CPAC straw poll: Paul 26% Walker 21% Cruz 12% Carson 11% Bush 8% Santorum 4%

[Mr. Morden]

A reminder that the straw poll results are due to be announced today at 5:10pm.  (Though based on previous years' experience, they often run late.)

That's early in the morning here in Perth, so there's a good chance I won't be awake yet.  So feel free to post the results here in this thread.

[Simfan34]

I expect Carson to win.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

1. Rand Paul
2. Scott Walker
3. Ted Cruz
4. Marco Rubio
5. Ben Carson
6. Rick Santorum
7. Jeb Bush
8. Chris Christie
9. Bobby Jindal
10. Carly Fiorina

[The Other Castro]

1. Ben Carson
2. Rand Paul
3. Scott Walker
4. Ted Cruz

[hopper]

Of anyone speaking on either day, I'm most curious to see how Bush performs in his Hannity Q&A.  I feel like Bush has a real shot at the nomination *if* he panders to the GOP primary electorate a la Romney 2012.  If not…it's hard to see how he makes it.  So is he desperate enough for the job to start pandering?  Because he hasn't done as much of it so far as one might expect from someone who really wants the job.  And this venue would be a good place to do it.

Yeah pander and you have a no shot at winning the General Election.

[hopper]

MSNBC article:

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http://www.msnbc.com/msnbc/cpac-tests-gop-2016-field

I don't agree with Mo Elleithee on much but Walker went over the line in my opinion comparing protesters to terrorists. He probably is just pandering the crowd but for us  Moderates we think twice about for voting somebody  that says that. That along with Planned Parenthood and Walker defunding it in his state brings up red flags about Walker in my opinion. He also said in his recall election in 2011 he wouldn't do right-to-work laws in his state for private sector workers now he says he is gonna do it. I am having my doubts about Walker right now. I'm not saying I wouldn't vote for him but like I said its red flags and enough red flags that are put up like Romney in 2012 I just can't vote for you.

[Mr. Illini]

Prediction:

Paul
Carson
Walker
Huckabee
The rest

[Senator Cris]

***IMPORTANT SCHEDULE CHANGE*** We will be announcing the CPAC Straw Poll results at 4:30pm.

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

***IMPORTANT SCHEDULE CHANGE*** We will be announcing the CPAC Straw Poll results at 4:30pm.

So much for being late, not that I'm complaining. That's only an hour away!

[PPT Spiral]

I predict:

1. Paul
2. Walker
3. Cruz
4. Carson
5. Fiorina
6. Rubio
7. Bush
8. Santorum
9. Christie
10. Perry

[BaconBacon96]

1. Paul
2. Carson
3. Walker
4. Cruz

[Senator Cris]

[RogueBeaver]

For a usually Paulite event, not bad for Walker - who didn't have a visible organization there, by all accounts.

[Senator Cris]

Combining first and second choices -- Paul 42, Walker 40

[The Other Castro]

Very good showing by Walker, somewhat surprised by Carson's 4th place finish even though he basically tied for 3rd.

[JRP1994]

http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2015/feb/28/cpac-straw-poll-rand-paul-wins-scott-walker-surgin/

[JRP1994]

1. Rand Paul
2. Scott Walker
3. Ted Cruz
4. Ben Carson
5. Jeb Bush

[Suburbia]

Paul may be the new "frontrunner" in March with Walker. We'll see if Pence and Kasich will join the race.

[BaconBacon96]

No surprise at Paul winning, although his percentage is down from last year. Walker's strong performance indicating again he's the candidate that can bridge the gap between the Establishment and the Tea Party.

[Senator Cris]

[Mister Mets]

Paul may be the new "frontrunner" in March with Walker. We'll see if Pence and Kasich will join the race.

It's not a major surprise given the libertarian activist presence at CPAC.

[pbrower2a]

MSNBC article:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

http://www.msnbc.com/msnbc/cpac-tests-gop-2016-field

I don't agree with Mo Elleithee on much but Walker went over the line in my opinion comparing protesters to terrorists. He probably is just pandering the crowd but for us  Moderates we think twice about for voting somebody  that says that. That along with Planned Parenthood and Walker defunding it in his state brings up red flags about Walker in my opinion. He also said in his recall election in 2011 he wouldn't do right-to-work laws in his state for private sector workers now he says he is gonna do it. I am having my doubts about Walker right now. I'm not saying I wouldn't vote for him but like I said its red flags and enough red flags that are put up like Romney in 2012 I just can't vote for you.

Bingo. Some lines are not to be crossed. Comparing benign opponents to pure evil such as Nazis, Stalinists, or now ISIS violates any concept of political decency. Peaceful protest is an essential part of democracy, one of the few non-electoral constraints upon excess.

Walker well knows that the way to satisfy his part of the electorate is to deny the Other Side anything. Such is a consequence of polarization. Most issues divide roughly 52-48, and some issues (same-sex marriage) offer no compromise.

...On Right-to-Work... Scott Walker's word is worthless. He backtracked when he saw impending defeat and struck again swiftly when he thought that he could get away with it. Such is politics by fait accompli, shown highly effective -- by Vladimir Lenin and Benito Mussolini.  

Scott Walker will captivate the religious fundamentalists who believe that economics don't matter (because This World is nothing but a test for whether one goes to Heaven or Hell) and of course those people who want America to be a place with no restraints upon entrepreneurial and executive greed, and perhaps a brain drain.  

The Right is going to love him just as the Right loved Goldwater in 1964. But Goldwater lost states that no Republican nominee had lost since 1936 and have not lost since 1964. I also remember how enthusiastic the Left was about George McGovern in 1972 and how astonished it was that the rest of America lacked enthusiasm for him by voting 49-1 among the States against him.

[Mr. Morden]

Bush actually made a strong push to get supporters there:

link

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[Maxwell]

Bush's 8% sounded good until I read that.

[Indy Texas]

Bush's 8% sounded good until I read that.

Yeah, sounds like he'd probably be in the sub-3% range were it not for that.