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Author Topic: UK local by-elections 2015  (Read 23417 times)
ObserverIE
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,831
Ireland, Republic of


Political Matrix
E: -3.87, S: -1.04

« on: January 22, 2015, 07:06:13 PM »
« edited: January 23, 2015, 02:09:28 PM by ObserverIE »

First brace of the year tonight, one in Gordon Brown country in Scotland, and the other in the south-east of England.

An embryonic Holy Word can be found here.

Wealden, Crowborough West

Con 58.7 (-12.9)
UKIP 41.3 (+41.3)

Fife, Kirkcaldy East

SNP 47.3 (+10.9)
Lab 35.3 (-14.6)
Con 7.2 (+1.2)
Green 4.1 (+4.1)
UKIP 3.8 (+3.8)
Lib Dem 1.3 (-1.5)
Ind Hunter 0.6
Ind Macintyre 0.4

SNP
1460
1464
1466
1472
1484
1553
Lab
1088
1088
1091
1097
1120
1148
Con
223
224
225
231
266
274
Green
126
129
132
138
150
UKIP
117
117
120
123
Lib Dem
40
40
41
Ind Hunter
19
21
Ind Macintyre
12
               

SNP hold Kirkcaldy East
Logged
ObserverIE
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,831
Ireland, Republic of


Political Matrix
E: -3.87, S: -1.04

« Reply #1 on: January 29, 2015, 09:52:15 PM »

One laggard from January 8th:

Bolsover, Bolsover North West

Lab 45.0 (-21.3)
UKIP 39.5 (+39.5)
Con 15.5 (-18.2)

This week's Holy Word here.

West Berkshire, Purley-on-Thames

Con 68.1 (-2.1)
Lab 12.5 (-6.0)
UKIP 11.9 (+11.9)
Lib Dem 7.6 (-3.7)

St Albans, Marshalswick South (double vacancy)

Con 33.5 (-5.1) (667, 647)
Lib Dem 25.0 (+5.7) (495, 488)
Lab 18.3 (-4.4) (406, 312)
Green 15.7 (+5.5) (450, 166)
UKIP 7.5 (-1.7) (148, 147)
Logged
ObserverIE
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,831
Ireland, Republic of


Political Matrix
E: -3.87, S: -1.04

« Reply #2 on: February 05, 2015, 01:27:51 PM »

Holy Word here.
Logged
ObserverIE
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,831
Ireland, Republic of


Political Matrix
E: -3.87, S: -1.04

« Reply #3 on: February 05, 2015, 06:42:21 PM »

Derbyshire, Brimington

Lab 62.0 (-6.7)
UKIP 18.2 (+18.2)
Ind 7.5
Lib Dem 6.5 (-2.8)
Con 5.8 (-5.3)
Logged
ObserverIE
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,831
Ireland, Republic of


Political Matrix
E: -3.87, S: -1.04

« Reply #4 on: February 12, 2015, 06:14:43 PM »
« Edited: February 13, 2015, 08:07:30 AM by ObserverIE »

This week's Holy Word here.

Harlow, Mark Hall

Lab 42.6 (+7.9)
UKIP 25.7 (-12.1)
Con 24.3 (+4.3)
Green 4.0 (+4.0)
Lib Dem 3.4 (-4.1)

Cambridgeshire, Bar Hill

Con 46.0 (+0.6)
UKIP 14.7 (-7.3)
Lib Dem 13.9 (+5.4)
Lab 13.7 (+0.1)
Green 11.7 (+2.3)

Shropshire, Oswestry East

Con 47.5 (+19.5)
Lab 18.6 (-11.2)
Green 17.4 (+17.4)
Lib Dem 16.5 (+16.5)


Lab gain Mark Hall from UKIP
Con hold Oswestry East
Logged
ObserverIE
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,831
Ireland, Republic of


Political Matrix
E: -3.87, S: -1.04

« Reply #5 on: February 19, 2015, 06:48:08 PM »

Mae'r Gair Sanctaidd yma.

Carmartheenshire, Hengoed

Lab 33.2 (+8.4)
PC 31.0 (+6.4)
UKIP 15.0 (+15.0)
People First 7.9 (-17.2)
Ind 7.5
Con 5.3 (+5.3)
Logged
ObserverIE
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,831
Ireland, Republic of


Political Matrix
E: -3.87, S: -1.04

« Reply #6 on: March 05, 2015, 06:26:38 PM »
« Edited: March 05, 2015, 08:13:24 PM by ObserverIE »

Latest Holy Word here.

Brent, Kenton

Con 51.6 (-1.4)
Lab 39.4 (+7.9)
Green 5.7 (-4.8)
Lib Dem 3.3 (-1.7)

Camden, St Pancras and Somers Town

Lab 72.8 (+2.6)
Con 12.0 (+2.4)
Green 10.5 (-3.9)
Lib Dem 4.7 (-1.1)

Essex, Bocking

Con 34.3 (+2.1)
Lab 31.2 (+1.3)
UKIP 27.4 (-5.3)
Green 5.3 (+2.2)
Ind 1.9

Croydon, Selhurst

Lab 71.5 (+18.0)
Con 11.6 (-1.7)
UKIP 6.9 (-4.8)
Green 7.0 (-0.6)
Lib Dem 3.1 (-3.2)

Con gain Bocking from UKIP
Logged
ObserverIE
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,831
Ireland, Republic of


Political Matrix
E: -3.87, S: -1.04

« Reply #7 on: March 19, 2015, 06:54:33 PM »

Denbighshire, Rhyl South West

Lab 63.6 (-4.4)
Con 17.6 (+7.6)
PC 8.3 (+8.3)
Ind 7.0
Lib Dem 3.5 (-3.2)
Logged
ObserverIE
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,831
Ireland, Republic of


Political Matrix
E: -3.87, S: -1.04

« Reply #8 on: March 27, 2015, 10:54:46 AM »
« Edited: March 27, 2015, 12:15:00 PM by ObserverIE »

Fife, Glenrothes West and Kinglassie

SNP 55.3 (+12.5)
Lab 35.8 (-5.1)
Con 4.4 (+1.4)
UKIP 3.2 (+3.2)
Lib Dem 1.3 (-0.3)

Vale of Glamorgan, Llantwit Major

Con 40.8 (+19.0)
Llantwit First 40.3 (-13.1)
Lab 15.2 (-0.7)
PC 3.8 (-5.1)

Moray, Buckie (changes in italics since Jan 2014 by-election)

SNP 59.5 (+14.4) (+26.2)
Ind 27.9
Con 12.6 (+5.5) (+5.9)

Na h-Eileanan Siar, Beinn na Foghla agus Uibhist a Tuath

Ind 59.1
SNP 40.9 (+24.5)

West Lothian, Armadale and Blackridge

SNP 43,4 (+20.4)
Lab 27.1 (+9.5)
Ind 20.3
Con 6.8 (+4.0)
Green 2.4

SNP
1620
1647
1676
1874
Lab
1009
1018
1074
1382
Ind
756
786
868
Con
255
264
Green
90

SNP gain Glenrothes West and Kinglassie from Lab
Con gain Llantwit Major from Llantwit First
SNP gain Buckie from Ind
Ind gain Beinn na Foghla agus Uibhist a Tuath from Lab
SNP hold Armadale and Blackridge
Logged
ObserverIE
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,831
Ireland, Republic of


Political Matrix
E: -3.87, S: -1.04

« Reply #9 on: April 01, 2015, 08:20:49 PM »
« Edited: April 01, 2015, 08:25:53 PM by ObserverIE »

Tandridge, Whyteleafe

Lib Dem 50.0 (+22.8)
Con 34.9 (-7.7)
UKIP 15.1 (-4.5)

Lib Dem gain Whyteleafe from Con

#cleggmania2 #feelthesurge
Logged
ObserverIE
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,831
Ireland, Republic of


Political Matrix
E: -3.87, S: -1.04

« Reply #10 on: April 02, 2015, 06:41:53 PM »

Gwynedd, Cadnant

Lab 34.2 (-6.1)
PC 27.1 (-32.6)
LlaisG 21.7 (+21.7)
Ind 13.8
Con 3.2 (+3.2)

Lab gain Cadnant from PC
Logged
ObserverIE
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,831
Ireland, Republic of


Political Matrix
E: -3.87, S: -1.04

« Reply #11 on: April 16, 2015, 05:51:04 PM »

Final by-election before May 7th:

Cumbria, Walney South

Lab 63.4 (+2.0)
UKIP 20.8 (+3.3)
Con 15.8 (-5.3)
Logged
ObserverIE
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,831
Ireland, Republic of


Political Matrix
E: -3.87, S: -1.04

« Reply #12 on: June 04, 2015, 06:42:34 PM »
« Edited: June 05, 2015, 09:33:10 AM by ObserverIE »

The Holy Word returns.

Cambridgeshire, Wisbech South

Con 63.8 (+32.4)
UKIP 18.6 (-19.6)
Lab 13.7 (-2.8)
Lib Dem 3.8 (-10.1)

Kettering, Rothwell

Con 40.1 (+1.9) (853, 777, 771)
Lab 36.5 (+4.6) (951, 623, 614)
UKIP 18.5 (+18.5) (370)
Green 4.8 (+4.8) (119, 89, 82)

Con gain Wisbech South from UKIP
Con hold 2, Lab hold 1 in Rothwell
Logged
ObserverIE
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,831
Ireland, Republic of


Political Matrix
E: -3.87, S: -1.04

« Reply #13 on: June 11, 2015, 05:48:45 PM »
« Edited: June 11, 2015, 07:58:49 PM by ObserverIE »

Wyre Forest, Areley Kings and Riverside

Lab 32.2 (633, 561, 532)
Con 32.0 (662, 564, 492)
ICHC 20.6 (404, 378, 326)
UKIP 11.5 (213, 209, 196)
Green 3.7 (66)

Sutton, Wallington South

Lib Dem 44.1 (+7.2)
Con 33.0 (+15.7)
Ind 6.4
Lab 6.4 (-2.2)
UKIP 5.8 (-11.8)
Green 4.3 (-3.0)

Tower Hamlets, Stepney Green

Lab 42.1 (+14.1)
Not TH First 37.7 (-6.7)
Green 7.0 (-2.1)
UKIP 5.2 (-3.4)
Con 4.0 (-2.5)
Lib Dem 2.9 (-0.5)
Ind 1.0

Lab gain Stepney Green from TH First
Logged
ObserverIE
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,831
Ireland, Republic of


Political Matrix
E: -3.87, S: -1.04

« Reply #14 on: June 18, 2015, 05:52:10 PM »
« Edited: June 18, 2015, 06:34:15 PM by ObserverIE »

Christchurch, North Highcliffe and Walkford

Con 64.1 (-9.6) (793, 775)
UKIP 24.7 (+24.7) (315, 288)
Lab 11.2 (-15.1) (143, 132)

Mole Valley, Holmwoods

Lib Dem 50.9 (+24.7) (804, 768)
Con 30.8 (+2.1) (492, 458)
UKIP 12.3 (-19.3) (201, 180)
Green 5.9 (-0.7) (105, 78)

Con hold 2 in North Highcliffe and Walkford
Lib Dem hold 1 and gain 1 from UKIP in Holmwoods
Logged
ObserverIE
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,831
Ireland, Republic of


Political Matrix
E: -3.87, S: -1.04

« Reply #15 on: June 25, 2015, 06:18:26 PM »
« Edited: June 25, 2015, 07:01:33 PM by ObserverIE »

Cambridgeshire, Romsey (changes since 2013 with changes since May city council election in italics)

Lab 37.3 (+5.6) (-0.4)
Lib Dem 35.2 (-12.7) (+4.9)
Green 21.0 (+15.1) (-0.9)
Con 4.5 (+0.1) (-5.6)
UKIP 2.1 (-3.0) (+2.1)

South Kesteven, Market and West Deeping

Con 39.2 (-3.5) (605)
Ind 35.6 (612, 609, 426)
Lib Dem 14.9 (+14.9) (229)
UKIP 10.3 (+10.3) (224, 129, 123)

Lab gain Romsey from Lib Dem
Ind hold 2 (Broughton, Baxter) and Con hold 1 in Market and West Deeping
Logged
ObserverIE
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,831
Ireland, Republic of


Political Matrix
E: -3.87, S: -1.04

« Reply #16 on: June 30, 2015, 05:26:21 PM »

Cardiff, Pentyrch

Con 40.2 (-14.2)
PC 39.0 (+26.9)
Lab 16.8 (-12.3)
Ind 1.7
Green 1.6 (-1.2)
Lib Dem 0.7 (-0.9)
Logged
ObserverIE
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,831
Ireland, Republic of


Political Matrix
E: -3.87, S: -1.04

« Reply #17 on: July 02, 2015, 05:51:01 PM »
« Edited: July 02, 2015, 06:06:46 PM by ObserverIE »

Lincolnshire, Grantham Barrowby

Con 49.5 (+11.7)
Lab 22.0 (-7.9)
UKIP 15.3 (+15.3)
Lincs Ind 13.2 (-19.0)

Richmond-upon-Thames, Hampton Wick

Lib Dem 43.0 (+25.1)
Con 39.1 (-9.1)
Green 8.5 (-11.0)
Lab 6.7 (-7.7)
UKIP 2.5 (+2.5)
Ind 0.3

Lib Dem gain Hampton Wick from Con
Logged
ObserverIE
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,831
Ireland, Republic of


Political Matrix
E: -3.87, S: -1.04

« Reply #18 on: July 03, 2015, 05:36:59 PM »

Cardiff, Pentyrch

Con 40.2 (-14.2)
PC 39.0 (+26.9)
Lab 16.8 (-12.3)
Ind 1.7
Green 1.6 (-1.2)
Lib Dem 0.7 (-0.9)


what's the margin of victory in votes? I can imagine that the turnout was quite low (and the lib dem total)

Con 561 40.2%
PC 543 39.0%
Lab 234 16.8%
Ind 24 1.7%
Green 22 1.6%
Lib Dem 10 0.7%
Logged
ObserverIE
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,831
Ireland, Republic of


Political Matrix
E: -3.87, S: -1.04

« Reply #19 on: July 09, 2015, 05:30:05 PM »
« Edited: July 10, 2015, 10:21:53 AM by ObserverIE »

Gwynedd, Morfa Nefyn

PC 71.9 (-5.6)
LlG 28.1 (+5.6)

Hyndburn, Spring Hill

Lab 55.3 (+5.4)
Con 33.8 (-0.4)
UKIP 9.7 (-6.1)
Green 1.2 (+1.2)

Sandwell, Newton

Lab 59.1 (+11.1)
Con 23.2 (-5.6)
UKIP 15.9 (-7.3)
Green 1.8 (+1.8)

Hounslow, Brentford

Lab 54.0 (+9.8)
Con 27.7 (+12.6)
Green 8.7 (-5.7)
Lib Dem 4.8 (-0.5)
UKIP 4.7 (-8.2)

Hastings, Central St Leonards

Lab 44.0 (-9.1)
Con 23.7 (+10.9)
Ind 16.8 (+9.4)
UKIP 7.0 (-8.8)
Green 6.9 (-0.9)
Lib Dem 1.6 (-1.5)

Hastings, St Helens

Con 43.5 (+3.6)
Lab 36.5 (+2.1)
Lib Dem 8.9 (+5.0)
UKIP 7.9 (-13.9)
Green 3.1 (+3.1)

East Sussex, Old Hastings and Tressel

Lab 56.5 (+7.3)
Con 21.6 (+6.0)
UKIP 10.2 (-12.3)
Green 8.8 (+0.5)
Lib Dem 2.8 (-1.6)

North Lanarkshire, Thorniewood

SNP 47.0 (+24.3)
Lab 42.6 (-27.9)
Con 4.5 (-0.7)
SSP 2.4 (+2.4)
Green 1.5 (+1.5)
SCP 1.0 (+1.0)
UKIP 0.9 (+0.9)

SNP
1555
1556
1565
1586
1622
1647
Lab
1410
1417
1422
1433
1456
1517
Con
149
158
167
172
175
SSP
81
81
82
89
Green
51
55
61
SCP
33
37
UKIP
29

SNP hold Thorniewood
Logged
ObserverIE
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,831
Ireland, Republic of


Political Matrix
E: -3.87, S: -1.04

« Reply #20 on: July 16, 2015, 05:18:58 PM »
« Edited: July 17, 2015, 06:27:56 AM by ObserverIE »

Holy Words here and here.

Tendring, Rush Green

UKIP 38.5 (-9.7)
Con 33.1 (+3.6)
Lab 24.3 (+2.0)
Ind 4.1

Denbighshire, Prestatyn East

Con 50.9 (+10.0)
Lab 36.0 (+6.8)
Ind 7.3
PC 5.8 (+5.8)

Norfolk, Gorleston St Andrews

Con 42.7 (+15.3)
Lab 37.7 (+1.8)
UKIP 13.9 (-22.8)
Lib Dem 3.2 (+3.2)
Green 2.5 (+2.5)

Norfolk, Mile Cross (changes in italics since city council by-election in May 2015)

Lab 51.8 (+7.2) (+14.9)
Con 19.3 (+8.7) (+0.5)
Green 14.4 (-6.8) (-11.5)
UKIP 10.2 (-9.2) (-2.4)
Lib Dem 4.3 (+0.1) (-1.4)

Rother, Battle Town

Lib Dem 57.8 (+13.9)
Con 26.3 (-14.0)
UKIP 8.2 (+8.2)
Lab 7.7 (-8.1)

Kingston-upon-Thames, Grove (changes in italics since by-election in May 2015)

Lib Dem 59.9 (+26.2) (+27.8)
Con 26.1 (-6.5) (-5.7)
Lab 8.5 (-11.9) (-8.3)
Green 3.3 (-10.0) (-5.7)
UKIP 2.2 (+2.2) (-2.5)

Wrexham, Llay

Lib Dem 52.2 (+52.2)
Lab 26.3 (-39.6)
Ind Broderick 9.2
Con 4.8 (+4.8)
UKIP 4.5 (+4.5)
Ind Dodd 3.1

Cumbria, Greystoke and Hesket

Con 55.1 (+2.2)
Lib Dem 44.9 (+22.1)

Con gain Gorleston St Andrews from UKIP
Lib Dem gain Battle Town from Con
Lib Dem gain Llay from Lab (outgoing councillor had defected to Ind)
Logged
ObserverIE
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,831
Ireland, Republic of


Political Matrix
E: -3.87, S: -1.04

« Reply #21 on: July 23, 2015, 06:35:00 PM »
« Edited: July 24, 2015, 06:09:07 PM by ObserverIE »

Caerphilly, New Tredegar (changes in italics since October 2012 by-election)

Lab 82.5 (+12.3) (-2.8)
UKIP 11.5 (+11.5) (+11.5)
Con 6.0 (+6.0) (+3.0)

Elmbridge, Long Ditton

Lib Dem 50.6 (+4.3)
Con 40.2 (-4.7)
Green 5.2 (+5.2)
UKIP 4.0 (-4.9)

Blackburn with Darwen, Mill Hill

Lab 58.8 (+9.0)
UKIP 20.8 (-7.6)
Con 12.3 (-4.9)
Lib Dem 8.0 (+3.4)

Westminster, Harrow Road

Lab 75.4 (+18.9)
Con 22.1 (+6.4)
UKIP 2.5 (-8.6)

North East Lincolnshire, Croft Baker

Lab 37.0 (-3.0)
Con 24.7 (-1.9)
Lib Dem 15.6 (+11.3)
UKIP 15.3 (-8.1)
TUSC 4.1 (+2.3)
Green 3.2 (-0.7)
Logged
ObserverIE
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,831
Ireland, Republic of


Political Matrix
E: -3.87, S: -1.04

« Reply #22 on: July 30, 2015, 05:46:55 PM »
« Edited: July 31, 2015, 06:21:40 AM by ObserverIE »

Holy Words here and here.

North Kesteven, North Hykeham Mill

Con 40.1 (-15.0)
Hykeham Ind 25.2 (-19.7)
Lab 22.6 (+22.6)
Green 9.0 (+9.0)
Lib Dem 3.1 (+3.1)

Wychavon, Droitwich East

Con 52.2 (+11.5)
Lab 18.4 (-4.2)
UKIP 18.0 (-3.1)
Lib Dem 11.4 (-4.2)

Northumberland, College

Lab 69.5 (-21.2)
UKIP 14.0 (+14.0)
Lib Dem 11.2 (+11.2)
Con 5.3 (-4.0)

Aberdeen, Kincorth/Nigg/Cove

SNP 61.0 (+26.9)
Lab 19.1 (-18.8)
Con 9.8 (+4.4)
Lib Dem 6.5 (-1.6)
Green 3.6 (+3.6)

Aberdeen, Hilton/Woodside/Stockethill

SNP 55.1 (+19.6)
Lab 25.1 (-19.9)
Con 11.4 (+6.0)
Green 4.2 (+1.6)
Lib Dem 4.1 (+0.2)

Con gain North Hykeham Mill from Lincs Ind
SNP hold Kincorth/Nigg/Cove
SNP hold Hilton/Woodside/Stockethill
Logged
ObserverIE
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,831
Ireland, Republic of


Political Matrix
E: -3.87, S: -1.04

« Reply #23 on: August 06, 2015, 04:11:26 PM »

The Haly Wird is here.
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ObserverIE
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,831
Ireland, Republic of


Political Matrix
E: -3.87, S: -1.04

« Reply #24 on: August 06, 2015, 08:34:32 PM »
« Edited: August 07, 2015, 02:48:32 PM by ObserverIE »

Glasgow, Calton

SNP 55.5 (+25.5)
Lab 30.0 (-24.6)
Con 4.7 (+2.1)
UKIP 3.8 (+3.8)
Green 3.6 (+0.6)
Ind 1.7
Lib Dem 0.7 (-0.2)

Glasgow, Anderston/City

SNP 48.1 (+18.0)
Lab 28.6 (-22.6)
Green 13.8 (+3.1)
Con 5.5 (+0.7)
Lib Dem 2.2 (+0.5)
UKIP 1.4 (+1.4)
Libt 0.4 (+0.4)

SNP
1441
1444
1446
1457
1473
1750
Lab
857
857
866
881
943
1024
Green
414
414
421
442
467
Con
164
166
173
184
Lib Dem
66
68
70
UKIP
43
45
Libt
12

Glasgow, Craigton

SNP 54.2 (+22.8)
Lab 33.3 (-20.1)
Con 6.1 (+2.5)
Green 2.8 (+0.7)
UKIP 1.9 (+0.9)
Lib Dem 1.8 (+0.9)

Glasgow, Langside

SNP 49.9 (+12.0)
Lab 21.8 (-14.1)
Green 13.5 (+4.4)
Con 8.9 (+1.7)
Lib Dem 2.9 (-4.4)
UKIP 1.5 (+1.5)
TUSC 1.4 (+1.4)

SNP
2134
2143
Lab
932
945
Green
579
598
Con
379
379
Lib Dem
125
125
UKIP
65
66
TUSC
62

South Lanarkshire, Hamilton South (changes in italics since October 2013 by-election)

SNP 48.0 (+15.4) (+15.5)
Lab 35.6 (-15.9) (-16.1)
Con 8.9 (-0.3) (-0.5)
Green 3.2 (+3.2) (+3.2)
SCP 2.0 (-1.1) (-1.9)
UKIP 1.1 (+1.1) (-1.4)
Lib Dem 0.8 (+0.8) (+0.8)
Pirate 0.3 (+0.3) (+0.3)

SNP
1881
1883
1888
1895
1909
1978
Lab
1396
1398
1405
1410
1425
1460
Con
349
349
354
365
389
398
Green
127
128
132
135
146
SCP
77
80
81
84
UKIP
43
44
45
Lib Dem
32
34
Pirate
13
         

SNP hold Calton
SNP hold Anderston/City
SNP hold Craigton
SNP gain Langside from Green
SNP hold Hamilton South
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