Bush +14 in Louisiania, Kerry +13 in Maine

[The Vorlon]

Bush +14

http://www.bayoubuzz.com/articles.aspx?aid=1453

Kerry +13

http://www4.fosters.com/news2004/March2004/March_10/News/reg_me_0310.04j.asp

[Lunar]

Youch, I'll have to get around to giving Bush Lousiana.

Also proves my point that Maine is out of reach.

What are your opinions on the polls?  Louisiana is supposed to be hard to poll.

[Rococo4]

Youch, I'll have to get around to giving Bush Lousiana.

Also proves my point that Maine is out of reach.

What are your opinions on the polls?  Louisiana is supposed to be hard to poll.

If anyone cares about my opinion, which I doubt, those seem about right. Maine is definently out of reach for Bush barring a landlslide.

[Ben.]

Youch, I'll have to get around to giving Bush Lousiana.

Also proves my point that Maine is out of reach.

What are your opinions on the polls?  Louisiana is supposed to be hard to poll.

If anyone cares about my opinion, which I doubt, those seem about right. Maine is definently out of reach for Bush barring a landlslide.

I agree… Kerry will probably win Maine by between 4-6%... despite the fact that it was close last time (just take a look at what Nader got last time… 5.70%!!!!)…

Bush however stands as good a chance as Kerry in carrying New Hampshire and I’ve always stuck by that assumption… having said that Kerry should be able to carry NH but it will be close…

Bush has good shots in PA, WI and NM... recently I would have said IA and perhaps MN however both a granting Kerry solid if only slim leads so I’d say both states lean to Kerry… for Kerry the most important states have to be PA, WV and OH for Bush he can hold what he has and go for PA, WI and NM and make a tougher play for MN and IA… But back to the original post I will bet money that Bush will take Louisiana and Kerry will take Maine (With Edwards or Clark as the nominee I wouldn’t have been that certain but with Kerry I’m certain)…              

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Bush is actually only on 51% in the LA poll... which isn't nearly as impressive as 14% sounds.
I wouldn't read too much into the LA poll (LA is impossible to poll accurately (look at the Gubernatorial race)... and the polling firm looks a wee bit dubious... but kudos to them for trying).
---
"Interviews for the statewide poll were conducted by telephone with 700 registered Louisiana voters on Wednesday, March 17, Thursday, March 18, and between Monday, March 22 and Monday March 29, 2004.

The overall margin of error for the statewide statistics obtained from the survey of 700 Louisiana voters is not greater than plus or minus 3.8% at the 95% level of confidence."
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LA stays as NCF on my map

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

That Maine poll is six weeks old!

[The Vorlon]

Youch, I'll have to get around to giving Bush Lousiana.

Also proves my point that Maine is out of reach.

What are your opinions on the polls?  Louisiana is supposed to be hard to poll.

Southern media is actually a decent firm, but hey, It's Louisiana.

There is an "old coot" (His own words) Named Vern Kennedy down there who seems to be the only guy who can poll that state.

The result seems a tad high for Bush to me, but that is pure gut reaction, not fact.

Maine seems about right.

[© tweed]

No surprise here.  Bush won't win Maine and Kerry won't win LA.