Mideast Record Courier: Live Coverage of the 2/15 Elections (Projected Winner!)

[ZuWo]

Talleyrand and Windjammer have it in the bag. The latter will receive around 25 votes (+/- 10%).

[Adam Griffin]

MIDWEST GOVERNOR:

As of Velasco

66.70% - 12 - Gass3268* (LAB-EX)
Arturo Belano, BrewerPaul, Marokai Blue, MaxQue, TNF, JLD, Gass3268, whyshouldigiveyoumyname?, JoeMad, Ogis24, GAWorth, Velasco
33.30% - 6 - Foucaulf (FED-MN)
BaconBacon96, Cris, Dereich, CELTICEMPIRE, Foucaulf, Snowguy716

Turnout: 18/33 (55%)

100% - Democratic-Republican
69% - Labor
50% - Independent
43% - Federalist
40% - Other
0% - TPP
0% - TD

*Incumbent
**Yellow indicates a tie

[Adam Griffin]

PRESIDENT - FINAL ROUND

As of smoltchanov

Bore - 20 (52.6%)
Maxwell - 18 (47.4%)

[Unconditional Surrender Truman]

Why have you called New Mexico? The only other resident, Cranberry, backs bore.

I was thinking the same...

I had Cranberry down as a resident of Oregon, for some reason. Thanks!

[Unconditional Surrender Truman]

Before we continue our coverage, the Mideast Record-Courier would like to apologize for several erroneous calls made in the early hours of the election. It appears the list of voters we were using to call states for various candidates had several persons listed in states they no longer resided in, resulting in much confusion.
Therefore, we would like to announce a change in policy in regards to these calls. For the rest of this election, the states in the map at the start of this thread will be colored as follows:

Maroon for states solidly in the Bore collumn
Red for states currently leaning Bore
Blue for states solidly in the Maxwell collumn
Light Blue for states leaning Maxwell
Orange for states solidly in the JCL collumn
Yellow for states leaning JCL
Green for states that are currently tied

This is a change from our original policy, in which we only colored states once a single candidate had a n insurmountable lead, and will allow us to cover this election more easily.

Thank-you for your patience.

[Unconditional Surrender Truman]

And now for an update on the status of the presidential race:

Bore (Lab): 30 (56.6%)
Maxwell (DR): 15 (28%)
JCL (Fed): 6 (11.3%)
Other: 2 (3.8%)
Turnout: 30%

Below is a map of the race as it currently stands in each state. Shades of red indicate a Bore lead; shades of blue a Maxwell lead; shades of yellow a JCL lead. States in green are currently tied between two or more candidates.

. Manitoba . New Brunswick .Ontario . Quebec . Nunavut

At this early stage in the balloting, Senator Bore has a commanding lead over both of his opponents. An update on the status of the Senatorial races will be released in the next few hours.

Also, thank-you to Griffin and Flo for their continued assistance with this coverage, and to all those who pointed out the errors we made last night.

[Adam Griffin]

MIDWEST GOVERNOR:

As of Rooney

60.00% - 12 - Gass3268* (LAB-EX)
Arturo Belano, BrewerPaul, Marokai Blue, MaxQue, TNF, JLD, Gass3268, whyshouldigiveyoumyname?, JoeMad, Ogis24, GAWorth, Velasco
40.00% - 8 - Foucaulf (FED-MN)
BaconBacon96, Cris, Dereich, CELTICEMPIRE, Foucaulf, Snowguy716, Gustaf, Rooney

Turnout: 18/33 (55%)

100% - Democratic-Republican
69% - Labor
57% - Federalist
50% - Independent
60% - Other
0% - TPP
0% - TD

*Incumbent
**Yellow indicates a tie

[Unconditional Surrender Truman]

And now for an update on the state of the Senate...

Northeast Senate
Talleyrand (Lab): 7 (53.8%)
Cinyc (Ind): 5 (38.5%)
MattVT (TPP): 1 (7.7%)

CJO Talleyrand has an early lead in this race, though independent Rep. Cinyc has the potential to stage an upset in this race. We are currently rating this election as Lean Labor (Hold).

Mideast
Windjammer (Lab): 12 (60%)
Spiral (DR): 6 (30%)
Others: 2 (10%)

In a race that was neck and neck right up to election day, incumbent Senator Windjammer has a convincing lead over Democratic Republican challenger Spiral. This is a seat that conservatives had hoped to flip, and they may yet succeed; however, at this point, it looks as if Senator Windjammer has the momentum. We are ranking this as Likely Labor (Hold), though this is subject to change.

South
Hagrid (Ind): 5 (55.6%)
North Carolina Yankee: 3 (33.3%)
Other: 1 (11.1%)

In perhaps the most interesting race on the ballot this weekend, incumbent Senator North Carolina Yankee, the longest-serving legislator in the history of the Senate, is the underdog. Independent challenger Hagrid, who was endorsed by TPP, is currently leading the senator by two votes. This is in contrast to Yankee's last reelection bid, in which he ran unopposed. At the moment, we are ranking this race as a Tossup, which in itself should be enough to worry Federalists. This is highly speculative, of course, but I think it's fair to say that it Yankee looses his seat tonight, it might very well be the end of the Federalist Party.

Midwest
TNF (Lab): 3 (75%)
Dereich (Fed): 1 (25%)
Cassius (Fed): 0

Incumbent Senator TNF seems set to win a sixth term in the Senate, with a 50 point lead over his nearest opponent as of this hour. It's too early in the race to make any calls, of course, but based on Governor Gass3268's performance in the gubernatorial race, we're ranking this as Likely Labor (Hold)

Pacific
Theodore Cranberry (TPP): 7 (87.5%)
Other: 1 (12.5%)

Incumbent Senator Cranberry is running unopposed this month, and enjoys widespread popularity within his region. We do not see any plausible way for him to loose at this point.

Based on these results, the Mideast Record-Courier has the following projection to make:

TheCranberry has been reelected Pacific Senator

Current Composition of the Senate

[LAB] [LAB] [? ? ?] [? ? ?] [? ? ?] [? ? ?] [TPP] [TPP] [TPP] [FED]

[Unconditional Surrender Truman]

Senator Bore continues to lead in the presidential race. Current tabulations are as follows:

Bore (Lab): 32 (56.1%)
Maxwell (DR): 17 (29.8%)
JCL (Fed): 6 (10.5%)
Other: 2 (3.5%)
Turnout: 33%

With two new votes for Senator Bore and the same number for Speaker Maxwell, the race stands more or less as it did, with Bore currently holding a majority of the vote.

[Unconditional Surrender Truman]

In the Northeast Gubernatorial race, incumbent Governor SawxDem has a commanding lead over his opponent, perennial candidate Poirot, with early counts showing the governor being reelected by a 33 point margin.

SawxDem (TPP): 6 (66.7%)
Poirot (Ind): 3 (33.3%)
Turnout: 24%

At this point, it is too early to make a call, but this is certainly good new for TPP and Governor Sawx.

Also in the Northeast, Representative Cinyc is narrowing the gap between himself and CJO Talleyrand. Current tabulations are as follows:

Talleyrand (Lab): 7 (50.0%)
Cinyc (Ind): 6 (42.9%)
MattVT (TPP): 1 (7.1%)
Turnout: 37%

And finally, in the presidential race, Senator Bore continues to lead by a large margin over Speaker Maxwell:

Bore (Lab): 33 (56.9%)
Maxwell (DR): 17 (29.3%)
JCL: 6 (10.3%)
Other: 2 (3.4%)
Turnout: 33%

[Flake]

Duke-Glory Days Amendment

80% - 12 - AYE
Duke, Flo, Maxwell, X, Pandaguineapig, a Person, badgate, oakvale, SJoyce, SMilo, AndrewTX, Miles
20% - 3 - NAY
Small L, Goldwater, JBrase

Turnout: 15/25 (60%)
Labor Party: 100%
The People's Party: 100%
Democratic-Republican Party: 100%
Other: 100%
Federalist Party: 40%
Independent: 20%

[Unconditional Surrender Truman]

And now for an update on the presidential race:

Bore (Lab): 35 (58.3%)
Maxwell (DR): 17 (28.3%)
JCL (Fed): 6 (10.0%)
Others: 2 (3.3%)
Turnout: 34%

The Senate is a similarly sunny landscape for Laborites, with all three of the party's candidates leading their opponents by comfortable margins.


Northeast Senate: First Round
Talleyrand (Lab): 7 (46.7%)
Cynic (Ind): 6 (40.0%)
MattVT (TPP): 2 (13.3%)

Northeast Senate: Final Round
Talleyrand (Lab): 9 (60.0%)
Cynic (Ind): 6 (40.0%)
Turnout: 39%


Mideast Senate
Windjammer (Lab): 13 (61.9%)
Spiral (DR): 6 (28.6%)
Others: 2 (9.5%)
Turnout: 42%


Midwest Senate
TNF (Lab): 3 (75.0%)
Dereich (Fed): 1 (25.0%)
Cassius (Fed): 0
Turnout: 13%


Meanwhile, in the South, Federalist stalwart North Carolina Yankee is fighting for his political life against challenger HagridOfTheDeep. As the votes currently stand, Hagrid is leading Yankee by a large margin, with roughly 2/5 turnout.

Southern Senate
Hagrid (Ind): 6 (60.0%)
North Carolina Yankee (Fed): 3 (30.0%)
Other: 1 (10.0%)
Turnout: 40%

This race is perhaps the biggest nightmare for the right, which began the campaign with high hopes of toppling Labor senators in the Northeast and Mideast and now finds itself polling a distant second in what was thought to be the safest seat in the nation. While Yankee still has a chance to pull victory out of the hat tonight, we are upgrading this race from Tossup to Lean Independent (Gain).

In the Northeast Gubernatorial race, Governor Sawx is currently flooring his opponent, perennial candidate Poirot. As of the hour, the governor is leading Poirot by a margin of 3-1.

SawxDem (TPP): 9 (75.0%)
Poirot (Ind): 3 (25.0%)
Turnout: 32%

[Adam Griffin]

Are those Midwest Senate results accurate? I haven't checked myself, but I thought you said Laborites were ahead in all three regions.

Also, as of Clyde's vote:

[Unconditional Surrender Truman]

With the addition of three new votes, Senator Bore maintains his lead in the presidential race as turnout approaches the 2/5 mark.

Bore (Lab): 38 (60.3%)
Maxwell (DR): 17 (27.0%)
JCL (Fed): 6 (9.5%)
Others: 2 (3.2%)
Turnout: 36%

This is certainly bad news for the Maxwell and JCL campaigns, who are now trailing Bore by 33 and 50 points, respectively. With two days to go before the polls close, we cannot rule out a late surge of right-leaning voters, but at this point it appears that such a surge would have to be quite impressive to overcome Bore's early lead.

[Maxwell]

Bore favored votes are clearly showing up early. The margin will close. The numbers are still there.

[Unconditional Surrender Truman]

Are those Midwest Senate results accurate? I haven't checked myself, but I thought you said Laborites were ahead in all three regions.

The percentages were correct (TNF 75, Dereich 25), the vote totals weren't. Of course, with Rooney's vote, it's changed now.

Current vote totals for Mideast Senate:

TNF (Lab): 3 (60.0%)
Dereich (Fed): 2 (40.0%)

[Unconditional Surrender Truman]

Here's an interesting breakdown like the one I provided above, except I'm now comparing the size of the electorates by party to their Census numbers:

As of Rooney:

I've got JCL with 6 and Maxwell with 18 as of Rooney. Interesting nonetheless... it appears the right is actually overrepresented at the moment--yet Bore is leading with 60%.

[Adam Griffin]

REPOSTING BECAUSE FIRST ONE HAD COLUMNS REVERSED:

Here's an interesting breakdown like the one I provided above, except I'm now comparing the size of the electorates by party to their Census numbers:

As of Rooney:

EDIT: Had columns reversed when posted; fixed

I've got JCL with 6 and Maxwell with 18 as of Rooney. Interesting nonetheless... it appears the right is actually overrepresented at the moment--yet Bore is leading with 60%.

I believe you're right (I was thinking JCL might have 7, but can't remember), but I'm jumping straight to the final round where most of JCL's votes flow to Max and 2 (Winfield, NJChristian) exhaust.

[Unconditional Surrender Truman]

The presidential race as of the most recent vote:

Bore (Lab): 39 (59.1%)
Maxwell (DR): 19 (28.7%)
JCL (Fed): 6 (9.0%)
Others: 2 (3.0%)
Turnout: 38%

Though Maxwell gains two votes as of the most recent count, Bore remains in the lead. Interesting to note is that, according to calculations by Mr. Adams Griffin, the Federalists currently make up a larger share of the electorate than they do of the population as a whole, while Labor and the DR turnout more or less matches registration. In terms of raw numbers, however, the Federalists are far behind in turnout. Roughly 3/4 of registered Federalists are yet to go to the polls, compared to 2/5 DRs and 3/5 Laborites. With the Labor campaign team having so far done an excellent job of getting their voters to turn out early, the fate of the race will depend on whether the right can catch up in the final two days of the campaign.

Meanwhile, in the Northeast, Talleyrand has regained a majority of the vote and is now leading both of his opponents decisively.

Talleyrand (Lab): 11 (57.9%)
Cinyc (Ind): 6 (31.6%)
MattVT (TPP): 2 (10.5%)
Turnout: 47%

As turnout in this region approaches the halfway mark, CJO Talleyrand leads his nearest opponent by 26 points, avoiding a second round.

[SWE]

Northeast Assembly:

   
Candidates=8 Seats=5 Votes=14 Quota=2.34
Raw votes
vote 1: (matt) (blair) (Winfield ) (clyde) (none) (none) (none) (none)
vote 2: (Winfield ) (rgn) (none) (none) (none) (none) (none) (none)
vote 3: (blair) (clyde) (matt) (pikachu ) (none) (none) (none) (none)
vote 4: (Winfield ) (matt) (pikachu ) (rpryor ) (rgn) (none) (none) (none)
vote 5: (pikachu ) (matt) (blair) (clyde) (Winfield ) (none) (none) (none)
vote 6: (blair) (clyde) (matt) (pikachu ) (Winfield ) (none) (none) (none)
vote 7: (Winfield ) (rgn) (none) (none) (none) (none) (none) (none)
vote 8: (Winfield ) (blair) (clyde) (rgn) (matt) (pikachu ) (none) (none)
vote 9: (Winfield ) (matt) (none) (none) (none) (none) (none) (none)
vote 10: (blair) (clyde) (matt) (pikachu ) (none) (none) (none) (none)
vote 11: (matt) (pikachu ) (clyde) (blair) (rpryor ) (rgn) (Winfield ) (none)
vote 12: (clyde) (blair) (pikachu ) (matt) (none) (none) (none) (none)
vote 13: (blair) (matt) (clyde) (pikachu ) (Winfield ) (rgn) (none) (none)
vote 14: (blair) (rgn) (dkrol) (clyde) (pikachu ) (none) (none) (none)
Round 1 votes
vote 1: (matt) (blair) (Winfield ) (clyde) vote value = 1
vote 2: (Winfield ) (rgn) vote value = 1
vote 3: (blair) (clyde) (matt) (pikachu ) vote value = 1
vote 4: (Winfield ) (matt) (pikachu ) (rpryor ) (rgn) vote value = 1
vote 5: (pikachu ) (matt) (blair) (clyde) (Winfield ) vote value = 1
vote 6: (blair) (clyde) (matt) (pikachu ) (Winfield ) vote value = 1
vote 7: (Winfield ) (rgn) vote value = 1
vote 8: (Winfield ) (blair) (clyde) (rgn) (matt) (pikachu ) vote value = 1
vote 9: (Winfield ) (matt) vote value = 1
vote 10: (blair) (clyde) (matt) (pikachu ) vote value = 1
vote 11: (matt) (pikachu ) (clyde) (blair) (rpryor ) (rgn) (Winfield ) vote value = 1
vote 12: (clyde) (blair) (pikachu ) (matt) vote value = 1
vote 13: (blair) (matt) (clyde) (pikachu ) (Winfield ) (rgn) vote value = 1
vote 14: (blair) (rgn) (dkrol) (clyde) (pikachu ) vote value = 1
blair = 5
clyde = 1
matt = 2
pikachu = 1
rgn = 0
Winfield = 5
rpryor = 0
dkrol = 0

Most votes currently held by a candidate = 5.
Number of candidates with the greatest number of votes = 2.
The tiebreaker says the first surplus to be re-allocated is blair's.
blair has exceeded the quota and is elected. If there are seats remaining to be filled, the surplus will now be reallocated.
Round 2 votes
vote 1: (matt) (Winfield ) (clyde) vote value = 1
vote 2: (Winfield ) (rgn) vote value = 1
vote 3: (clyde) (matt) (pikachu ) vote value = 0.532
vote 4: (Winfield ) (matt) (pikachu ) (rpryor ) (rgn) vote value = 1
vote 5: (pikachu ) (matt) (clyde) (Winfield ) vote value = 1
vote 6: (clyde) (matt) (pikachu ) (Winfield ) vote value = 0.532
vote 7: (Winfield ) (rgn) vote value = 1
vote 8: (Winfield ) (clyde) (rgn) (matt) (pikachu ) vote value = 1
vote 9: (Winfield ) (matt) vote value = 1
vote 10: (clyde) (matt) (pikachu ) vote value = 0.532
vote 11: (matt) (pikachu ) (clyde) (rpryor ) (rgn) (Winfield ) vote value = 1
vote 12: (clyde) (pikachu ) (matt) vote value = 1
vote 13: (matt) (clyde) (pikachu ) (Winfield ) (rgn) vote value = 0.532
vote 14: (rgn) (dkrol) (clyde) (pikachu ) vote value = 0.532
blair = 0
clyde = 2.596
matt = 2.532
pikachu = 1
rgn = 0.532
Winfield = 5
rpryor = 0
dkrol = 0

Most votes currently held by a candidate = 5.
Number of candidates with the greatest number of votes = 1.
Winfield has exceeded the quota and is elected. If there are seats remaining to be filled, the surplus will now be reallocated.
Round 3 votes
vote 1: (matt) (clyde) vote value = 1
vote 2: (rgn) vote value = 0.532
vote 3: (clyde) (matt) (pikachu ) vote value = 0.532
vote 4: (matt) (pikachu ) (rpryor ) (rgn) vote value = 0.532
vote 5: (pikachu ) (matt) (clyde) vote value = 1
vote 6: (clyde) (matt) (pikachu ) vote value = 0.532
vote 7: (rgn) vote value = 0.532
vote 8: (clyde) (rgn) (matt) (pikachu ) vote value = 0.532
vote 9: (matt) vote value = 0.532
vote 10: (clyde) (matt) (pikachu ) vote value = 0.532
vote 11: (matt) (pikachu ) (clyde) (rpryor ) (rgn) vote value = 1
vote 12: (clyde) (pikachu ) (matt) vote value = 1
vote 13: (matt) (clyde) (pikachu ) (rgn) vote value = 0.532
vote 14: (rgn) (dkrol) (clyde) (pikachu ) vote value = 0.532
blair = 0
clyde = 3.128
matt = 3.596
pikachu = 1
rgn = 1.596
Winfield = 0
rpryor = 0
dkrol = 0

Most votes currently held by a candidate = 3.596.
Number of candidates with the greatest number of votes = 1.
matt has exceeded the quota and is elected. If there are seats remaining to be filled, the surplus will now be reallocated.
Round 4 votes
vote 1: (clyde) vote value = 0.34927697441601785
vote 2: (rgn) vote value = 0.532
vote 3: (clyde) (pikachu ) vote value = 0.532
vote 4: (pikachu ) (rpryor ) (rgn) vote value = 0.1858153503893215
vote 5: (pikachu ) (clyde) vote value = 1
vote 6: (clyde) (pikachu ) vote value = 0.532
vote 7: (rgn) vote value = 0.532
vote 8: (clyde) (rgn) (pikachu ) vote value = 0.532
vote 9: vote value = 0.1858153503893215
vote 10: (clyde) (pikachu ) vote value = 0.532
vote 11: (pikachu ) (clyde) (rpryor ) (rgn) vote value = 0.34927697441601785
vote 12: (clyde) (pikachu ) vote value = 1
vote 13: (clyde) (pikachu ) (rgn) vote value = 0.1858153503893215
vote 14: (rgn) (dkrol) (clyde) (pikachu ) vote value = 0.532
blair = 0
clyde = 3.6630923248053393
matt = 0
pikachu = 1.5350923248053392
rgn = 1.596
Winfield = 0
rpryor = 0
dkrol = 0

Most votes currently held by a candidate = 3.6630923248053393.
Number of candidates with the greatest number of votes = 1.
clyde has exceeded the quota and is elected. If there are seats remaining to be filled, the surplus will now be reallocated.
Round 5 votes
vote 1: vote value = 0.12615725815909432
vote 2: (rgn) vote value = 0.532
vote 3: (pikachu ) vote value = 0.19215598581284624
vote 4: (pikachu ) (rpryor ) (rgn) vote value = 0.1858153503893215
vote 5: (pikachu ) vote value = 1
vote 6: (pikachu ) vote value = 0.19215598581284624
vote 7: (rgn) vote value = 0.532
vote 8: (rgn) (pikachu ) vote value = 0.19215598581284624
vote 9: vote value = 0.1858153503893215
vote 10: (pikachu ) vote value = 0.19215598581284624
vote 11: (pikachu ) (rpryor ) (rgn) vote value = 0.34927697441601785
vote 12: (pikachu ) vote value = 0.3611954620542222
vote 13: (pikachu ) (rgn) vote value = 0.06711566134063818
vote 14: (rgn) (dkrol) (pikachu ) vote value = 0.532
blair = 0
clyde = 0
matt = 0
pikachu = 2.539871405638739
rgn = 1.7881559858128464
Winfield = 0
rpryor = 0
dkrol = 0

Most votes currently held by a candidate = 2.539871405638739.
Number of candidates with the greatest number of votes = 1.
pikachu has exceeded the quota and is elected. If there are seats remaining to be filled, the surplus will now be reallocated.
The election is complete and the elected candidates are (blair) (Winfield ) (matt) (clyde) (pikachu ).

[Unconditional Surrender Truman]

In the Mideast, Senator Windjammer has expanded his lead as of the last vote, and now leads his opponent by a margin of more than 2-1.

Windjammer (Lab): 14 (63.6%)
Spiral (DR): 6 (27.3%)
Other: 2 (9.1%)

Of particular interest is that the most recent vote for Senator Windjammer came from former Senator DC Al Fine, a Federalist. Should this be indicative of a larger trend, it is certainly bad news for Mr. Spiral, who needs to carry the Federalist vote decisively to overcome Windjammer's advantage in registration.

In the Northeast Assembly race, current vote totals show Blair (Lab), Clyde (Lab), MattVT (TPP), Pikachu (TPP), and Winfield (Ind) being elected in a 6-way race. Special thanks to SWE for contributing these totals.

[Unconditional Surrender Truman]

And now for an update on the status of the Northeast Gubernatorial race:

SawxDem (TPP): 10 (71.4%)
Poirot (Ind): 4 (28.6%)
Turnout: 37%

While we will abstain from calling this race until more time has elapsed for right-wing voters to make a comeback at the polls, it seems very unlikely that Governor Sawx will be defeated at this point, meaning that TPP will most likely maintain a majority of governorships for the foreseeable future.

[Unconditional Surrender Truman]

With the addition of several new votes, the presidential race stand as follows:

Bore (Lab): 41 (56.9%)
Maxwell (DR): 21 (29.1%)
JCL (Fed): 7 (9.7%)
Others: 3 (4.2%)
Turnout: 41%

The geographic distribution of the vote is similarly lopsided. Currently, Senator Bore has leads in a total of 13 states to 6 for Speaker Maxwell and two for Assemblyman JCL. 12 states are currently tied between two or more candidates.
. Manitoba . New Brunswick .Ontario . Quebec . Nunavut

[Unconditional Surrender Truman]

In the presidential race, both Speaker Maxwell and Assemblyman JCL have made gains as of the most recent count. Current totals are as follows:

Bore (Lab): 41 (54.7%)
Maxwell (DR): 22 (29.3%)
JCL (Fed): 9 (12.0%)
Others: 3 (4.0%)
Turnout: 43%

Though Bore maintains his lead, increased conservative turnout is dragging him closer to a second round, which would likely favor his opponents.

In the Mideast Senate race, the gap between Windjammer and Spiral has widened:

Windjammer (Lab): 16 (66.7%)
Spiral (DR): 7 (29.2%)
Others: 1 (4.2%)
Turnout: 48%


In the South, SoIA Hagrid remains far ahead of Senator Yankee:
Hagrid (Ind): 7 (63.6%)
North Carolina Yankee (F): 3 (27.3%)
Others: 1 (9.1%)
Turnout: 44%

[🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸]

The presidential race as of the most recent vote:

Bore (Lab): 39 (59.1%)
Maxwell (DR): 19 (28.7%)
JCL (Fed): 6 (9.0%)
Others: 2 (3.0%)
Turnout: 38%

Though Maxwell gains two votes as of the most recent count, Bore remains in the lead. Interesting to note is that, according to calculations by Mr. Adams Griffin, the Federalists currently make up a larger share of the electorate than they do of the population as a whole, while Labor and the DR turnout more or less matches registration. In terms of raw numbers, however, the Federalists are far behind in turnout. Roughly 3/4 of registered Federalists are yet to go to the polls, compared to 2/5 DRs and 3/5 Laborites. With the Labor campaign team having so far done an excellent job of getting their voters to turn out early, the fate of the race will depend on whether the right can catch up in the final two days of the campaign.

  If Federalists have lower turnout, how do they have a disproportionately large share of the electorate?