Southern Congressional Delegation (HoR)

[ElectionsGuy]

All the congressional house districts of these states:

Starting when the House had all 435 seats (1912). Let me know if I get any numbers wrong.

1912: 118/129 Democratic (91.5%)
1914: 119/129 Democratic (92.2%)
1916: 117/129 Democratic (90.7%)
1918: 116/129 Democratic (89.9%)
1920: 108/129 Democratic (83.7%)
1922: 120/129 Democratic (93.0%)
1924: 115/129 Democratic (89.1%)
1926: 117/129 Democratic (90.7%)
1928: 105/129 Democratic (81.4%)
1930: 118/129 Democratic (91.5%)
1932: 124/126 Democratic (98.4%)
1934: 123/126 Democratic (97.6%)
1936: 123/126 Democratic (97.6%)
1938: 122/126 Democratic (96.8%)
1940: 121/126 Democratic (96.0%)
1942: 121/128 Democratic (94.5%)
1944: 122/128 Democratic (95.3%)
1946: 117/128 Democratic (91.4%)
1948: 124/128 Democratic (96.9%)
1950: 122/128 Democratic (95.3%)
1952: 116/126 Democratic (92.1%)
1954: 116/126 Democratic (92.1%)
1956: 114/126 Democratic (90.5%)
1958: 116/126 Democratic (92.1%)
1960: 116/126 Democratic (92.1%)
1962: 109/124 Democratic (87.9%)
1964: 105/124 Democratic (84.7%)
1966: 95/124 Democratic (76.6%)
1968: 93/124 Democratic (75.0%)
1970: 93/124 Democratic (75.0%)
1972: 88/125 Democratic (70.4%)
1974: 96/125 Democratic (76.8%)
1976: 95/125 Democratic (76.0%)
1978: 90/125 Democratic (72.0%)
1980: 80/125 Democratic (64.0%)
1982: 95/133 Democratic (71.4%)
1984: 86/133 Democratic (64.7%)
1986: 89/133 Democratic (66.9%)
1988: 89/133 Democratic (66.9%)
1990: 89/133 Democratic (66.9%)
1992: 88/140 Democratic (62.9%)
1994: 73/140 Republican (52.1%)
1996: 82/140 Republican (58.6%)
1998: 82/140 Republican (58.6%)
2000: 83/140 Republican (59.3%)
2002: 86/145 Republican (59.3%)
2004: 92/145 Republican (63.4%)
2006: 86/145 Republican (59.3%)
2008: 82/145 Republican (56.6%)
2010: 104/145 Republican (71.7%)
2012: 110/152 Republican (72.4%)
2014: 114/152 Republican (75.0%)

[ElectionsGuy]

Until the 1960's, most of the Republicans were confined to the outer south (WV, KY, TN, and OK). Pretty much all the districts in TX, LA, AR, MS, AL, GA, FL, SC, NC, and VA would go Democratic. Then in the 1960's there was backlash over Civil Rights (especially in Alabama) and Republicans started getting elected, though there still weren't that many. By the 1970's, the growing urban areas of the south in FL, TX, and VA starting delivering Republicans to their seats. I'm still shocked looking at some congressional maps from the 70's and 80's where the rural very Republican areas (today) voted Democratic, and the urban areas, even those that now vote overwhelmingly Democratic, voted Republican. This is especially true in Texas and Florida. Through the 90's and 2000's, the rural Democrats in majority white districts started disappearing and those districts turned red. 1994 and 2010 were the knockout years for Republicans in the south, and today the only Democrat in a rural majority white district is Gwen Graham. Pretty much all the other Democrats are confined to urban and/or minority majority districts.

[Miles]

The map was exactly the same after 2010, except for NC; it lost its uniqueness .

[BaconBacon96]

Truly remarkable. Nice work.

[ElectionsGuy]

The map was exactly the same after 2010, except for NC; it lost its uniqueness .

Hey Miles, how in the world did Joseph Cao (R) win the New Orleans district in 2008?

[smoltchanov]

The map was exactly the same after 2010, except for NC; it lost its uniqueness .

Hey Miles, how in the world did Joseph Cao (R) win the New Orleans district in 2008?

I am not Miles, but i know: extreme corruption on part of Jefferson, who still managed to win primary, and low turnout..

[Miles]

The map was exactly the same after 2010, except for NC; it lost its uniqueness .

Hey Miles, how in the world did Joseph Cao (R) win the New Orleans district in 2008?

I am not Miles, but i know: extreme corruption on part of Jefferson, who still managed to win primary, and low turnout..

Basically this.

Keep in mind the election wasn't held on the same day as the Presidential/general election; it was a month later (rescheduled because of Hurricane Gustav). Jefferson would have likely hung on if the elections were held concurrently. The problem for him was that only a third of the November voters showed up.

Number of votes cast in the district:

November- 200K
December- 67K

Map:



Notice that Cao narrowly lost the Orleans Parish part of the district. Still, in Orleans Parish, you had white liberal precincts that were >65% Obama massively defect to Cao. Also the 9th Ward (the easternmost group of red precincts) is one of the least elastic areas; its usually uniformly >95% Democratic but Jefferson was averaging the the low-80s.

Jefferson, by contrast, was blown out in Jefferson Parish (ironically enough). The Democratic electorate there was (is) more working class and less machine driven; meaning they were less likely to hold their noses for Jefferson.

[Pessimistic Antineutrino]

For 1918, Democrats held 116/129 (89.9%) of the seats, which later became 115/129 (89.1%) when one of the Oklahoma seats flipped in a special election.

[ElectionsGuy]

For 1918, Democrats held 116/129 (89.9%) of the seats, which later became 115/129 (89.1%) when one of the Oklahoma seats flipped in a special election.

Thanks. For some reason the Wikipedia article on 1918 was incomplete.