TX-TT/UT: Cruz leads Walker

[RogueBeaver]

Cruz 20, Walker 19, everyone else in single digits.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Ouch! Cruz should be leading by 30+ at home if he wants any serious shot at winning the nomination.

[IceSpear]

This is actually a massive fall for Cruz. He was up 13 points in their last poll in October. LOL @ Perry being in 5th place with single digits in his home state.

Dem result:

Clinton 62
Warren 12
Biden 6
Sanders 5
Webb 1
O'Malley 1

#Hillaryunder70

[Donnie]

This poll shows that the conservative folks of GOP will go 2,5:1 for Walker in a matchup vs. Jeb

[King]

Walker's got this.

[Bakersfield Uber Alles]

Good news!

This is actually a massive fall for Cruz. He was up 13 points in their last poll in October. LOL @ Perry being in 5th place with single digits in his home state.

Dem result:

Clinton 62
Warren 12
Biden 6
Sanders 5
Webb 1
O'Malley 1

#Hillaryunder70

Biden at 6? O'Malley and Webb both at 1? Ouch. Why are we even talking about these guys lol?

Biden is the current VP and hasn't (to my knowledge) said that he won't run. O'Malley and Webb have decent experience and have made motions towards ruining (as with Sanders). Warren on the other hand has not made any efforts towards running and seems to be against it in general.

[Mr. Morden]

Cruz 20%
Walker 19%
Bush 9%
Carson 9%
Perry 8%
Huckabee 5%
Paul 4%
Rubio 4%
Palin 3%
Christie 2%
Jindal 1%
Santorum 1%
Kasich 1%
Fiorina 0%
Bolton 0%
Graham 0%
(yes, that's 16 candidates they included….but they left out Ehrlich and Pataki!)

[RFayette]

Walker's got this.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

I still think Cruz has a slight advantage due to favorite son-ness, but the fact that Cruz will have to put up a real fight to win Texas is bad, bad, bad news for him.

[Mr. Morden]

I still think Cruz has a slight advantage due to favorite son-ness, but the fact that Cruz will have to put up a real fight to win Texas is bad, bad, bad news for him.

If Cruz doesn't win any of IA/NH/NV/SC, then he won't be competitive in Texas or any of the other Super Tuesday states, and may simply drop out of the race rather than face the embarrassment of a home state loss.

I mean, remember when Giuliani was leading in New York by 30 points or whatever it was, but after he lost the first three primaries, McCain took the lead there?

Sure, if your home state is tiny and unlikely to be contested by the other candidates, like Howard Dean in Vermont, then you can still win it.  But Texas has a huge number of delegates, and will be contested by Walker and the others, so Cruz is doomed if he doesn't first win one of the early states to show that he's viable.

[AmericanNation]

Turning into a Walker Bush race.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

9% for Bush is kind of low, considering his family's political connections there, including his son.