Should Elizabeth Warren decide to run for president, the survey results indicate that many voters are open to supporting her.
Once voters are informed about her (and with no negative information provided about any candidate), Elizabeth Warren leads the field with 31% support in Iowa and 30% in New Hampshire, followed by Hillary Clinton with 24% and 27% support, respectively, and Bernie Sanders with 6% support in both states.
Meanwhile, a plurality of respondents remain unsure, including 35% in Iowa and 31% in New Hampshire. We should note -- this is not a so-called “clean” head-to-head ballot question, as voters were provided positive information about Warren but not other potential candidates. It should not be read as reflecting how Iowans or Granite Staters would vote if the caucuses or primary were held today. Rather, it should be read as an indicator that many voters in these states are “moveable,” open to supporting Elizabeth Warren when they learn about her, and like what she has to say.
These results show that Elizabeth Warren’s story and vision are powerfully persuasive, and that an opening exists for her to build the levels of support she would need to win in both states.
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Conducted over 7 days – January 30 to February 5, 2015 – and paid for by MoveOn.org Political Action, the survey asked 400 respondents in each of the two states (a combined 800 respondents) a series of questions about the economic agenda and messages espoused by the U.S. Senator from Massachusetts, followed by questions about their view of contested primaries or caucuses and their candidate preferences. The survey was limited to those who described themselves as likely to vote in the Democratic presidential primary or caucus. Links to complete poll results and methodology follow below.
http://de.scribd.com/doc/255434483/New-Polls-in-IA-and-NH-Show-Big-Opening-for-Elizabeth-Warren