PA-Mercyhurst University: Hillary & Biden lead favorability ranking

[Tender Branson]

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57-42 Hillary Clinton (+15)
55-42 Joe Biden (+13)
18-16 Scott Walker (+2)
28-27 Marco Rubio (+1)
34-35 Paul Ryan (-1)
40-43 Rick Santorum (-3)
32-36 Rand Paul (-4)
42-48 Jeb Bush (-6)
40-47 Chris Christie (-7)
24-38 Rick Perry (-14)
18-35 Ted Cruz (-17)

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39% Democrat
30% Republican  
27% Independent  
  2% Other (volunteered)
  1% DK
  0% RF

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http://www.mercyhurst.edu/sites/default/files/uploads/%3Cem%3EEdit%20Simple%3C/em%3E%20MCAP%20Polls%20/poll_3_final_report.pdf

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

Walker above water! #Walker-mentum

[IceSpear]

Hillary's numbers are no shock, but a few of these are quite surprising.

- Biden being so high (I know he's an honorary homestater, but still)
- Santorum being relatively high
- Christie being so low (Quinnipiac had him at 45-36 in June...could the Dallas hug have hurt him that badly? I kinda doubt it)

[Tender Branson]

Hillary's numbers are no shock, but a few of these are quite surprising.

- Biden being so high (I know he's an honorary homestater, but still)
- Santorum being relatively high
- Christie being so low (Quinnipiac had him at 45-36 in June...could the Dallas hug have hurt him that badly? I kinda doubt it)

7 months is a long time in politics and polling.

Christie's numbers have even dropped into the negative in NJ recently, so PA might just follow this trend.

Santorum's and Biden's numbers are surprisingly high, yeah ...

[H. Ross Peron]

But I thought everyone hates Hillary.

[pbrower2a]

Hillary's numbers are no shock, but a few of these are quite surprising.

- Biden being so high (I know he's an honorary homestater, but still)
- Santorum being relatively high
- Christie being so low (Quinnipiac had him at 45-36 in June...could the Dallas hug have hurt him that badly? I kinda doubt it)

7 months is a long time in politics and polling.

Christie's numbers have even dropped into the negative in NJ recently, so PA might just follow this trend.

Santorum's and Biden's numbers are surprisingly high, yeah ...

The old Big Positive about Christie -- that he could cooperate with Barack Obama in the wake of a natural disaster -- is drifting off into the sunset.

[IceSpear]

Hillary's numbers are no shock, but a few of these are quite surprising.

- Biden being so high (I know he's an honorary homestater, but still)
- Santorum being relatively high
- Christie being so low (Quinnipiac had him at 45-36 in June...could the Dallas hug have hurt him that badly? I kinda doubt it)

7 months is a long time in politics and polling.

Christie's numbers have even dropped into the negative in NJ recently, so PA might just follow this trend.

Santorum's and Biden's numbers are surprisingly high, yeah ...

It seemed like he was on an upward trend as Bridgegate gets further and further in the rearview mirror, which would make sense. If NJ is bucking that trend, perhaps it's because they're tired of him putting nationwide ambitions ahead of the state?

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

Ashamed of my state for giving that high favorability rating to the clown. On a positive note, Hillary's numbers are solid.

[pbrower2a]

Romney not listed.

For pols as well known as Hillary Clinton and Joe Biden, favorability ratings are close to approval ratings and close to what they would get in a vote.

Republicans are not going to win the Presidency if Pennsylvania goes 55-45 for the Democrat. Pennsylvania leans D, but not that much.   

[Tender Branson]

PPP should have a new PA poll out tomorrow.

We'll see if they show something similar.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Well, so much for Santorum being in the tank in PA. I suppose Phil will be proud.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

From PPP: Chris Christie has a 32/57 favorability rating and trails Hillary Clinton 58/35 among Eagles fans in Pennsylvania

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

More from PPP:
Romney favorability in Pennsylvania- November 2012: 46/48, January 2015: 34/49

Movement from GOP voters in follow up reply tweet.

RIP Romney 16 (I kniw, I know, he can easily win a plurality to get slaughtered in the GE again)

EDIT: More: Santorum in 9th place in PA. Romney voter 2nd choice: 31% Bush; 17% Christie; 10% Carson

[Likely Voter]

PA is the biggest strategic challenge for the GOP. Is it really a possible tipping point and if so, do they move into the top tier of spending like FL, OH,VA, CO? Or is the recent movement more about Obama and with Hillary does it move back firmly into the 'blue wall,' and do they ignore it.  The thing they shouldn't do is half-ass it with a small spend.

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

The thing they shouldn't do is half-ass it with a small spend.

I have a feeling this is exactly what's going to happen. They'll know it's not too competitive because Hillary>Obama here, but then they'll realize they have such a small chance of winning the Presidency, they'll try to save Toomey and thus the Senate is a last ditch effort. It's just a disaster waiting to be mismanaged yet again.

[IceSpear]

The thing they shouldn't do is half-ass it with a small spend.

I have a feeling this is exactly what's going to happen. They'll know it's not too competitive because Hillary>Obama here, but then they'll realize they have such a small chance of winning the Presidency, they'll try to save Toomey and thus the Senate is a last ditch effort. It's just a disaster waiting to be mismanaged yet again.

Romney repeating McCain's last minute Pennsylvania gambit was quite amusing. You'd think they would just contest it from the beginning.

[Mehmentum]

Pennsylvania is the best opportunity the GOP has to expand the map.  If the GOP can't win this, then they're not winning Wisconsin (without Walker being on the ticket) and they certainly won't be winning Michigan or Minnesota. 

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

The thing they shouldn't do is half-ass it with a small spend.

I have a feeling this is exactly what's going to happen. They'll know it's not too competitive because Hillary>Obama here, but then they'll realize they have such a small chance of winning the Presidency, they'll try to save Toomey and thus the Senate is a last ditch effort. It's just a disaster waiting to be mismanaged yet again.

Romney repeating McCain's last minute Pennsylvania gambit was quite amusing. You'd think they would just contest it from the beginning.

The pathetic thing was that they were going for a "blowout" by contesting PA, they actually believed the right wing talking points about skewed polls and thought they had the EV in the bag.

[pbrower2a]

Considering how low the approval rating (PPP) is for Senator Toomey (28%), I just can't see the Koch fronts wasting money in Pennsylvania. 

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

Considering how low the approval rating (PPP) is for Senator Toomey (28%), I just can't see the Koch fronts wasting money in Pennsylvania. 

Considering he has an early lead within MoE over the same opponent as last time who has equal name recognition, I could totally see money pouring into what may be the closest Senate race.