Rasmussen - Kerry+1 in Florida

[© tweed]

There was a poll out that showed Bush+8 in FL about a week ago...so who knows.

I give Kerry a 25% chance of winning FL.

[© tweed]

Kerry will win Florida.  Bush is losing support among Cuban voters.  He still has a majority, but 55% as some polls are suggesting is a far cry from the 80% he got in 2000.  That, and I think the dems are going to get even more people out to vote this time.  They really got people to come out last time, but this time it will be even better.  And Buchanan's not on the ballot....there's 3,000 right there ; )

Look at 2002.  Jeb won big..and Bush will crack 70% of the Cuabn vote no matter what.

[© tweed]

He may, but polls are showing the Cuban-Americans are frustrated and turnout will be significantly less.  That can play a huge role.  

The increase in the Jewish vote for Bush will cancel otu the cubans.