How does Walker beat Hillary?

[pbrower2a]

1. Unforeseen scandal

2. Economic meltdown

3. Catastrophic war associated with the Democrats

4. Rigged election


...Scott Walker is not the Republican equivalent of John F. Kennedy.

[pbrower2a]

Right-to-Work (but only for much less)  legislation is not moderation. Walker is a mirror-image of a Marxist, the sort of person who takes delight in the vices that Marx saw in the capitalist order of his time instead (as any decent person would do) of seeing those as abominable or unnecessary.

Moderate? Nothing about him is moderate.

[pbrower2a]

It would be wise to make the election about character and trust.

Hillary Clinton is not the candidate who can ever say "You may not agree with me on everything, but I will always tell you the truth" and have people believe her.

As if Republicans don't have the problem of trust, too.

They will have had the House for six years and the Senate for two. I don't care how honest the salesman is I am not going to buy a Yugo.

[pbrower2a]

Scott Walker is so polarizing that his floor and his ceiling will be very close.

He wins if America has another evangelical or fundamentalist mass conversion like that of the 1970s and 1980s... possible but hardly predictable. He will win the evangelical and fundamentalist Christian, except among blacks (who can separate religion from economic interests handily) vote very easily.

On the other side he will lose secular voters as completely as he will win the evangelical and fundamentalist vote. To his benefit the secular vote is much smaller than the evangelical and fundamentalist vote. He will get all former Confederate states except perhaps Virginia, North Carolina, and Florida -- but any one of those ensures a Clinton victory.

He must avoid contradicting himself. If he says one thing in Columbus, Georgia and its diametric opposite in Columbus, Ohio, then he will be exposed as a liar or a fool.

Inside the Blue Wall, people will have to be desperate to vote for him in majority numbers. They would need to believe that working to exhaustion for near-starvation wages is better than the alternative of a looming Depression. Does anyone want a return to the economic realities of early capitalism as Charles Dickens and Karl Marx so masterfully portrayed?

He is not a libertarian. The only 'liberty' that he will offer is the right of employers to avoid dealing with unions, the right to make a workplace more dangerous so long as that speeds up productivity, the right to pollute with impunity, and the right to pay lower taxes -- and for workers, the right to undercut to hold a job. Any privatization is likely to come with the stench of crony capitalism attached.

People will largely have to be desperate to vote for him.