelim results now.  Still nothing.

A few minutes delay is not strange. This is Mexico: we do nothing on time.

[jaichind]

What is going on with PREP?  They should be coming out with prelim results now.  Still nothing.

A few minutes delay is not strange. This is Mexico: we do nothing on time.

Yes, I been to Mexico, namely Oaxaca, years ago.  Just like India, things are not on time, sometimes by hours.

[ag]

What is going on with PREP?  They should be coming out with prelim results now.  Still nothing.

A few minutes delay is not strange. This is Mexico: we do nothing on time.

PREP is on.

[jaichind]

Exit polls has PAN slightly ahead in SLP governor.

[jaichind]

What is going on with PREP?  They should be coming out with prelim results now.  Still nothing.

A few minutes delay is not strange. This is Mexico: we do nothing on time.

PREP is on.

Really?  I still do not get anything.

[jaichind]

I see it now.  Thanks.

[jaichind]

Exit polls has PAN slightly ahead in Querétaro.  This is looking like a below average night for PRI.

[jaichind]

Financiero exit poll on lower house election

PRI             33
PAN            25
PRD            12
Morena        8
PVEM           7
MC               5
PANAL          4
PT                2

PAN doing better than pre-election polls,  Left parties doing worse.  PRI-PVEM about par with pre-election polls.

 

[ag]

Overall, looks slightly worse for PRI and slightly better for PAN then I would have expected. Hopefully, no majority for PRI/PVEM.

[jaichind]

Looking at the very little vote count coming in for Lower House, Morena is doing pretty well relative to PRD-PT.  Of course exit polls suggest otherwise.

[jaichind]

Early results seems to show that the new parties, PH and PES not doing badly.  PES is even above the threshold, which is unlikely to hold.

[Oak Hills]

Does anyone know where to find results?

[ag]

Does anyone know where to find results?

there are prep links on the previous page of this thread. Very slow, though.

[jaichind]

Does anyone know where to find results?

there are prep links on the previous page of this thread. Very slow, though.

Yeah.  This year the results are coming in slower than normal.

[jaichind]

With 6.28% of the votes in

PAN          20.54
PRI           27.67
PRD            6.77
PVEM          8.07
PT               3.28
MC              4.84
PANAL         4.59
Morena      10.50
PH              2.33
PES            4.06
Ind             1.07
Other          0.26
Null            5.97

[ag]

Does anyone know where to find results?

there are prep links on the previous page of this thread. Very slow, though.

Yeah.  This year the results are coming in slower than normal.

There is a reason for that. In previous elections, in states that had both state and federal elections (this year these involve about 60% of voters nationwide) there would be 2 commissions in each precinct: one for the state election and one for the federal. This year there is one commission for everything.  In particular, in previous elections you first got the federal ballots, voted with them, then you went to the state table, got the state ballots and voted again. This year you got all ballots at the same desk. This means that before they even start counting they have to make sure the ballots are in correct boxes (previously, you could only have confusion between federal and between state ballots, but not between them). And then the same people have to count both federal and state votes, fill out two sets of actas and then send them to two different PREPs. Note, that the states with two elections are the main culprits this year: they have barely started reporting.

[ag]

Looking at the very little vote count coming in for Lower House, Morena is doing pretty well relative to PRD-PT.  Of course exit polls suggest otherwise.

Even more notable is the fact that altogether the leftists are winning very few seats on FPTP: the natural consequence of the splintered vote.

[jaichind]

With 7.71% of the votes in FPTP leads are

PRI-PVEM         116
PAN                   67
Morena              20
PRD-PT              18
PRI                    18
MC                    14
PRD                    5
PANAL                2
PES                    1
Ind                     1

Since in some places only dozens of votes are counted these numbers will jump around

Vote share

PAN          20.65
PRI           27.37
PRD            7.11
PVEM          7.96
PT               3.25
MC              5.03
PANAL         4.49
Morena      10.50
PH              2.32
PES            4.02
Ind             1.04
Other          0.26
Null            5.94