http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-republicans-idUSKBN0UD0X220151230https://twitter.com/MarkMellman/status/682260711200821248- In 2012, Democrats made up 44.7% of party-affiliated likely voters, compared to 39.1% Republicans, a difference of about 6 percentage points.
- Three years later, that lead had grown to nine points, 45.9% to 36.9%
- Among Hispanics who are likely presidential voters, the percentage affiliated with the Republican Party has slipped nearly 5points, from 30.6% in 2012 to 26% in 2015.
- Among whites under 40, the shift is even more dramatic. In 2012, they were more likely to identify with the Republican Party by about 5%. In 2015, the advantage flipped: Young whites are now more likely to identify with the Democratic Party by about 8%.