CPAC straw poll: Paul 26% Walker 21% Cruz 12% Carson 11% Bush 8% Santorum 4%

[Mr. Morden]

EDIT: Might as well make this the official CPAC thread, and sticky it.  Updates will follow, as they come out.

Second EDIT: Here are the straw poll results:




Original post:

http://www.politico.com/story/2015/01/cpac-changes-2016-audience-114650.html

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Sounds like, with the RNC reducing the number of debates, other organizations are trying to step in and create more unscripted debate-like encounters with candidates that don't actually qualify as "debates".

[Mr. Morden]

The CPAC promotional materials include an "Avengers"-like poster:

[Mr. Morden]

List of CPAC speakers this year will include:

http://cpac.conservative.org/speakers/

Bolton
Bush
Carson
Cruz
Fiorina
Jindal
Palin
Paul
Perry
Rubio
Santorum
Trump
Walker

[Mr. Morden]

The new format might in fact look fairly debate-like:

http://edition.cnn.com/2015/02/08/politics/ip-cpac-walker-cruz--jeb/

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[Mr. Morden]

The straw poll results from last year:

Paul 31%
Cruz 11%
Carson 9%
Christie 8%
Walker 7%
Santorum 7%
Rubio 6%
Ryan 3%
Perry 3%
Jindal 2%
Rice 2%
Huckabee 2%
Palin 2%

We don't yet know who will be on the ballot this year.  Bush asked that his name not be included on the ballot the last two years, but now that he's quasi-running a quasi-presidential campaign, he presumably won't make that request again.

[PresidentTRUMP]

The straw poll results from last year:

Paul 31%
Cruz 11%
Carson 9%
Christie 8%
Walker 7%
Santorum 7%
Rubio 6%
Ryan 3%
Perry 3%
Jindal 2%
Rice 2%
Huckabee 2%
Palin 2%

We don't yet know who will be on the ballot this year.  Bush asked that his name not be included on the ballot the last two years, but now that he's quasi-running a quasi-presidential campaign, he presumably won't make that request again.

Flip Cruz with Paul and Walker with Christie and i dont think much else changes.

[Mr. Morden]

The straw poll results from last year:

Paul 31%
Cruz 11%
Carson 9%
Christie 8%
Walker 7%
Santorum 7%
Rubio 6%
Ryan 3%
Perry 3%
Jindal 2%
Rice 2%
Huckabee 2%
Palin 2%

We don't yet know who will be on the ballot this year.  Bush asked that his name not be included on the ballot the last two years, but now that he's quasi-running a quasi-presidential campaign, he presumably won't make that request again.

Flip Cruz with Paul and Walker with Christie and i dont think much else changes.

Why would Cruz do that much better than last time?  If anything, he's faded since last year.

[Mr. Morden]

The Log Cabin Republicans will once again be barred from sponsoring any panels at CPAC:

http://www.politico.com/story/2015/02/log-cabin-republicans-cpac-115336.html

[PresidentTRUMP]

Not sure why this thread is stickeyed lol...

[SteveRogers]

The straw poll results from last year:

Paul 31%
Cruz 11%
Carson 9%
Christie 8%
Walker 7%
Santorum 7%
Rubio 6%
Ryan 3%
Perry 3%
Jindal 2%
Rice 2%
Huckabee 2%
Palin 2%

We don't yet know who will be on the ballot this year.  Bush asked that his name not be included on the ballot the last two years, but now that he's quasi-running a quasi-presidential campaign, he presumably won't make that request again.

Flip Cruz with Paul and Walker with Christie and i dont think much else changes.

Why would Cruz do that much better than last time?  If anything, he's faded since last year.

Agreed. I've said all along that Cruz peaked too soon. His attention whoring hasn't been nearly as successful this past year, and he's slipped considerably in the primary polls.

[Mr. Morden]

Christie will in fact be attending CPAC again this year:

http://www.northjersey.com/news/chris-christie-invited-to-cpac-1.1275368

Huckabee has declined to attend CPAC this year, as he's busy on his book tour.

More details about the new format:

http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2015-02-20/jeb-bush-chooses-to-be-cross-examined-at-cpac

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The full schedule is still being worked on, but it sounds like we tentatively have…

Thursday: Walker, Jindal, Christie, Cruz, Carson, Fiorina
Friday: Bush, Paul, Perry, (maybe) Rubio
Friday night keynote dinner address: Pence

Don't know yet when Bolton, Palin, Santorum, Trump, and others will be speaking.

[SPC]

Friday night keynote dinner address: Pence

Looks like we will have a new flavor of the month in March.

[SteveRogers]

No Huckabee?

[OldDominion]

Bump for Walker. Media interest in Cruz and Bush, meh for everyone else, and most of it soon forgotten. If you've ever been to one (went to the '11 one) the hype and handouts mostly bore you to death and it gets old quickly. Mostly people go for the networking and speeches.

[Frodo]

If you're creating a separate stickied thread for the Conservative Political Action Conference, then you should do the same (when the time comes) for the Southern Republican Leadership Conference, which is going to be held in May.  

[Bojack Horseman]

Think Trump will give a speech to a bunch of empty chairs again at this year's circus?

[Marnetmar]

Why do they always pick the craziest ones?

[Mr. Morden]

Here is the schedule:

http://cpac.conservative.org/agenda/

Some 2016ers on the schedule:

Thursday:
8:40am: Carson
1:00pm: Christie
1:20pm: Fiorina
1:40pm: Cruz
5:00pm: Walker
5:20pm: Jindal
5:40pm: Palin

Friday:
8:40am: Rubio
9:00am: Perry
10:20am: Paul
12:00pm: Trump
12:20pm: Santorum
1:40pm: Bush
4:20pm: Bolton
7:15pm: conference dinner w/ keynote address by Mike Pence

Saturday:
5:10pm: straw poll results announced

[Mr. Morden]

http://www.nationalreview.com/corner/414324/sean-hannity-interview-jeb-bush-cpac-eliana-johnson

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[Mr. Morden]

Any guesses as to who will be included on the straw poll ballot?  I guess last year, they had over 20 names.

[Mr. Morden]

The straw poll will include these 17 names:

http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2015/feb/25/cpacwashington-times-straw-poll-tests-17-gop-presi/

Bolton
Bush
Carson
Christie
Cruz
Fiorina
Graham
Huckabee
Jindal
Palin
Pataki
Paul
Perry
Rubio
Santorum
Trump
Walker

No Kasich, Pence, Ehrlich, or Gilmore.

[King]

No Ehrlich or Gilmore? Junk poll!

[Vega]

Why would they include Bolton or Palin and not include Pence or Kasich?

[IceSpear]

No Ehrlich or Gilmore? Junk poll!

#stopignoringehrlich

[Mr. Morden]

Why would they include Bolton or Palin and not include Pence or Kasich?

This article suggests that Pence was excluded because he isn't making any "meaningful moves" towards a run:

http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/233746-pence-out-of-running

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Of course, what has Palin done in terms of "meaningful moves"?  One trip to Iowa?  Kasich made one trip to South Carolina, so I don't see the difference.