AZ-Sen: Salmon, Schweikert considering

[RogueBeaver]

Only one will run, they're close friends and allies. At this point Salmon seems likelier, plus he's run statewide before. The crappy polling we have says both would start out as favourites over McCain.

[ElectionsGuy]

John McCain = Thad Cochran

[windjammer]

John McCain = Thad Cochran

Hmmmm, Mccain is in a much more unfavorable than Cochran was. However, he's a savier politician so he can survive in the end.

[Vosem]

Remember how McCain flattened Hayworth? Excited for a repeat performance.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Remember how McCain flattened Hayworth? Excited for a repeat performance.

Salmon and Schweikert are better candidates than Hayworth, and McCain is far less popular than he was in 2010.

[The Other Castro]

I have a feeling Salmon will end up winning the primary but lose the general

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

I have a feeling Salmon will end up winning the primary but lose the general

Unless the democrats run Sinema or Kirkpatrick (which is a legitimate possibility, but far from a certainty), I don't really see any republican losing AZ, barring a terrible republican campaign or an utter democratic wave. Carmona/Giffords/Napolitano would make it close, but it's hard to see them actually winning.

[Xing]

Considering how unpopular McCain is now, getting primaried is a legitimate threat for him. My tentative prediction is that if McCain survives the primary, he'll win re-election, but if he gets primaried, Democrats will have a real chance. It could be like Indiana in 2012.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

I have a feeling Salmon will end up winning the primary but lose the general

Unless the democrats run Sinema or Kirkpatrick (which is a legitimate possibility, but far from a certainty), I don't really see any republican losing AZ, barring a terrible republican campaign or an utter democratic wave. Carmona/Giffords/Napolitano would make it close, but it's hard to see them actually winning.

Sinema would be an opposition researcher's dream.  Kirkpatrick, Carmona, Kelly, Stanton, and Gordon all seem like they could win statewide.

[SWE]

I have a feeling Salmon will end up winning the primary but lose the general

Unless the democrats run Sinema or Kirkpatrick (which is a legitimate possibility, but far from a certainty), I don't really see any republican losing AZ, barring a terrible republican campaign or an utter democratic wave. Carmona/Giffords/Napolitano would make it close, but it's hard to see them actually winning.

Napolitano wouldn't even make it close

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

As expected and yes, Salmon is much stronger than Hayworth. In fact Salmon running would mean that McCain retiring becomes more likely but you never know with him.

[RogueBeaver]

Arizonans: who do you think would win a McCain/Salmon primary?

[Maxwell]

Sadly there are few Arizonans here.

Unlike Pat Toomey, McCain's approvals (at least the most recent polling) had him deeply underwater, not unknown.

I have a feeling Salmon will end up winning the primary but lose the general

Unless the democrats run Sinema or Kirkpatrick (which is a legitimate possibility, but far from a certainty), I don't really see any republican losing AZ, barring a terrible republican campaign or an utter democratic wave. Carmona/Giffords/Napolitano would make it close, but it's hard to see them actually winning.

Napolitano wouldn't even make it close

Indeed. Napolitano trailed McCain by 8 in the McCain at 29% approval poll (and disapprovals in the high 50s). She's D.O.A. if she tries to runs statewide again.

[Türkisblau]

Sadly there are few Arizonans here.

Unlike Pat Toomey, McCain's approvals (at least the most recent polling) had him deeply underwater, not unknown.

I have a feeling Salmon will end up winning the primary but lose the general

Unless the democrats run Sinema or Kirkpatrick (which is a legitimate possibility, but far from a certainty), I don't really see any republican losing AZ, barring a terrible republican campaign or an utter democratic wave. Carmona/Giffords/Napolitano would make it close, but it's hard to see them actually winning.

Napolitano wouldn't even make it close

Indeed. Napolitano trailed McCain by 8 in the McCain at 29% approval poll (and disapprovals in the high 50s). She's D.O.A. if she tries to runs statewide again.

Do you know why Napolitano is so unpopular?

[free my dawg]

Sadly there are few Arizonans here.

Unlike Pat Toomey, McCain's approvals (at least the most recent polling) had him deeply underwater, not unknown.

I have a feeling Salmon will end up winning the primary but lose the general

Unless the democrats run Sinema or Kirkpatrick (which is a legitimate possibility, but far from a certainty), I don't really see any republican losing AZ, barring a terrible republican campaign or an utter democratic wave. Carmona/Giffords/Napolitano would make it close, but it's hard to see them actually winning.

Napolitano wouldn't even make it close

Indeed. Napolitano trailed McCain by 8 in the McCain at 29% approval poll (and disapprovals in the high 50s). She's D.O.A. if she tries to runs statewide again.

Do you know why Napolitano is so unpopular?

Being an ex-Obama official surely doesn't help.

[LeBron]

That's the definition of a win-win right there. Granted, there's others like Franks and Arpaio who are even more incompetent than Salmon is, but Salmon (or McCain if he survives) could easily jeopardize this seat with the right Democrat and right climate.

Kirkpatrick, Sinema, Giffords, Carmona, Stanton and Gordon are all good options.

Napolitano needs to be avoided though. She destroyed her image and she apparently doesn't even reside in Arizona anymore.

[Negusa Nagast 🚀]

Can Napolitano even run? She's the President of the UC system and therefore is probably living in California.

[LeBron]

Can Napolitano even run? She's the President of the UC system and therefore is probably living in California.

It turns out, no, actually. I guess Arizona has a law that states you need to be a resident of the state for five years before running for elected office. This happened to Frank Riggs.

I guess she can be crossed off the list then!

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Can Napolitano even run? She's the President of the UC system and therefore is probably living in California.

It turns out, no, actually. I guess Arizona has a law that states you need to be a resident of the state for five years before running for elected office. This happened to Frank Riggs.

I guess she can be crossed off the list then!

That's too bad that California has one less chance to get rid of her.

[Miles]

Two related stories:

CfG singles out McCain's race and would prop up either challenger:

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On the other side, Sinema is forming a PAC:

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[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Sinema would be a far better senator than McCain. RUN, SINEMA, RUN!

[Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort]

Sinema would be a far better senator than McCain. RUN, SINEMA, RUN!

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Sinema would be a far better senator than McCain. RUN, SINEMA, RUN!

She'd lose pretty badly.  Stanton, Kirkpatrick, or even Carmona would be much better candidates.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Remember how McCain flattened Hayworth? Excited for a repeat performance.

I think McCain wins

[CLARENCE 2015!]

I hope these unpatriotic Tea Party scumbags go down in flames...... they are challenging a man who happens to be the biggest thorn in Obama's side to boot