IA/NH/SC-Marist: 3-way Pub race

[RogueBeaver]

IA: Huck 17%, Jeb 16%, Walker 15%. NH: Jeb 18%, Walker 15%, Rand 14%, Christie 13%. SC: Graham 17%, Jeb 15%, Walker 12%, Huck/Carson 10%.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Huckabee is the one G O Per I would tolerate as the nominee, Walker and Jeb, I have a hard time with. Go Huck.

[Mr. Morden]

Iowa:

http://newscms.nbcnews.com/sites/newscms/files/iowa_february_2015_annotated_questionnaire_nbc_news-marist_poll.pdf

Dems:

Clinton 68%
Biden 12%
Sanders 7%
Webb 1%
O'Malley 0%

GOP:

Huckabee 17%
Bush 16%
Walker 15%
Christie 9%
Paul 7%
Rubio 6%
Carson 6%
Santorum 5%
Perry 4%
Cruz 2%
Graham 1%

NH:

http://newscms.nbcnews.com/sites/newscms/files/new_hampshire_february_2015_annotated_questionnaire_nbc_news-marist_poll.pdf

Dems:

Clinton 68%
Sanders 13%
Biden 8%
Webb 2%
O'Malley 0%

GOP:

Bush 18%
Walker 15%
Paul 14%
Christie 13%
Huckabee 7%
Carson 7%
Cruz 6%
Rubio 6%
Perry 1%
Graham 1%
Santorum 1%

SC:

http://newscms.nbcnews.com/sites/newscms/files/south_carolina_february_2015_annotated_questionnaire_nbc_news-marist_poll.pdf

Dems:

Clinton 65%
Biden 20%
Sanders 3%
O'Malley 2%
Webb 2%

GOP:

Graham 17%
Bush 15%
Walker 12%
Huckabee 10%
Carson 10%
Paul 7%
Christie 6%
Rubio 4%
Perry 4%
Santorum 3%
Cruz 1%

[Phony Moderate]

Graham certainly has a better chance at the nod than Perry, Santorum and Jindal imo.

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

#Sandersmentum
#Lindseymentum

Is this the first time the Bernie Sanders has gotten second place?

As much as I hate that Warren push poll, it would be interesting to see the same for Sanders.

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

#LOLRubio

He's not running for the ump-teenth time. He'd be a fool, and he'd likely lose the Senate seat after a national embarrassment.

[Tender Branson]

Walker and Bush are peaking way too early.

Don't think they can maintain this lead for another year and a couple months ...

[IceSpear]

Hard to believe...  
- Lindseymentum in SC? Seriously?
- Huckabee 1st in Iowa? Tied with Walker and JEB (lol)?

What is hard to believe about those things?

Because it is absolutely inconsistent with what previous polls showed. Also, #muhMarist showed a dead heat in Arkansas in 2014.

It isn't really...another poll from earlier showed Lindsey in second in SC (only 1 point behind first).

Huckabee does well in Iowa in every poll taken: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/ia/iowa_republican_presidential_caucus-3194.html

[IceSpear]

Thank you Marist for not including Warren!

Looks like most of her support actually goes to Hillary, big shocker! Not. Hillary isn't in the same position as Romney, with tons of voters looking for an "anti-Hillary" and will move from candidate to candidate in order to find them. This is exactly why Warren was the only one who had a prayer of defeating her. But #keephopealive for Jim Webb guys! LOL

I'm starting to feel bad for Biden. I mean, the sitting VP in third place in NH behind a 73 year old socialist with much lower name recognition? That's rough.

#Lindseymentum confirmed. And you guys doubted me...

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Thank you Marist for not including Warren!

Looks like most of her support actually goes to Hillary, big shocker! Not. Hillary isn't in the same position as Romney, with tons of voters looking for an "anti-Hillary" and will move from candidate to candidate in order to find them. This is exactly why Warren was the only one who had a prayer of defeating her. But #keephopealive for Jim Webb guys! LOL

I'm starting to feel bad for Biden. I mean, the sitting VP in third place in NH behind a 73 year old socialist with much lower name recognition? That's rough.

#Lindseymentum confirmed. And you guys doubted me...

Breaking News: IceSpear admits that he believes Elizabeth Warren can defeat Hillary Clinton for the Democratic nomination in 2016!

[PPT Spiral]

SC seems to be more evidence that brothers love Joe

[IceSpear]

Thank you Marist for not including Warren!

Looks like most of her support actually goes to Hillary, big shocker! Not. Hillary isn't in the same position as Romney, with tons of voters looking for an "anti-Hillary" and will move from candidate to candidate in order to find them. This is exactly why Warren was the only one who had a prayer of defeating her. But #keephopealive for Jim Webb guys! LOL

I'm starting to feel bad for Biden. I mean, the sitting VP in third place in NH behind a 73 year old socialist with much lower name recognition? That's rough.

#Lindseymentum confirmed. And you guys doubted me...

Breaking News: IceSpear admits that he believes Elizabeth Warren can defeat Hillary Clinton for the Democratic nomination in 2016!

Not really breaking, I've always said that. If Warren ran, I'd give Hillary about 90-10 odds. Everyone else has a 0% chance unless she dies. But since Warren is almost certainly not running, that rounds Hillary up to a ~99% chance of being the Democratic nominee.

[IceSpear]

SC seems to be more evidence that brothers love Joe

Though not nearly as much as they love Hilldawg.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Thank you Marist for not including Warren!

Looks like most of her support actually goes to Hillary, big shocker! Not. Hillary isn't in the same position as Romney, with tons of voters looking for an "anti-Hillary" and will move from candidate to candidate in order to find them. This is exactly why Warren was the only one who had a prayer of defeating her. But #keephopealive for Jim Webb guys! LOL

I'm starting to feel bad for Biden. I mean, the sitting VP in third place in NH behind a 73 year old socialist with much lower name recognition? That's rough.

#Lindseymentum confirmed. And you guys doubted me...

Breaking News: IceSpear admits that he believes Elizabeth Warren can defeat Hillary Clinton for the Democratic nomination in 2016!

Not really breaking, I've always said that. If Warren ran, I'd give Hillary about 90-10 odds. Everyone else has a 0% chance unless she dies. But since Warren is almost certainly not running, that rounds Hillary up to a ~99% chance of being the Democratic nominee.

Breaking News: IceSpear admits he never believed Hillary Clinton's nomination in 2016 was inevitable!

[Likely Voter]

It was be interesting to see the SC numbers without Graham. He could end up being a spoiler if SC becomes 'tie breaker', like Fred Thompson in 08 helped McCain beat Huckabee.

[Mr. Morden]

If Graham actually runs, and is only polling at ~1% everywhere except his home state, then I can't see his #s in South Carolina actually holding up.  I doubt even 15% of South Carolina Republicans like him enough to throw their vote away on him if it's obvious that he has no support anywhere else.

Of course, if he did somehow win South Carolina, and South Carolina does turn out to be the last state to vote before Super Tuesday, then Super Tuesday will be rather interesting.  I'd expect whoever wins SC to get that last bit of momentum that pushes them into a Super Tuesday victory, but not if it's Graham, who's only doing well in SC because of home state advantage.

[King]

Graham winning SC would be easy to write off by his opponents and the media likely wouldn't herald it as a game changer. It would be similar to how nobody contested Iowa when Tom Harkin ran in 1992.

[retromike22]

Graham winning SC would be easy to write off by his opponents and the media likely wouldn't herald it as a game changer. It would be similar to how nobody contested Iowa when Tom Harkin ran in 1992.

It could be like when Gingrich won SC in 2012.