Chance Clinton Doesn't Run

[heatmaster]

Over hyped and overrated; remember in 2008? Hillary as we all know was the prohibitive favorite for the nomination and along came this guy Obama; so what makes me think,  even 'if' she gets the nomination, that doesn't mean she's got the election wrapped up. I recall that in 1960, Vice President Nixon was deemed a strong possibility for winning the presidency,  by virtue of the fact he had no primary competition,  what happened?  A guy called John Kennedy who had been seasoned and steeled by a vigorous primary campaign,  by virtue of the fact of him selecting Lyndon Johnson narrowly won that election. The lesson is this, Hillary might not have to endure a competitive primary campaign, that doesn't mean she has a lock on the election. For example say her opponent is one of the following individuals,  Jeb Bush, Mitt Romney, John Kasich, Chris Christie or Rick Perry and one of these individuals go with a female Vice Presidential nominee, e.g. Joni Ernst, Haley,  Susanna Martinez or even Condoleezza Rice. Then everyone might need to throw out the conventional wisdom play book and go back to the drawing board. Democrats & Republicans don't have the wisdom of 20/20 vision in hindsight and as none of us are blessed with the ability of being able to see into the future. Everyone is clinging to the comfort blanket of C.W. & not learning from the lessons of history. Democrats have the hope that a movement conservative like Cruz, Paul, Huckster or Santorum will be the party's standard bearer and therefore the election is there's.  We Republicans are hungry, not stupid...I think cynical pragmatic thinking will prevail and our party will be looking at demographics and electoral votes, when the primary season gets closer. The election is going to be closely fought affair, Democrats are going to be angry that they have to fight for every vote,  all because Republicans are hungry and got smart. Anyone remember 1980? Jimmy Carter despite all the problems,  underestimated Reagan like every one else. But he didn't count on events or someone like John Anderson or the "there you go again" moment in that debate to produce the outcome we got. As the 1980 election illustrates,  depending on conventional wisdom is not a smart call. You have to consider events, issues, the identity of the candidates and yes even maybe those pesky debates. There are so many different scenarios to consider as well. Remember 1968? no one believed in January of that year, the events which would occur. The Tet offensive,  Bobby Kennedy running for President,  his assassination and the assassination of MLK,  the withdrawal of LBJ from the presidential contest,  the riots in Chicago & what happened?  Well the rest is history. The object lesson is this, there will be different dynamics and paradigm's at play in 2016. You heard it here. So please take note.