How does Walker beat Hillary?

[bobloblaw]

Rarely does a party win the white house three terms in a row....simple as that.

Except for 1980-1992, 1932-1952, 1920-1932, 1896-1912, 1868-1884, and 1800-1828, totally. Except for those 104 years of our 224 years of presidential elections, it simply never happens.

Ill bet everyone of those instances when the party won a third term, they won a 2nd term by a large margin, not the third closest in history. I do agree that it is more likely to happen in 2016 than in the past because the GOP has the blame of Iraq and Economic meltdown

[bobloblaw]

President Obama's last two years will need to mirror President Bush's last two years. So far that hasn't happened, but there's still along ways to go.

They dont have to be that bad. McCain lost by 7, Hillary can lose by 1. Eisenhower had a bad last two years but not a disaster. Clinton had a pretty good last 2 years policywise but personally they were poor.

[bobloblaw]

Albert Gore Jr.   Joseph Lieberman   Democratic   4,113,791   60.22%   
George W. Bush   Richard Cheney   Republican   2,405,676   35.22%

Hillary Rodham Clinton   Democratic   3,747,310   55.27%
Rick Lazio   Republican   2,915,730   43.01%

This is a pretty good indication of Hillary's lack of popularity. She won by 12 when Gore won by 25. There was clearly no wave of women for Hillary. Gore almost certainly did better among women than Hillary did and frankly with every other Dem group. This is one data point indicating that all of Hillary's strengths are myths.

[bobloblaw]

Right now Id say the odds favor Hillary but less than they favored Obama in 2012

[bobloblaw]

Right now Id say the odds favor Hillary but less than they favored Obama in 2012

Republicans living in 2012 would vehemently disagree. He's going DOWN. There's no way someone with his unemployment rate can win. None whatsoever. Who cares what the polls say?

Plus the Redskins lost. And D+7.

D+7? It was a 4 point Obama win in 2012. The third closest re-election in US history.