How does Walker beat Hillary? (user search)
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  How does Walker beat Hillary? (search mode)
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Author Topic: How does Walker beat Hillary?  (Read 5607 times)
King
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Posts: 29,356
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« on: March 03, 2015, 10:10:23 AM »

Rarely does a party win the white house three terms in a row....simple as that.

Except for 1980-1992, 1932-1952, 1920-1932, 1896-1912, 1868-1884, and 1800-1828, totally. Except for those 104 years of our 224 years of presidential elections, it simply never happens.
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King
intermoderate
Atlas Star
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Posts: 29,356
United States


« Reply #1 on: March 03, 2015, 10:12:42 AM »

Albert Gore Jr.   Joseph Lieberman   Democratic   4,113,791   60.22%   
George W. Bush   Richard Cheney   Republican   2,405,676   35.22%

Hillary Rodham Clinton   Democratic   3,747,310   55.27%
Rick Lazio   Republican   2,915,730   43.01%

Barack H. Obama   Joseph R. Biden, Jr.   Democratic   1,921,761   60.67%
Willard Mitt Romney   Paul Ryan   Republican   1,188,460   37.52%

Elizabeth Warren   Democratic   1,696,346   53.74%
Scott Brown   Republican   1,458,048   46.19%
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King
intermoderate
Atlas Star
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Posts: 29,356
United States


« Reply #2 on: March 03, 2015, 10:44:46 AM »

Right now Id say the odds favor Hillary but less than they favored Obama in 2012

Republicans living in 2012 would vehemently disagree. He's going DOWN. There's no way someone with his unemployment rate can win. None whatsoever. Who cares what the polls say?

Plus the Redskins lost. And D+7.
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King
intermoderate
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Posts: 29,356
United States


« Reply #3 on: March 03, 2015, 10:52:11 AM »

Rarely does a party win the white house three terms in a row....simple as that.

Except for 1980-1992, 1932-1952, 1920-1932, 1896-1912, 1868-1884, and 1800-1828, totally. Except for those 104 years of our 224 years of presidential elections, it simply never happens.

Ill bet everyone of those instances when the party won a third term, they won a 2nd term by a large margin, not the third closest in history. I do agree that it is more likely to happen in 2016 than in the past because the GOP has the blame of Iraq and Economic meltdown

You would be incorrect. McKinley vs William Jennings Bryan was close, Hayes won controversially in 1876, and it did not effect the party victory 4 years later.

All of this is nonsense anyway. People don't vote based on the position of the stars. Democrats could lose in 2016, they could win 2016, we could go 48 years without another Republican President, we could go 100 years without another Democratic President.  We could go on a string of 20 consecutive one term Presidents each defeated by the next challenger on the opposite party.

Precedent doesn't determine what happens next. Public opinion polls suggest what happens next and they are suggesting Hillary.
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King
intermoderate
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,356
United States


« Reply #4 on: March 03, 2015, 03:36:59 PM »

Right now Id say the odds favor Hillary but less than they favored Obama in 2012

Republicans living in 2012 would vehemently disagree. He's going DOWN. There's no way someone with his unemployment rate can win. None whatsoever. Who cares what the polls say?

Plus the Redskins lost. And D+7.

D+7?Huh It was a 4 point Obama win in 2012. The third closest re-election in US history.

So you were too young to remember 2012. Got it.
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