Clinton vs Walker (user search)
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Author Topic: Clinton vs Walker  (Read 4341 times)
OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,780


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

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« on: January 29, 2015, 02:11:07 AM »
If Obama approval stay in the 40s



Clinton 275
Walker 263

Obama approval less then 40%

Clinton loses  Iowa from that map and loses election in house

Less then 33 % the map will be a lot worse




Walker 311
Clinton 227


Obama has strong approval


Clinton 343
Walker 195


Comes down to Obama's approval
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OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,780


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P
« Reply #1 on: January 30, 2015, 08:34:38 PM »
Quote from: BlueSwan on January 29, 2015, 07:36:47 AM
^^ You see Missouri and Arizona going to Clinton before Wisconsin?? No way. The home state effect is not gonna be *that* large.

Walker won Wisconsin in 2012 despite it being a presidential election so I see it going that way. My belief is the magic number for both candidates is 43% which is Obama approval and if it is below that Walker beats Clinton and if it above that Clinton wins
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