NC-SEN: Burr Looking Good, even against Hagan

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Burr - 44%
Cowell - 38%

Burr - 50%
Hagan - 43%

Burr - 45%
(Anthony) Foxx - 36%

Burr - 45%
(Allen) Joines - 33%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2015/03/mccrory-leads-cooper-by-just-2.html

[moderatevoter]

Burr should be fine unless the environment goes south. At this point, I think Hagan is too damaged.

[Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort]

It is impossible for Hagan to get her over 50% unfavorables down. It's a shame, since she really did nothing that warrants THAT much hatred.

[free my dawg]

omg no way

[Free Bird]

This makes me sad

[IceSpear]

Too bad NC has been brainwashed by the Kochs into hating Hagan for no reason. I guess Cowell is the best hope then.

[windjammer]

This is NC. So:
-Republicans win the WH: Burr hold
-Democrats hold narrowly thr WH: Burr hold
-Democrats win the 2016 election in a landslide:  Hagan pick up.

[SWE]

Hagan would be a terrible candidate. Is the Democratic bench in NC seriously pathetic enough that she's actually being considered?

[Sol]

Yeah, I suspect Burr quietly coasts to victory.

Hagan was literally denounced in every other ad back last year--she was particularly dented by attacks on her missing hearings regarding ISIS.

[Maxwell]

She also made Tillis' negatives worse than hers AND SHE STILL LOST. Hagan is really not worthy of a second chance.

[PAK Man]

Hagan would be a terrible candidate. Is the Democratic bench in NC seriously pathetic enough that she's actually being considered?

I don't see how you can consider someone a terrible candidate given they were a Democrat that only lost by two points in a Republican wave year.

Personally, I think Hagan will sit 2016 out, but I can see her coming back eventually.

[Miles]

Hagan is really not worthy of a second chance.

Well, I'd rather her not run again, but I'm not sure I'd go that far.

[Maxwell]

Hagan would be a terrible candidate. Is the Democratic bench in NC seriously pathetic enough that she's actually being considered?

I don't see how you can consider someone a terrible candidate given they were a Democrat that only lost by two points in a Republican wave year.

Personally, I think Hagan will sit 2016 out, but I can see her coming back eventually.

Because she ran against Thom Tillis

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

If she couldn't beat Tillis she won't beat Burr except in the most intense of pro-Democratic wave years.

[Vega]

Hagan would be a terrible candidate. Is the Democratic bench in NC seriously pathetic enough that she's actually being considered?

I don't see how you can consider someone a terrible candidate given they were a Democrat that only lost by two points in a Republican wave year.

Personally, I think Hagan will sit 2016 out, but I can see her coming back eventually.

Because she ran against Thom Tillis

To be fair, anybody named "Thom" probably isn't the sharpest crayon in pack.

[pbrower2a]

It is impossible for Hagan to get her over 50% unfavorables down. It's a shame, since she really did nothing that warrants THAT much hatred.

A politician running afoul of the Koch syndicate will have his reputation run through toxic waste.

[Del Tachi]

Is Josh Stein interested in running?

[Miles]

^ Stein is running for AG.

[SWE]

Hagan would be a terrible candidate. Is the Democratic bench in NC seriously pathetic enough that she's actually being considered?

I don't see how you can consider someone a terrible candidate given they were a Democrat that only lost by two points in a Republican wave year.

Personally, I think Hagan will sit 2016 out, but I can see her coming back eventually.

Losing to Thom Tillis by any margin=automatic joke

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Hagan would be a terrible candidate. Is the Democratic bench in NC seriously pathetic enough that she's actually being considered?

No, national Dems are just being stupid (like in ME-2).

[King]

Whatever trend was happening in North Carolina to the Democrats stumbled backward and it's back 2000-ish GOP hold. Georgia is more realistic for future strategy.

[Xing]

Burr's the favorite for now, but a 6-point lead against Cowell, with 44 percent of the vote, is not enough for him to be safe.

[ElectionsGuy]

Whatever trend was happening in North Carolina to the Democrats stumbled backward and it's back 2000-ish GOP hold. Georgia is more realistic for future strategy.

No its not. Nunn was the best possible candidate the Democrats had in Georgia and she still lost by 8 points. And it didn't have much to do with turnout or the electorate.

[NerdyBohemian]

I've always thought Shuler would be a good candidate for senate here. A youngish, conventionally attractive white Democrat who represented a rural district sounds like a good fit for NC.

[Sol]

I've always thought Shuler would be a good candidate for senate here. A youngish, conventionally attractive white Democrat who represented a rural district sounds like a good fit for NC.

He's a lobbyist now.