White Vote by State: 2008

[Intell]

On an interesting arcticle, I fond an interesting picture detaling the white vote for each state.

[°Leprechaun]

Is that 2008 or 2012?

[DS0816]

It was 2008.

I distinctly recall Louisiana whites giving Barack Obama 14 percent of their vote in 2008.

Not only that, the 2012 exit polls, state-by-state, excluded 19 states including two of the Top 10 most-populous—Texas and Georgia.

This thread, which is really good, is example why it's a mistake to not exit-poll all 50 states plus District of Columbia.

[Skill and Chance]

Superficially, this is 2012, right?

It certainly strengthens the argument that New England is it's own culture.  Iowa is probably the product of gerrymandering by the Mississippi river and the Pacific Northwest was largely settled by former New Englanders.

[TheElectoralBoobyPrize]

Superficially, this is 2012, right?

It certainly strengthens the argument that New England is it's own culture.  Iowa is probably the product of gerrymandering by the Mississippi river and the Pacific Northwest was largely settled by former New Englanders.

Except for obviously flipping IA, I can't think how the 2004 white voter map would look different. Might Bush have won it anywhere else? Might he have lost it anywhere else? The 2004 state-level exit polls aren't working right now :/

[Adam Griffin]

There are posts somewhere on this forum that have the projected 2012 white vote by state.

Just to show it off (because I put a lot of work into it), here is my project that outlined Obama's share of the white vote by county in Georgia in 2012. FYI, it was 20% statewide (to be exact, 19.6%):

And since everyone was so riveted by the 2008 one I posted a few days ago, here's a 2012 version! It's amazing to see Obama not breaking 10% in 26 counties (was 8 in 2008).

[Adam Griffin]

Interesting that you've got Atlanta at 55%, but just to the west there's that 5% county (the lowest I could find). What's up there?

Yeah, that's Walton County - BK lives near there, so he can probably tell us all about it. I've never had an excuse to go to that county (who would?)

growing up, I had reasons to go to Walton County- we played them in sports, and I had some friends down that way (and during high school dated girls from Loganville and Monroe)

but looking at the area, it strikes me geographically as a place where the worst of rubery would fuse with awful transplant conservative cookie-cutter subdivision mentality, thanks to the outward growth of the metro.

This is essentially correct, but Walton County is basically the worst of the Atlanta suburbs by far.

Fun facts about Walton County!

1. Jody Hice, America's worst Congressman, was the pastor of their largest Baptist Church
2. McMansion hellhole suburbia is everywhere, especially around Loganville.
3. The County Seat of Monroe is possibly the most segregated community I've ever been to, and the only place I know of where that "wrong side of the tracks" thing is still 100% true. The whites live in the south of town, the blacks in the north, no exceptions. And the locals literally call the north of town "Monkey-roe"
4. The local police actually drive around in these:



5. This is completely anecdotal, but the people I knew from down there were either mega jesus freaks, or living in outright hedonism- no middle ground. I can elaborate on this, kind of hard to explain, but it was a consistent trend I noticed from everyone I knew from the area.

[Intell]

The map was from 2008. Sorry, for not mentioning.

[Intell]

Shows White vote by state for 2012 with CNN Exit Polling.

http://www.amren.com/features/2012/11/race-and-the-2012-election/

[Intell]

According to Buzz Feed, http://www.buzzfeed.com/buzzfeedpolitics/what-the-2012-election-would-have-looked-like-with#.sqnxPzk6z

[🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸]

here's a map of the white vote in 2012 exit polls (http://www.foxnews.com/politics/elections/2012-exit-poll)

and here added estimates for the other states. 

[Skill and Chance]

here's a map of the white vote in 2012 exit polls (http://www.foxnews.com/politics/elections/2012-exit-poll)

and here added estimates for the other states. 

Delaware white voters clearly left of Maryland?  Fascinating.

[RFayette]

here's a map of the white vote in 2012 exit polls (http://www.foxnews.com/politics/elections/2012-exit-poll)

and here added estimates for the other states. 

Delaware white voters clearly left of Maryland?  Fascinating.

Not too surprising, since Maryland has the fairly conservative Appalachian Western region as well as conservative Baltimore suburbs.

[buritobr]

So, the states in which Obama won the majority of the white vote are almost the...

... Dukakis states.

Except Vermont, New Hampshire and Maine


Interesting

[All Along The Watchtower]

So, the states in which Obama won the majority of the white vote are almost the...

... Dukakis states.

Except Vermont, New Hampshire and Maine


Interesting

Not surprising, really.

[Skill and Chance]

So, the states in which Obama won the majority of the white vote are almost the...

... Dukakis states.

Except Vermont, New Hampshire and Maine


Interesting

Not surprising, really.

Well, OR and WA (and NorCal- evidently overwhelmed by the rest of CA) can be thought of as a western extension of cultural New England.  Just how long the shadow of the 1980's farm crisis has lingered in Iowa is surprising, though.

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

According to Buzz Feed, http://www.buzzfeed.com/buzzfeedpolitics/what-the-2012-election-would-have-looked-like-with#.sqnxPzk6z

Given the lack of exit polling in every state (and that the source is Buzzfeed), I'm inherently suspicious of that. Obama surely won white men in Hawaii (where whites are about as Democratic as the state on average) and Rhode Island.

[🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸]

On an interesting arcticle, I fond an interesting picture detaling the white vote for each state.

Maryland looks a bit high there, given the large minority population. The white vote must be closer to NY or IL than to the whiter states of MA or RI (all states ending up with close to 62% of the total vote).

[Del Tachi]

How does Oregon become more Republican in 2008 when one adds the minority vote? 

[Mr. Illini]

How does Oregon become more Republican in 2008 when one adds the minority vote? 

This is my question. 60% among whites in Oregon, yet Oregon was 56% Obama?

[All Along The Watchtower]

How does Oregon become more Republican in 2008 when one adds the minority vote? 

Error?

[Skill and Chance]

How does Oregon become more Republican in 2008 when one adds the minority vote? 

Error?

Probably.  Also, most of New England looks a bit too low. 

[Del Tachi]

How does Oregon become more Republican in 2008 when one adds the minority vote? 

Error?

Probably.  Also, most of New England looks a bit too low. 

Maybe Oregon Asians and Native Americans are unusually Republican-voting?

[Libertarian Socialist Dem]

On an interesting arcticle, I fond an interesting picture detaling the white vote for each state.

Probably a pretty huge drop off in the white Louisiana vote from 96 to 2000...

[SingingAnalyst]

Big changes since 1980, when West Virginia was virtually the only state where whites voted for Carter (the others were DC, RI, MN).