MO-Remington Research/Missouri Scout: Sen. Blunt (R) leads Kander (D) by a lot

[Tender Branson]

49% Blunt (R)
36% Kander (D)
14% Undecided

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https://20poundsofheadlines.wordpress.com/2015/02/20/early-look-blunt-leads-kander-but-not-home-free

http://fox4kc.com/2015/02/20/blunt-beats-kander-in-early-political-poll

[smoltchanov]

Normal percentages. Especially - for republican-leaning Missouri and taking into consideration that  Blunt is an incumbent.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Well, so much for Kander'supposed strength as a candidate.

[moderatevoter]

Well, so much for Kander'supposed strength as a candidate.

I don't think people thought this would instantly be a tossup.

This is largely about expanding the map and wave insurance, in case the environment deteriorates for the GOP. It'll take a 2008 style environment or stumbles from Blunt. I think most acknowledged that from the start.

[Miles]

Well, so much for Kander'supposed strength as a candidate.

54% don't know who he is....

[pbrower2a]

39% favorability is awful.

[Zioneer]

Blunt having a 39% approval rating while 54% don't even know who Kander is means there's a lot of room to maneuver on Kander's part.

[user12345]

Blunt having a 39% approval rating while 54% don't even know who Kander is means there's a lot of room to maneuver on Kander's part.

[IceSpear]

As I said in the 2016 board, this is a partisan pollster with a thin track record. I'm sure someone more legitimate will come along eventually.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

As I said in the 2016 board, this is a partisan pollster with a thin track record. I'm sure someone more legitimate will come along eventually.

Once PPP poll does the gov race, then Dems will see the gap close. So far I see this as another pickup opportunity, along with IL Duckworth, OHio with Strickland and MO with Kander.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

As I said in the 2016 board, this is a partisan pollster with a thin track record. I'm sure someone more legitimate will come along eventually.

Once PPP poll does the gov race, then Dems will see the gap close. So far I see this as another pickup opportunity, along with IL Duckworth, OHio with Strickland and MO with Kander.

So, Kander gets two senate seats to himself?

When do you leave again?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It is early, and this is the first poll out of MO. Sestak isnt doing so hot in Pa, until Dems find a better candidate, they should spend resources in MO, with a winnable gov race, OHio, with a sure winner in Strickland, WI on Feingold and IL with Duckworth.  Rubio and Toomey look likely winners.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

It is early, and this is the first poll out of MO. Sestak isnt doing so hot in Pa, until Dems find a better candidate, they should spend resources in MO, with a winnable gov race, OHio, with a sure winner in Strickland, WI on Feingold and IL with Duckworth.  Rubio and Toomey look likely winners.

Strickland is not a sure winner, he'd just make it a Toss-Up, instead of Lean R. Feingold and Duckworth are also far from "sure winners", heck Duckworth isn't even the strongest option for IL dems (Madigan is)

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So, according to your logic, the democrats should see a race where they are behind by 13 (MO) as a more attainable target than one where they are behind by 10 (PA)?

When do you leave again?

[Miles]

^ Chill.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It is early, and this is the first poll out of MO. Sestak isnt doing so hot in Pa, until Dems find a better candidate, they should spend resources in MO, with a winnable gov race, OHio, with a sure winner in Strickland, WI on Feingold and IL with Duckworth.  Rubio and Toomey look likely winners.

Your bias and partisanship are annoying Try to be a bit more objective.

We agree on that point, one poll doent mean that Dems aren't  out of it, when he just announced. Just like Pa, it is one poll.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

No.

[Xing]

As I said on the other thread, this is Likely R for now. Kander can't be completely counted out though, as a well-run campaign in a good year for Democrats could make this race competitive.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Assuming Hassen runs, the Dems best chances are in OH, IL, WI, and NH for a senate takeover.

[The Other Castro]

Assuming Hassen runs, the Dems best chances are in OH, IL, WI, and NH for a senate takeover.

Ok?

[ElectionsGuy]

Blunt having a 39% approval rating while 54% don't even know who Kander is means there's a lot of room to maneuver on Kander's part.

And this will be the majority of the comments from now until October 2016.

[Brittain33]

Blunt's favored to win reelection, but this poll is not at all bad for a challenger this far out from the election.

[IceSpear]

Blunt's favored to win reelection, but this poll is not at all bad for a challenger this far out from the election.

I find it kind of interesting that a Republican organization rushed to conduct and release this poll within hours of Kander entering the race. Sounds like they're nervous.

[The Arizonan]

Don't the Democrats have a good shot at retaking the Senate in 2016? I mean, the Republicans are defending a whole boatload of Senate seats and turnout in 2016 should be a lot higher than in 2014.