AZ-Sen: Salmon, Schweikert considering

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Remember how McCain flattened Hayworth? Excited for a repeat performance.

Salmon and Schweikert are better candidates than Hayworth, and McCain is far less popular than he was in 2010.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

I have a feeling Salmon will end up winning the primary but lose the general

Unless the democrats run Sinema or Kirkpatrick (which is a legitimate possibility, but far from a certainty), I don't really see any republican losing AZ, barring a terrible republican campaign or an utter democratic wave. Carmona/Giffords/Napolitano would make it close, but it's hard to see them actually winning.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Sinema would be a far better senator than McCain. RUN, SINEMA, RUN!

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Mccain will be reelected. Synema should run against Flake if republicans win the white house.

Unless said republican president is GWB-esque terrible, AZ isn't electing a democrat in a midterm. The democratic turnout problem in midterms will continue beyond Obama's tenure.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

All right dems, time to draft Sinema.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Kirkpatrick is running.

Endorsed unless Sinema runs.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

It'll be McCain vs. Kelli Ward for the primary, probably. McCain wins 58-42 or so.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Ann Kirkpatrick is going to support the Iran Deal.

Interesting. Thought she might vote no and cite it as evidence of bipartisanship. (All republicans are against the deal)

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

If Salmon or Schweikert enter, McCain easily wins. Even a 40-38-22 victory is still a victory.

I'd like to see Kirkpatrick have a state rep. challenge her and win. Kirkpatrick supporting the Iran deal just before an election is stupid.

That's funny, I didn't know saying something over a year before an election qualified as saying it "just" before an election.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

If Salmon or Schweikert enter, McCain easily wins. Even a 40-38-22 victory is still a victory.

I'd like to see Kirkpatrick have a state rep. challenge her and win. Kirkpatrick supporting the Iran deal just before an election is stupid.

That's funny, I didn't know saying something over a year before an election qualified as saying it "just" before an election.

... Just before the primary.

It's like a GOP candidate supporting, say, fiscal irresponsibility half a year ahead of the N. H. primary.

Arizona's senate primary isn't until next August (yes, it's held separately from the presidential), and Kirkpatrick is unopposed.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Schweikert says that McCain can't beat Kirkpatrick. Possible sign he's still considering a run:

t.co/lKwxxiVdOG

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Sabato moves it to Lean R.

Really dumb. McCain hasnt any great primary challenger yet and he has really great political skills.

Kirkpatrick is by far the strongest GE opponent he has ever received. And while Ward can't win, she can still give McCain an embarrassing margin of victory in the primary (say, less than 15 points) and send him into the general significantly damaged. And Schweikert outright saying McCain can't win the general (whether he actually believes it or is just saying it to swing donors) is definitely a good sign for those who want him (Schweikert) to run.