Obama Approval Rating: January 2017

[ShamDam]

Inspired by this: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=8461.0

Well? Obviously we know very little about how the next two years will play out, so this is just for fun. Predict Obama's final approval rating as he leaves office.

My prediction: 55%. He hovers between 45 and 50% for the rest of his term, with maybe the occasional problem dropping him further, but as the newly elected President begins to come into office, people become more reflective, the media acknowledges the successes of his Presidency, and he rises a few extra points -- but is never able to return to his 2009-level highs.

[King]

There will be nobody attacking him so he could end up surging to his post 2012 levels of 58-60% as the GOP focuses on Premier Commie Hillary.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

It depends.

If something really good happens (major foreign policy success, congress reaches and obama signs some grand bargain, etc.), and the economy continues to improve, I could see him hitting the mid to high 50%'s.

If nothing significantly good or bad happens, and the economy keeps improving, it should be between 47-52%.

If something significantly bad happens (Obama vetoes some large congressional compromise, and the veto is highly publicized, or we start to head back into a recession, or the democratic nominee for president in 2016 implodes, and the imploding rubs off on Obama, etc.), he could dip down all the way back to fall-2013 levels (just under 40%).

[The Other Castro]

51%