If Hillary will win in 2016, what will happen in 2020?

[Senator Cris]

If Hillary will win in 2016, what will happen in 2020?

- President Clinton won't run for re-election and _____________ will be elected president.
- President Clinton will be re-elected.
- _____________ will be elected President, defeating President Clinton.

[IceSpear]

I'm not sure, but I have a feeling Tom Cotton will be the next Republican president. Either in 2020 or 2024.

[TNF]

The economy collapses in 2016-17 and her single term in office is a very unhappy one.

[bobloblaw]

The economy collapses in 2016-17 and her single term in office is a very unhappy one.

I dont know about a collapse, but it is highly likely she will inherit an full employment economy that is at its peak.

[Mister Mets]

It's hard for a party to keep the white house for four terms.

My guess is Republicans would be the favorites. Strong contenders would include runner-ups from the 2016 race (probably not Jeb or Huckabee), prominent freshman Senators elected in 2014, Marco Rubio, Kelly Ayotte, Rick Snyder, Bruce Rauner, Paul Ryan and the 2016 veep nominee.

[Frodo]

She runs for (and wins) re-election. 

[ElectionsGuy]

She'll probably get defeated in re-election.

[Devils30]

I feel like Hillary would either have a very rough Presidency or win 57% of the vote in 2020.

[SWE]

Hillary loses the primary to Martin O'Malley

[H. Ross Peron]

She runs for (and wins) re-election. 

[TNF]

The economy collapses in 2016-17 and her single term in office is a very unhappy one.

I dont know about a collapse, but it is highly likely she will inherit an full employment economy that is at its peak.

5% unemployment is not "full employment."

[5280]

Gets narrowly defeated, really difficult to see one party domination 16 years straight.

[bobloblaw]

The economy collapses in 2016-17 and her single term in office is a very unhappy one.

I dont know about a collapse, but it is highly likely she will inherit an full employment economy that is at its peak.

5% unemployment is not "full employment."

It is very close. The 3.8% unemployment that US encountered in 2000, didnt last very long.

[Lincoln Republican]

Hillary wants to be President so badly, she will not retire after one term.

She will fight with every fiber of her being to cling to office in a second term, no matter the circumstances, no matter the cost.

[Skill and Chance]

Gets narrowly defeated, really difficult to see one party domination 16 years straight.

With an opposition house of congress from year 3 on, I'd hesitate to call it one party domination unless Clinton gets a trifecta again.  Actually, I'd hesitate to speak of one party domination post-Truman really.  There was only a GOP congress for 4 years of the 20 year FDR-Truman saga, and the GOP streaks from 1920-32 and 1896-1912 included only 2 years of an opposition congress.  We haven't had anything like that for one party since. 

[hcallega]

If the GOP nominates Jeb Bush (or any establishment conservative) in 2016: The right-wing/Tea Party crowd will be in a much stronger position then they are today. Very possible that a Tom Cotton or Rand Paul-esque candidate wins the nomination. If that's the case, then Hillary will be the favorite (but again, winning the White House in four straight elections is pretty remarkable.)

If the GOP nominates a Tea Partier in 2016: The Republicans turn to a more establishment type (Snyder, Ayotte, someone of that mold) and is the favorite. As others have noted, the economy is probably not going to be as strong in 2020 as it likely will be in 2016. If the Republicans nominate a solid candidate, they will have a great shot at winning.

So overall the candidate and the economy matter the most. If the economy is good and the GOP nominates a fringe candidate than Hillary is the favorite. If the reverse is true than she is the underdog. If the economy is strong and the GOP nominates an establishment candidate, Hillary is the slight (very slight) favorite. Same if they nominate a weak candidate and the economy is weak.