NV-Gravis: Reid trails Laxalt, Krolicki.
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  NV-Gravis: Reid trails Laxalt, Krolicki.		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: NV-Gravis: Reid trails Laxalt, Krolicki.  (Read 4684 times)
Senator Cris
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« on: February 27, 2015, 03:05:16 PM »
Adam Laxalt (R) 48%
Sen. Harry Reid (D) 46%

Brian Krolicki (R) 46%
Sen. Harry Reid (D) 45%

http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/current-nevada-polling-scott-walker-leads-bush-does-best-against-clinton/
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Miles
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« Reply #1 on: February 27, 2015, 03:31:45 PM »
Excellent news!

After Reid's machine gives these clowns a good thrashing and Democrats gain more seats, Nevada's champion will be back leading the Senate where he belongs.
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free my dawg
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« Reply #2 on: February 27, 2015, 03:32:54 PM »
Shills gonna shill. Nothing to see here, move on.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #3 on: February 27, 2015, 03:34:58 PM »
If Reid can't even lead Laxalt in polls, he's looking quite dead.
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Free Bird
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« Reply #4 on: February 27, 2015, 03:37:15 PM »
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #5 on: February 27, 2015, 03:50:02 PM »
Eh I expected him to be trailing by more, I think he squeaks out one more.
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Vega
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« Reply #6 on: February 27, 2015, 04:03:04 PM »
If he's only trailing by that now, than I'm pretty sure he'll win next year.

He was trailing Angle by 6 and came around to defeat her by about that margin.
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Vosem
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« Reply #7 on: February 27, 2015, 04:09:30 PM »
It's Gravis. The race could be anywhere. I find it interesting that they didn't test Roberson, who seems like the likeliest nominee, but Roberson's name recognition is probably pretty poor right now.
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moderatevoter
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« Reply #8 on: February 27, 2015, 04:26:09 PM »
I wouldn't be confident about any Republican against Reid, unless it was Sandoval.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #9 on: February 27, 2015, 04:30:46 PM »
Neither of them are running... or at least this time, in Laxalt's case.
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SPC
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« Reply #10 on: February 27, 2015, 05:18:03 PM »
It would be awesome if Laxalt entered the Senate by defeating the same man that his grandfather did.
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Zioneer
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« Reply #11 on: February 27, 2015, 05:35:49 PM »
It's Gravis, so Reid is probably actually slightly ahead at this point, if Gravis' usual accuracy holds true.
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Xing
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« Reply #12 on: February 27, 2015, 08:32:24 PM »
I never trust polling in Nevada. Especially if it's Gravis.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #13 on: February 27, 2015, 09:48:35 PM »
Quote from: Vega on February 27, 2015, 04:03:04 PM
If he's only trailing by that now, than I'm pretty sure he'll win next year.

He was trailing Angle by 6 and came around to defeat her by about that margin.

It's dangerous to assume previous polling bias in future polling bias.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #14 on: February 28, 2015, 12:52:42 AM »

yes I too fully expect Reid to vanquish whichever dinosaur robot the GOP nominates.

That said I would like to see some quality polling here. Hopefully Vox Populi goes into the field soon.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #15 on: February 28, 2015, 02:07:14 AM »
>Gravis
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Türkisblau
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« Reply #16 on: February 28, 2015, 04:13:39 AM »
« Edited: February 28, 2015, 04:16:29 AM by Pacific Speaker Türkisblau »
Yes, please nominate Adam Laxalt, Republicans. Reid looked dead in 2010 as well...

Quote from: IndyRep on February 27, 2015, 03:37:41 PM
Quote from: Wulfric on February 27, 2015, 03:34:58 PM
If Reid can't even lead Laxalt in polls, he's looking quite dead.

But, but...
#muhTurnoutMachine   
#muhSharronAngle
#muhHispanics

Stop the goddamn hashtags man. They were never funny or remotely effective at satire in the first place.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
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« Reply #17 on: February 28, 2015, 04:17:55 AM »
Well that's better than he polled in 2010..... RIGHT BEFORE THE ELECTION!
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #18 on: February 28, 2015, 09:07:06 AM »
As I've noted elsewhere, the reid turnout machine doesn't exist. Reid is unpopular and will run behind Hillary in Nevada, no question about it. He just has to hope that Hillary wins NV by enough to carry him over the finish line. Here's some rough early estimates.

Reid:
vs. Angle - Reid runs ~1 point behind Hillary (ex. If Hillary gets 55%, Reid will get about 54%).
vs. Row Officer - Reid runs ~3 points behind Hillary.
vs. Beers/Roberson - Reid runs ~5 points behind Hillary.
vs. Krolicki/Hutchinson - Reid runs ~7 points behind Hillary.
vs. Sandoval - Reid runs AT LEAST 11 points behind Hillary.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #19 on: February 28, 2015, 09:45:40 AM »
Ralston asked Gravis why they chose Krolicki and Laxalt, they said it was just a guess. Ralston reiterated that he doesn't think a Laxalt run is that far-fetched, and that the crosstabs seem mostly solid.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #20 on: February 28, 2015, 10:43:31 AM »
« Edited: February 28, 2015, 11:04:24 AM by OC »
Quote from: OC on February 27, 2015, 05:32:21 PM
Quote from: OC on February 27, 2015, 05:27:26 PM
Bad news for Leader Reid. Path to majority control goes through OH, with Strickland in race. Wouldnt be shocked if Dems won anyway without him and CRONIBUS, NH, IL, WI, CO,OH, and Pa. Net four seats without Reid, who is in worst shape than Bennett.

Schumer will become leader, hopefully majority leader and progressives will have one of their own in there.
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moderatevoter
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« Reply #21 on: February 28, 2015, 12:48:16 PM »
Don't progressives dislike Schumer too?
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #22 on: February 28, 2015, 02:10:33 PM »
Moderation havent done Dems any good, since the GOP shut down the govt anyway. CRONIBUS, Reid passed was useless.

That's why Dems are mad at Reid.
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Consciously Unconscious
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« Reply #23 on: February 28, 2015, 02:38:39 PM »
Sharon Angle might end up being the Ken Buck of this cycle.
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free my dawg
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« Reply #24 on: February 28, 2015, 03:02:37 PM »
« Edited: February 28, 2015, 03:32:57 PM by Sawx, King in the North »
ITT: GOP hacks trumpet a poll from "independent" firm that's well-known for being a Republican stooge as legit.
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