The UK General Election Prediction Thread

[rpryor03]

Vote Shares (GB only)

Conservatives - 31
Labour - 29
Liberal Democrats - 8
UKIP - 15
Greens - 8
Scottish/Welsh Nationalist - 4

Seats

Conservatives - 286
Labour - 250
Liberal Democrats - 29
UKIP - 8
Greens - 1
SNP- 54
Plaid- 3
Galloway- 1

Likely Government -
Lab/SNP/PC Minority or Con/LD Minority

Scotland - Vote share and seats

Labour - 25
SNP - 46
Liberal Democrats - 4
Conservative - 14
Greens - 3
UKIP - 2

Constituency winner (3 interesting seats per region and Nick Clegg's seat)

Gordon- SNP
Glasgow North- SNP
Stirling- SNP

Berwick Upon Tweed- Conservatives
Stockton South - Conservatives
Redcar- Labour

Bury North- Labour
Southport- LD
Heywood and Middleton- UKIP

Rotherham- UKIP
Colne Valley- Conservative
Bradford West- Respect
Sheffield Hallam- Barely LD

Boston and Skegness- Conservative
Broxtowe- Labour
Loughborough- Conservative

Worcester- Conservative
Dudley South - Conservative South
Warwickshire North- Labour

Ynys Mon- Labour
Ceredigion- LD
Vale of Glamorgan- Conservative

Camborne and Redruth- Conservative
Bristol West- LD
Wells- Conservative

Brighton Pavillion- Green
Thanet South- Conservative
Rochester and Strood- UKIP

Kingston and Surbiton - LD
Battersea- Conservative
Enfield North- Labour

Norwich South- Labour
Clacton- UKIP
Thurrock- UKIP

[rpryor03]

Vote Shares (GB only)

Conservatives - 36
Labour - 34
Liberal Democrats - 8
UKIP - 13
Greens - 4
Scottish/Welsh Nationalist - 4

Seats

Conservatives - 288 (including Bercow)
Labour - 261
Liberal Democrats - 21
UKIP - 3
Greens - 1
SNP- 54
Plaid- 3
Galloway- 1
Other- 18 (NI)

Likely Government - Conservative/LD Minority Coalition with tactical support from NI and UKIP.

Scotland - Vote share and seats

Labour - 4 (26%)
SNP - 54 (47%)
Liberal Democrats - 0 (4%)
Conservative - 1 (16%)
Greens - 0 (2%)
UKIP - 0 (4%)
Others

Constituency winner (3 interesting seats per region and Nick Clegg's seat)

Gordon- SNP
Glasgow North- SNP
Stirling- SNP

Berwick Upon Tweed- CON
Stockton South -CON
Redcar- LAB

Bury North-LAB
Southport- LD
Heywood and Middleton- LAB

Rotherham- LAB
Colne Valley-CON
Bradford West- GALLOWAY
Sheffield Hallam- LAB

Boston and Skegness- CON
Broxtowe-LAB
Loughborough-CON

Worcester-CON
Dudley South- CON
Warwickshire North-LAB

Ynys Mon-LAB
Ceredigion-LD
Vale of Glamorgan- CON

Camborne and Redruth-CON
Bristol West-LAB
Wells-CON

Brighton Pavillion- GRN
Thanet South-CON
Rochester and Strood-UKIP

Kingston and Surbiton-LD
Battersea-CON
Enfield North-LAB

Norwich South-LAB
Clacton-UKIP
Thurrock-UKIP

[rpryor03]

Vote Shares (GB only)

Conservatives - 33.9%
Labour - 34%
Liberal Democrats - 8%
UKIP - 12.7%
Greens - 5.5%
Scottish/Welsh Nationalist - 4.14%

Seats

Conservatives - 270
Labour - 274
Liberal Democrats - 26
UKIP - 3
Greens - 1
SNP- 53
Plaid- 3
Galloway- 1
Other- 18 (NI) + Bercow

Likely Government - Labour Minority with Confidence and Supply from SNP

Scotland - Vote share and seats

Labour - 5 (26%)
SNP - 53 (48.7%)
Liberal Democrats - 0 (4.7%)
Conservative - 1 (15%)
Greens - 0 (2%)
UKIP - 0 (2.2%)
Others - 0 (1.4%)

Constituency winner (3 interesting seats per region and Nick Clegg's seat)

Gordon- SNP
Glasgow North- SNP
Stirling- SNP

Berwick Upon Tweed- CON
Stockton South - LAB
Redcar- LAB

Bury North- LAB
Southport- LD
Heywood and Middleton- LAB

Rotherham- LAB
Colne Valley- CON
Bradford West- GALLOWAY
Sheffield Hallam- LAB

Boston and Skegness- CON
Broxtowe- LAB
Loughborough- CON

Worcester- CON
Dudley South - CON
Warwickshire North- LAB

Ynys Mon- LAB
Ceredigion- LD
Vale of Glamorgan- CON

Camborne and Redruth- CON
Bristol West- LAB
Wells- CON

Brighton Pavillion- GRN
Thanet South- CON
Rochester and Strood- UKIP

Kingston and Surbiton- LD
Battersea- CON
Enfield North- LAB

Norwich South- LAB
Clacton- UKIP
Thurrock- UKIP

[rpryor03]

Vote Shares (GB only)

Conservatives - 33.5
Labour - 33.1
Liberal Democrats - 8.1
UKIP - 13.9
Greens - 5.2
Scottish/Welsh Nationalist - 5.1

Seats

Conservatives - 271
Labour - 271
Liberal Democrats - 26
UKIP - 3
Greens - 1
SNP- 55
Plaid- 3
Galloway- 1
Other- 19 (NI + Bercow)

Likely Government - Labour Minority

Scotland - Vote share and seats

Labour - 27% (3 Seats)
SNP - 48% (55 Seats)
Liberal Democrats - 4% (0 Seats)
Conservative - 15% (1 Seats)
Greens - 2% (0 Seats)
UKIP - 3% (0 Seats)
Others - 1%

Constituency winner (3 interesting seats per region and Nick Clegg's seat)

Gordon- SNP (17% majority)
Glasgow North- SNP (12% majority)
Stirling- SNP (20% majority)

Berwick Upon Tweed- CON (4% majority)
Stockton South - LAB (5% majority)
Redcar- LAB (21% majority)

Bury North- LAB (7% majority)
Southport- LD (12% majority)
Heywood and Middleton- LAB (1% majority)

Rotherham- LAB (10% majority)
Colne Valley- CON (2% majority)
Bradford West- Galloway (38% majority)
Sheffield Hallam- LIB (1% majority)

Boston and Skegness- CON (6% majority)
Broxtowe- LAB (4% majority)
Loughborough- CON (9% majority)

Worcester- CON (7% majority)
Dudley South - CON (6% majority)
Warwickshire North- LAB (7% majority)

Ynys Mon- LAB (10% majority)
Ceredigion- LD (5% majority)
Vale of Glamorgan- CON (6% majority)

Camborne and Redruth- CON (14% majority)
Bristol West- LAB (12% majority)
Wells- CON (8% majority)

Brighton Pavillion- GRN (10% majority)
Thanet South- CON (6% majority)
Rochester and Strood- UKIP (5% majority)

Kingston and Surbiton - LD (7% majority)
Battersea- CON (4% majority)
Enfield North- LAB (7% majority)

Norwich South- LAB (8% majority)
Clacton- UKIP (34% majority)
Thurrock- UKIP (4% majority)

[rpryor03]

Vote Shares (GB only)

Conservatives - 35%
Labour - 32%
Liberal Democrats - 9%
UKIP -14%
Greens - 4%
Scottish/Welsh Nationalist - 5%

Seats

Conservatives - 282
Labour - 261
Liberal Democrats - 27
UKIP - 2
Greens - 1
SNP- 54
Plaid- 3
Galloway- 1
Other- 19 (inc. Bercow)

Likely Government - No majority to be had, Labour/SNP minority

Scotland - Vote share and seats

Labour - 26%
SNP - 48%
Liberal Democrats - 5%
Conservative - 14%
Greens - 2%
UKIP - 3%
Others - 2%

Constituency winner (3 interesting seats per region and Nick Clegg's seat)

Gordon- SNP
Glasgow North- SNP
Stirling- SNP

Berwick Upon Tweed- CON
Stockton South - LAB
Redcar- LAB

Bury North- LAB
Southport- LD
Heywood and Middleton- LAB

Rotherham- LAB
Colne Valley- CON
Bradford West- RESPECT
Sheffield Hallam- LD

Boston and Skegness- CON
Broxtowe- LAB
Loughborough- CON

Worcester- CON
Dudley South - CON
Warwickshire North- LAB

Ynys Mon- LAB
Ceredigion- LD
Vale of Glamorgan- CON

Camborne and Redruth- CON
Bristol West- LAB
Wells- CON

Brighton Pavillion- GRN
Thanet South- CON
Rochester and Strood- CON

Kingston and Surbiton - LD
Battersea- CON
Enfield North- LAB

Norwich South- LAB
Clacton- UKIP
Thurrock- UKIP