2016 and beyond...

[jaichind]

I say Walker wins.

[jaichind]

Not all is lost for Walker.  That Walker outperformed Romney in Indiana bodes well for places like Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.  It might come down to Florida.

[jaichind]

VA results not that bad for Walker.  In 2012 Obama won by 3.9% and last known RCP average for VA has Clinton by 3.9%.  It seems Clinton is slightly over-performing Obama in 2012.  So Clinton is beating RCP by a very small margin so Walker is beating exit polls.  There is plenty of room for Walker to win FL and WI given last known RCP.

[jaichind]

I still think Walker pulls it out but it seems that odds are higher that we have a very close Clinton victory than a very close Walker victory.  Even if defeated Walker actually would have achieved what is best for GOP on the medium run which is to hold Clinton to a very narrow victory in with no coattails in 2016 with the likelihood that 2018 will be a mega GOP year followed by GOP control of redistricting in 2020.