Saskatchewan provincial election 2015/2016 (more likely in 2016)

[Filuwaúrdjan]

[136or142]

New NDP Caucus
1.Regina-Rosemont, Trent Wotherspoon,37, Regina Public Schools Employee, Former High School Teacher, M.L.A 2007-

2.Regina-Elphinstone-Centre, Warren McCall,43, M.P Executive Assistant, Former Lifeguard and Swimming Instructor and Union Activist, M.L.A 2001- and Cabinet Minister

3.Regina-Lakeview, Carla Beck, Social Worker and Assistant Executive Director Regina Transition House, School Trustee, M.L.A 2016-

4.Regina-Douglas Park, Nicole Sarauer,31, Pro Bono Lawyer and Pro Bono Law Society Programs Manager, Catholic School Trustee, M.L.A 2016-

5.Saskatoon-Riversdale, Danielle Chartier, Saskatchewan Department of Labour Employee, former journalist, M.L.A 2009-

6.Saskatoon Centre, David Forbes,59, Elementary School Vice Principal, former Union Local Executive, M.L.A 2001- and Cabinet Minister

7.Saskatoon-Nutana, Cathy Sproule, Federal Government Aboriginal Lawyer, Co-Owner Nesslin Lake Campground, M.L.A 2011-

8.Prince Albert-Northcote, Nicole Rancourt,39, Mental Health and Addictions Social Worker and Anger Management Group Facilitator, Union Activist, M.L.A 2016-

9.Athabasca, Buckley Belanger,56, Missinippi Broadcast Corporation Broadcaster, Producer and Adminstrator, Mayor of Ile a La Crosse, M.L.A 1995- and Cabinet Minister (Liberal M.L.A 1995-1998)

10.Cumberland, Doyle Vermette, School Trustee and Town Councillor, M.L.A 2008-

Proposed Shadow Cabinet
1.Party Leader, Cam Broten?

2.Finance/Deputy Leader, Trent Wotherspoon

3.Economic Development and Trade/Tourism, Small Business and Culture, Cathy Sproule

4.Natural Resources/Energy, Mines and Petroleum Resources, Buckley Belanger

5.Agriculture, Food and Rural Affairs/Environment, Nicole Rancourt

6.Transportation and Infrastructure/Government Services and Public Works, David Forbes

7.Children and Family Development/Human Resources and Housing, Carla Beck

8.Education/Advanced Education, Training and Technology, Danielle Chartier

9.Health/House Leader, Warren McCall

10.Aboriginal and Northern Affairs/Municipal Affairs, Doyle Vermette

11.Justice and Public Safety/Labour, Immigration and Citizenship/Status of Women, Nicole Sarauer

My guess as to the likeliest leadership contenders should Cam Broten step down
1.Trent Wothersoon
2.Cathy Sproule
3.Ryan Meili
4.Warren McCall???

[RogueBeaver]

Broten considering his future over the next couple of days.

Adam: Considering Meili's comments last night, seems more when than if.

[136or142]

Broten considering his future over the next couple of days.

Adam: Considering Meili's comments last night, seems more when than if.

I agree on Meili.  The question marks were for McCall who is the NDP's most popular riding M.L.A outside of the Northern MLAs.  He would be the only M.L.A with cabinet experience likely to run, but I understand that he's very popular in his riding because he's excellent at his constituency work, so he might not want to harm that by taking on greater responsibilities, especially as Cam Broten loss in his riding has been partly pinned on him not being around in his constituency enough.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

[Filuwaúrdjan]

[Hatman 🍁]

Two party swing:



Massive swing in Lloydminister and northwest Saskatchewan in general. I'm assuming they are feeling the benefits of the resource based economy.

In Saskatoon, Broten's seat sticks out like a sore thumb.

Looks like the NDP didn't target the right seats. Moose Jaw Wakamow should've been winnable, same with Saskatoon Fairview. They obviously did target Regina Douglas Park, which saw the largest NDP swing. Saskatoon University also saw a decent swing, but it wasn't enough for the NDP to win it.

[136or142]

Two party swing:

Massive swing in Lloydminister and northwest Saskatchewan in general. I'm assuming they are feeling the benefits of the resource based economy.

In Saskatoon, Broten's seat sticks out like a sore thumb.

Looks like the NDP didn't target the right seats. Moose Jaw Wakamow should've been winnable, same with Saskatoon Fairview. They obviously did target Regina Douglas Park, which saw the largest NDP swing. Saskatoon University also saw a decent swing, but it wasn't enough for the NDP to win it.

A massive swing against the NDP in all the northern rural ridings (i.e not Athabasca or Cumberland) except for Batoche and Saskatchewan Rivers.  The Lloydminster result only makes sense if the Sask Party MLA has become extremely popular there over the last four years, otherwise it is such an odd result that I'm going to assume that it must be either a tabulation error or a computer error.

There were a number of errors on the Elections Saskatchewan website on election night, including an initial improper reporting of the total number of ballot boxes (at one late point there were more ballot boxes reported to have been the ballots in them counted than the total number of ballot boxes) and also in Wood River and a couple of other ridings, the 'final' result continued to change after all the ballot boxes were reported to have been counted.  So, I don't think some error having been made in Lloydminster is an impossibility.

[Hatman 🍁]

Possible... the MLA in Lloydminster was elected in a recent by-election, so possibly still enjoying a honeymoon. Of interest though, the by-election had a similar result to the 2011 general election.

It's also a border community with Alberta, so perhaps it's also an anti-(Alberta) NDP vote.

[136or142]

Possible... the MLA in Lloydminster was elected in a recent by-election, so possibly still enjoying a honeymoon. Of interest though, the by-election had a similar result to the 2011 general election.

It's also a border community with Alberta, so perhaps it's also an anti-(Alberta) NDP vote.

A good theory, but the collapse in the NDP share of the vote is stunning.

[Linus Van Pelt]

Yeah, a clear correlation between the swing and oil extraction areas.

[Hatman 🍁]

That explains the swing in southeast Saskatchewan too.

Kindersley probably would have seen a similar swing if it weren't for a strong independent candidate. The NDP% dropped a lot, but the indy (former SP MLA) took a lot from the SP swing.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Yes, most of the swings 'make sense'. Quite the personal rejection of Broten though...

[136or142]

That explains the swing in southeast Saskatchewan too.

Kindersley probably would have seen a similar swing if it weren't for a strong independent candidate. The NDP% dropped a lot, but the indy (former SP MLA) took a lot from the SP swing.

As you may or may not be aware the Kindersley MLA is a cabinet minister who took a lot of heat over some scandal that he has been involved in.

[RogueBeaver]

Broten and Meili both got ratfycked by the same guy - twice in Meili's case.

[Hatman 🍁]

Ehh, the Liberal vote wasn't particularly high in Westview. Don't think Anwar played spoiler at all. Still though, the Sask NDP needs to do some rebuilding, if there's that many internal issues...

[136or142]

Cam Broten announced his resignation today.

[Krago]

The Statement of Votes for the 2016 Saskatchewan Provincial Election was just released.

Here is the PD map of Saskatoon:



And here is the map for Regina:



The rest of the province is solid green, with a few orange bits here and there.

[adma]

The rest of the province is solid green, with a few orange bits here and there.

Except the North, I presume.

[Jeppe]

Huh, just noticed that the Sask Liberals actually won a couple of (First Nations bands) polls in Rosthern-Shellbrook. Weird they couldn't replicate that success in any of the other reserves in the province.

[MaxQue]

Huh, just noticed that the Sask Liberals actually won a couple of (First Nations bands) polls in Rosthern-Shellbrook. Weird they couldn't replicate that success in any of the other reserves in the province.

Candidate was a local First Nation member.

[Krago]

Rosthern is also famous as the home of the "Rosthern Penis", an unusually-shaped donor recognition board outside the Station Arts Centre.

[Krago]

Back to election maps, here are the polling division maps for Northern and Southern Saskatchewan: