UK local by-elections 2015
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Author Topic: UK local by-elections 2015  (Read 23389 times)
ObserverIE
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« on: January 22, 2015, 07:06:13 PM »
« edited: January 23, 2015, 02:09:28 PM by ObserverIE »

First brace of the year tonight, one in Gordon Brown country in Scotland, and the other in the south-east of England.

An embryonic Holy Word can be found here.

Wealden, Crowborough West

Con 58.7 (-12.9)
UKIP 41.3 (+41.3)

Fife, Kirkcaldy East

SNP 47.3 (+10.9)
Lab 35.3 (-14.6)
Con 7.2 (+1.2)
Green 4.1 (+4.1)
UKIP 3.8 (+3.8)
Lib Dem 1.3 (-1.5)
Ind Hunter 0.6
Ind Macintyre 0.4

SNP
1460
1464
1466
1472
1484
1553
Lab
1088
1088
1091
1097
1120
1148
Con
223
224
225
231
266
274
Green
126
129
132
138
150
UKIP
117
117
120
123
Lib Dem
40
40
41
Ind Hunter
19
21
Ind Macintyre
12
               

SNP hold Kirkcaldy East
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #1 on: January 22, 2015, 07:42:04 PM »

Notably stronger result for the SNP than the one in Midlothian towards the end of last year.
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SNJ1985
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« Reply #2 on: January 23, 2015, 11:51:49 AM »

Conservative candidate Jeannette Towey wins in Wealden with 58.7% of the vote. UKIP candidate Simon Staveley gets 41.3%.
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doktorb
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« Reply #3 on: January 24, 2015, 12:05:48 AM »

12 UKIP to SNP transfers. Lovely.
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MaxQue
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« Reply #4 on: January 24, 2015, 01:32:44 AM »


Well, 12 votes is more than 25% of your vote, so I would stay quiet if I were you. To be fair to you, that wasn't a good area at all for you and an e-sports journalist (!) might be a very poor fit for Fife.
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doktorb
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« Reply #5 on: January 24, 2015, 02:50:08 AM »


Well, 12 votes is more than 25% of your vote, so I would stay quiet if I were you. To be fair to you, that wasn't a good area at all for you and an e-sports journalist (!) might be a very poor fit for Fife.

A cromulent observation
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bore
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« Reply #6 on: January 24, 2015, 06:04:46 AM »

The UKIP transfers were 12-23-35-12 SNP-LAB-CON-GREEN.
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Chancellor of the Duchy of Little Lever and Darcy Lever
andrewteale
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« Reply #7 on: January 24, 2015, 11:48:27 AM »


Well, 12 votes is more than 25% of your vote, so I would stay quiet if I were you. To be fair to you, that wasn't a good area at all for you and an e-sports journalist (!) might be a very poor fit for Fife.

It's only eight years since the Lib Dems came nine votes short of winning a seat in this ward.
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MaxQue
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« Reply #8 on: January 24, 2015, 03:20:39 PM »


Well, 12 votes is more than 25% of your vote, so I would stay quiet if I were you. To be fair to you, that wasn't a good area at all for you and an e-sports journalist (!) might be a very poor fit for Fife.

It's only eight years since the Lib Dems came nine votes short of winning a seat in this ward.

Well, it was in 3BC (before Coalition). Things changed since then.
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afleitch
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« Reply #9 on: January 24, 2015, 05:09:42 PM »


Well, 12 votes is more than 25% of your vote, so I would stay quiet if I were you. To be fair to you, that wasn't a good area at all for you and an e-sports journalist (!) might be a very poor fit for Fife.

It's only eight years since the Lib Dems came nine votes short of winning a seat in this ward.

Well, it was in 3BC (before Coalition). Things changed since then.

And 2007 itself was generally seen as a 'bad' year for the Liberal Democrats at both Holyrood and local government elections.
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ObserverIE
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« Reply #10 on: January 29, 2015, 09:52:15 PM »

One laggard from January 8th:

Bolsover, Bolsover North West

Lab 45.0 (-21.3)
UKIP 39.5 (+39.5)
Con 15.5 (-18.2)

This week's Holy Word here.

West Berkshire, Purley-on-Thames

Con 68.1 (-2.1)
Lab 12.5 (-6.0)
UKIP 11.9 (+11.9)
Lib Dem 7.6 (-3.7)

St Albans, Marshalswick South (double vacancy)

Con 33.5 (-5.1) (667, 647)
Lib Dem 25.0 (+5.7) (495, 488)
Lab 18.3 (-4.4) (406, 312)
Green 15.7 (+5.5) (450, 166)
UKIP 7.5 (-1.7) (148, 147)
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ObserverIE
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« Reply #11 on: February 05, 2015, 01:27:51 PM »

Holy Word here.
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ObserverIE
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« Reply #12 on: February 05, 2015, 06:42:21 PM »

Derbyshire, Brimington

Lab 62.0 (-6.7)
UKIP 18.2 (+18.2)
Ind 7.5
Lib Dem 6.5 (-2.8)
Con 5.8 (-5.3)
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ObserverIE
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« Reply #13 on: February 12, 2015, 06:14:43 PM »
« Edited: February 13, 2015, 08:07:30 AM by ObserverIE »

This week's Holy Word here.

Harlow, Mark Hall

Lab 42.6 (+7.9)
UKIP 25.7 (-12.1)
Con 24.3 (+4.3)
Green 4.0 (+4.0)
Lib Dem 3.4 (-4.1)

Cambridgeshire, Bar Hill

Con 46.0 (+0.6)
UKIP 14.7 (-7.3)
Lib Dem 13.9 (+5.4)
Lab 13.7 (+0.1)
Green 11.7 (+2.3)

Shropshire, Oswestry East

Con 47.5 (+19.5)
Lab 18.6 (-11.2)
Green 17.4 (+17.4)
Lib Dem 16.5 (+16.5)


Lab gain Mark Hall from UKIP
Con hold Oswestry East
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YL
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« Reply #14 on: February 14, 2015, 04:33:56 AM »

Good to see some purple minus signs.

Have Plaid ever considered standing in Oswestry?
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joevsimp
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« Reply #15 on: February 14, 2015, 05:57:05 AM »

I doubt it, wouldn't have thought they'd be registered in England and Powis and Wrexham aren't exactly their best areas.

the English Democrats sometimes stand in Monmouth though and usually get fewer votes than Plaid do there
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #16 on: February 14, 2015, 01:14:08 PM »

All the candidates in Oswestry were quite well known (town councillors), apart from the Labour one. The Labour candidate in 2013 (who did quite well) is now the North Shropshire PPC so didn't run.
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ObserverIE
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« Reply #17 on: February 19, 2015, 06:48:08 PM »

Mae'r Gair Sanctaidd yma.

Carmartheenshire, Hengoed

Lab 33.2 (+8.4)
PC 31.0 (+6.4)
UKIP 15.0 (+15.0)
People First 7.9 (-17.2)
Ind 7.5
Con 5.3 (+5.3)
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ObserverIE
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« Reply #18 on: March 05, 2015, 06:26:38 PM »
« Edited: March 05, 2015, 08:13:24 PM by ObserverIE »

Latest Holy Word here.

Brent, Kenton

Con 51.6 (-1.4)
Lab 39.4 (+7.9)
Green 5.7 (-4.8)
Lib Dem 3.3 (-1.7)

Camden, St Pancras and Somers Town

Lab 72.8 (+2.6)
Con 12.0 (+2.4)
Green 10.5 (-3.9)
Lib Dem 4.7 (-1.1)

Essex, Bocking

Con 34.3 (+2.1)
Lab 31.2 (+1.3)
UKIP 27.4 (-5.3)
Green 5.3 (+2.2)
Ind 1.9

Croydon, Selhurst

Lab 71.5 (+18.0)
Con 11.6 (-1.7)
UKIP 6.9 (-4.8)
Green 7.0 (-0.6)
Lib Dem 3.1 (-3.2)

Con gain Bocking from UKIP
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ObserverIE
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« Reply #19 on: March 19, 2015, 06:54:33 PM »

Denbighshire, Rhyl South West

Lab 63.6 (-4.4)
Con 17.6 (+7.6)
PC 8.3 (+8.3)
Ind 7.0
Lib Dem 3.5 (-3.2)
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ObserverIE
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« Reply #20 on: March 27, 2015, 10:54:46 AM »
« Edited: March 27, 2015, 12:15:00 PM by ObserverIE »

Fife, Glenrothes West and Kinglassie

SNP 55.3 (+12.5)
Lab 35.8 (-5.1)
Con 4.4 (+1.4)
UKIP 3.2 (+3.2)
Lib Dem 1.3 (-0.3)

Vale of Glamorgan, Llantwit Major

Con 40.8 (+19.0)
Llantwit First 40.3 (-13.1)
Lab 15.2 (-0.7)
PC 3.8 (-5.1)

Moray, Buckie (changes in italics since Jan 2014 by-election)

SNP 59.5 (+14.4) (+26.2)
Ind 27.9
Con 12.6 (+5.5) (+5.9)

Na h-Eileanan Siar, Beinn na Foghla agus Uibhist a Tuath

Ind 59.1
SNP 40.9 (+24.5)

West Lothian, Armadale and Blackridge

SNP 43,4 (+20.4)
Lab 27.1 (+9.5)
Ind 20.3
Con 6.8 (+4.0)
Green 2.4

SNP
1620
1647
1676
1874
Lab
1009
1018
1074
1382
Ind
756
786
868
Con
255
264
Green
90

SNP gain Glenrothes West and Kinglassie from Lab
Con gain Llantwit Major from Llantwit First
SNP gain Buckie from Ind
Ind gain Beinn na Foghla agus Uibhist a Tuath from Lab
SNP hold Armadale and Blackridge
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ObserverIE
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« Reply #21 on: April 01, 2015, 08:20:49 PM »
« Edited: April 01, 2015, 08:25:53 PM by ObserverIE »

Tandridge, Whyteleafe

Lib Dem 50.0 (+22.8)
Con 34.9 (-7.7)
UKIP 15.1 (-4.5)

Lib Dem gain Whyteleafe from Con

#cleggmania2 #feelthesurge
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ObserverIE
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« Reply #22 on: April 02, 2015, 06:41:53 PM »

Gwynedd, Cadnant

Lab 34.2 (-6.1)
PC 27.1 (-32.6)
LlaisG 21.7 (+21.7)
Ind 13.8
Con 3.2 (+3.2)

Lab gain Cadnant from PC
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #23 on: April 02, 2015, 06:48:03 PM »

Cadnant is a Caernarfon town ward and had previously never been won by Labour at principle local authority level.
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ObserverIE
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« Reply #24 on: April 16, 2015, 05:51:04 PM »

Final by-election before May 7th:

Cumbria, Walney South

Lab 63.4 (+2.0)
UKIP 20.8 (+3.3)
Con 15.8 (-5.3)
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