Clinton vs Walker (user search)
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  Clinton vs Walker (search mode)
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Author Topic: Clinton vs Walker  (Read 4319 times)
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xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 30,282
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

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« on: January 29, 2015, 12:58:37 AM »

I actually don't think Walker would win Wisconsin in a close race. In a close race, Walker might do well enough among seniors to carry Florida, but I don't think his anti-union crusade would help him in Ohio.



That's assuming a somewhat close race.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,282
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #1 on: January 30, 2015, 08:38:00 PM »

^^ You see Missouri and Arizona going to Clinton before Wisconsin?? No way. The home state effect is not gonna be *that* large.

Walker won Wisconsin in 2012 despite it being a presidential election so I see it going that way. My belief is the magic number for both candidates is 43% which is Obama approval and if it is below that Walker beats Clinton and if it above that Clinton wins

Except that his recall was not at the same time as the presidential election.
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