Which NYC Republican can defeat Bill De Blasio in 2017?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 29, 2024, 01:25:15 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/State Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  Which NYC Republican can defeat Bill De Blasio in 2017?
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Which NYC Republican can defeat Bill de Blasio in 2017?
#1
Ray Kelly, former NYPD commissioner
 
#2
Bo Dietl, former NYPD detective and Fox News contributor
 
#3
Dan Donovan, Staten Island District Attorney and likely NY-11 congressman
 
#4
Vincent Ignizio,  NYC city (Staten Island) councilman
 
#5
State Senator Andrew Lanza (R-Staten Island)
 
#6
State Senator Martin Golden (R-South Brooklyn (Bay Ridge))
 
#7
Joe Lhota, 2013 NYC GOP mayoral nominee
 
#8
Former NYC mayor Rudy Giuliani
 
#9
Other
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 42

Author Topic: Which NYC Republican can defeat Bill De Blasio in 2017?  (Read 9659 times)
Suburbia
bronz4141
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,684
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: February 12, 2015, 02:28:17 PM »

Which one of these potential GOP candidates in NYC can give Bill de Blasio a competitive, exciting race that the national media would cover in the fall of 2017?
Logged
ag
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,828


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: February 12, 2015, 07:34:09 PM »

As of today, probably, none of these.  Of course, if there is something dramatic happening, like a big nasty crime waive, this would change. But as of today anyone of these will, probably, win Staten Island Smiley
Logged
Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,580
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: February 12, 2015, 11:53:20 PM »

This for 2017, Bushie for 2021 (by then he'll be looking for a job in NYC):

Giuliani certainly could beat De Blasio if he becomes unpopular.

Logged
bedstuy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,526


Political Matrix
E: -1.16, S: -4.35

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: February 13, 2015, 10:43:56 AM »

De Blasio won by nearly 50%.  And, Bloomberg only won in 2009 by a small margin running, 1. As an independent and 2. Spending $85 million of his own money.

You basically need to be well-liked, well-known, non-partisan and spend $70 million plus of your own money to win as a Republican.  No such person exists.
Logged
Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas
Ray Goldfield
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,616


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: February 13, 2015, 12:10:07 PM »

None of these. The way to take De Blasio down is in the Dem primary.
Logged
Zioneer
PioneerProgress
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,451
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: February 13, 2015, 01:01:45 PM »

Theodore Roosevelt might be able to, but seeing as he's dead, no living Republican can beat de Blasio, even Giuliani.
Logged
President Johnson
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,592
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.70


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: February 13, 2015, 03:47:55 PM »

None of these. The way to take De Blasio down is in the Dem primary.

^^ This. But only of de Blasio becomes very unopoular (through a scandal or so).
Logged
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 57,964
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: February 14, 2015, 08:22:20 AM »

De Blasio will be reelected.
Logged
Keystone Phil
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 52,611


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: February 14, 2015, 08:50:19 AM »


LOL THNX 4 THIS. WILL BE REMEMBERED WHEN HE LOSES LOL
Logged
Badger
badger
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 40,258
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: February 14, 2015, 12:40:08 PM »

None of these. The way to take De Blasio down is in the Dem primary.

^^ This. But only of de Blasio becomes very unopoular (through a scandal or so).

Yes and yes. Though among the choices given, I'd say Donovan would have the 'best' shot.
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,876


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: February 14, 2015, 12:51:43 PM »

hahaha please run a state senator from staten island for NYC mayor, PLEASE
Logged
publicunofficial
angryGreatness
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,010
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: February 14, 2015, 03:21:39 PM »

Maybe Giuliani, if you get a time-machine and grab September 2001 Giuliani and not post-2008 Giuliani.

Walker Republican is right, De Blasio goes down either in the primary or in the general to an Independent. I don't see anyone with an (R) next to their name beating De Blasio at this point, especially someone that runs solely on a pro-police platform like Ray Kelly.

I also seriously doubt the rest of the city would vote for a Staten Island candidate.
Logged
Suburbia
bronz4141
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,684
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: February 18, 2015, 04:29:28 PM »
« Edited: February 18, 2015, 06:50:30 PM by bronz4141 »

Golden could beat De Blasio. He's from a conservative area of Brooklyn and could appeal to blue collar voters.
Logged
warandwar
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 863
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: February 18, 2015, 04:50:26 PM »

Golden could beat De Blasio. Hey from a conservative area of Brooklyn and could appeal to blue collar voters.

Those two sentences aren't related.
Logged
Suburbia
bronz4141
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,684
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: February 20, 2015, 04:22:50 PM »

I don't know if Rudy can win in 2017. Maybe if De Blasio messes up bigtime.
Logged
Progressive
jro660
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,580


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: February 21, 2015, 09:19:59 PM »

Republican elected officials in NYC don't usually run for Mayor. The GOP bench is super thin. The best chance to defeat De Blasio is in a primary election or against an independent a la David Catania in DC.
Logged
Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
Sprouts
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,751
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: 1.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: February 22, 2015, 01:45:30 AM »

Don't look at me, I said Ray Kelly (though obviously NOTA). Golden #2. GiuLOLni was not on the radar here.
Logged
Mechaman
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,791
Jamaica
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: February 22, 2015, 08:57:59 AM »

Theodore Roosevelt might be able to, but seeing as he's dead, no living Republican can beat de Blasio, even Giuliani.

Yes, the man who came in third place in 1886 after a third party candidate running off of a gimmicky (and I'm saying that probably as his biggest fan on this forum) platform that appealed largely to radical Land Leaguers would certainly be the best bet.

All snark aside, New York City's politics have generally been pro-Democratic save for extreme circumstance.  Looking at this http://www.ourcampaigns.com/ContainerHistory.html?ContainerID=55648 it looks like that post-Civil War or so it looks like what has generally led to GOP rule is:

1. A VERY favorable environment for Republicans in general (I'm thinking probably the 1861 election, the candidates elected in 1894 and 1901 (generally very very good years to be a Republican) , Lindsay's election in 1965, and Giuliani-Bloomberg's first two terms).
2. Reactions against political corruption (this probably explains the on and off Republican victories during the late 1800s, Purroy's victory in 1913 (when the Democrats did very well elsewhere), LaGuardia's tenure (he even got FDR's endorsement).  And even then a lot of the Republicans elected in these scenarios had a large amount of third party/dissenting Democratic help to do so.

From the looks of it third parties and independents have had just about as much success as Republicans have had running for Mayor of NYC.  So yeah, if DiBlasio does go down it will likely be either in the Democratic Primary or because an ethics probe finds out he has been funnelling taxpayer money to fund his cocaine habits.  And in the latter case it might be a tossup depending on how he spins it.
Logged
Thunderbird is the word
Zen Lunatic
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,021


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: February 24, 2015, 01:00:28 AM »

None of these clowns.
Logged
Suburbia
bronz4141
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,684
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: February 24, 2015, 07:51:56 AM »

Golden or Ignizio could.
Logged
smoltchanov
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,376
Russian Federation


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: February 24, 2015, 10:06:04 AM »


Theoretically. But very unlikely. Republicans don't have another Bloomberg now - extremely well financed and very socially liberal. No one withut this qualities can win mayoral electon in NYC now.
Logged
MATTROSE94
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,803
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -5.29, S: -6.43

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: February 25, 2015, 12:47:26 PM »

I don't see any Republican winning the mayoral election in NYC anytime soon. The Democratic Party is so strong in NYC that even Hugo Chavez or Joseph Stalin could have won so long as there was a "D" after their names.
Logged
Flake
Flo
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,688
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: February 25, 2015, 12:50:13 PM »

I don't see any Republican winning the mayoral election in NYC anytime soon. The Democratic Party is so strong in NYC that even Hugo Chavez or Joseph Stalin could have won so long as there was a "D" after their names.

I wouldn't be so optimistic about democrats there. There's going to be another republican mayor of NYC, but I see no way for de blasio to lose at this point.
Logged
MATTROSE94
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,803
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -5.29, S: -6.43

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: February 25, 2015, 02:16:35 PM »

I don't see any Republican winning the mayoral election in NYC anytime soon. The Democratic Party is so strong in NYC that even Hugo Chavez or Joseph Stalin could have won so long as there was a "D" after their names.

I wouldn't be so optimistic about democrats there. There's going to be another republican mayor of NYC, but I see no way for de blasio to lose at this point.
Eventually a Republican will be elected NYC mayor, but probably not until the later part of the 2020s or early 2030s.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.064 seconds with 14 queries.