FL-Mason Dixon: Rubio & Atwater (R) would lead Wasserman-Schultz & Murphy (D)

[Tender Branson]

and big too:

53% Marco Rubio (R-Inc.)
36% Debbie Wasserman-Schultz (D)

50% Marco Rubio (R-Inc.)
38% Patrick Murphy (D)

...

45% Jeff Atwater (R)
35% Debbie Wasserman-Schultz (D)

46% Jeff Atwater (R)
32% Patrick Murphy (D)

...

Favorable ratings (favorable/unfavorable/neutral/do not recognize):

46-21-29-04 Rubio (+25)
24-05-39-32 Atwater (+19)
16-03-14-67 Murphy (+13)
19-36-21-24 Wasserman-Schultz (-17)

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http://mason-dixon.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/Mason-Dixon-FL-Poll-US-Senate-3-15.pdf

[Tender Branson]

LOL @ Waterman-Schultz.

Why is she so toxic again ?

[Donerail]

LOL @ Waterman-Schultz.

Why is she so toxic again ?

She opposed the medical marijuana initiative before offering to change her position on the issue if it would placate a major FL donor. Generally there seems to be a disconnect between her camp and Floridian ones - she seems to be more focused on donors and DC (a natural route for a DNC Chair, but one that presents a problem for a statewide run).

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

LOL @ Waterman-Schultz.

Why is she so toxic again ?

- She just votes the party line in the house, no bipartisanship to tout.
- She is more focused on DC and big donors over her own district
- She is blamed for 2010/14

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Murphy is the better of the two candidates. But, this seat will only flip anyways, should Rubio run for president. Which he will decide any day now.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Murphy is the better of the two candidates. But, this seat will only flip anyways, should Rubio run for president. Which he will decide any day now.

Two weeks ago you considered FL to be a Toss-up even with Rubio running

Clearly the 272 route, CO,IL, WI, NV and PA is the first option, and as need be Ohio will be the 51st seat,  and better option, to NH, but Rubio is clearly less vulnerable on the immigration issue and would only be defeated in a wave.

[Maxwell]

I mean, lol, it's Mason-Dixon, but come on, if Rubio runs again this is practically locked up.

[The Other Castro]

I highly doubt that Atwater is leading Murphy by 14 points...

[Free Bird]

Inb4 Beet weeps

[Pandaguineapig]

This just goes to show why I have never understood the myth that Murphy is somehow indestructible in a general election

[Maxwell]

This just goes to show why I have never understood the myth that Murphy is somehow indestructible in a general election

He currently has next to no statewide name recognition, so don't count your chickens before they hatch.

[Pandaguineapig]

This just goes to show why I have never understood the myth that Murphy is somehow indestructible in a general election

He currently has next to no statewide name recognition, so don't count your chickens before they hatch.

Still he will be facing better funded opponents, Im not saying he can't win I just find it laughable when people assume his entrance will make this race a tossup or leans D

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

This just goes to show why I have never understood the myth that Murphy is somehow indestructible in a general election that Mason Dixon is still a junk polling firm

FTFY

[IceSpear]

Well, we already know Mason Dixon can't poll FL. If you assume they have the same 7 point bias they did in 2012, the numbers look more reasonable, though still good news for the FL Reps.

[Flake]

I know this is old but... Junk Poll!

[Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort]

If Rubio runs, I'll support him in this race. If not, I'll support Debbie Wasserman-Schultz. I actually like her.

[Panda Express]

Looks like Beet was wrong about Debbie being a good candidate. Shocking.

[Xing]

Welp, looks like Florida is as safe a bet for Republicans as Utah. Might as well give up on winning the presidential race too.

#OnePollIsEnoughEvidence
#MasonDixonIsAccurate
#RubioIsInvincible
#FloridaIsARedStateEvenThoughObamaWonItTwice

[Maxwell]

Welp, looks like Florida is as safe a bet for Republicans as Utah. Might as well give up on winning the presidential race too.

#OnePollIsEnoughEvidence
#MasonDixonIsAccurate
#RubioIsInvincible
#FloridaIsARedStateEvenThoughObamaWonItTwice

Your sense of humor is garbage. Get out. Even someone like you can't deny Rubio is in a pretty strong position if he runs again.

[Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort]

Welp, looks like Florida is as safe a bet for Republicans as Utah. Might as well give up on winning the presidential race too.

#OnePollIsEnoughEvidence
#MasonDixonIsAccurate
#RubioIsInvincible
#FloridaIsARedStateEvenThoughObamaWonItTwice

Your sense of humor is garbage. Get out. Even someone like you can't deny Rubio is in a pretty strong position if he runs again.

Agreed. The FDP will probably be a drag to Murphy if he ran (and Murphy is the only Democrat who could win). Plus Rubio isn't as big of a blowhard as Cruz or Cotton, so that helps immensely.

[Beet]

LOL @ Waterman-Schultz.

Why is she so toxic again ?

Mostly negative news articles.

In any case, she does 5 points worse than Murphy in the first matchup, but 4 points better than Murphy in the second matchup. Since Rubio most likely is not going to run, the second matchup is more likely.

These polls confirm what I've been saying all along, which is that Murphy is not a significantly stronger candidate than Wasserman-Schultz, despite his Republican-leaning voting record.

[Panda Express]

LOL @ Waterman-Schultz.

Why is she so toxic again ?

Mostly negative news articles.

In any case, she does 5 points worse than Murphy in the first matchup, but 4 points better than Murphy in the second matchup. Since Rubio most likely is not going to run, the second matchup is more likely.

These polls confirm what I've been saying all along, which is that Murphy is not a significantly stronger candidate than Wasserman-Schultz, despite his Republican-leaning voting record.

Nope, wrong again. Nobody knows who Muprhy is. He's unknown and has a lot of room for growth. 67% don't know who Murphy is - only 24% don't know about Debbie. Debbie is already underwater. What a loser. Martha Coakley could carpetbag to Florida and she would do better than Debbie.

[Xing]

Welp, looks like Florida is as safe a bet for Republicans as Utah. Might as well give up on winning the presidential race too.

#OnePollIsEnoughEvidence
#MasonDixonIsAccurate
#RubioIsInvincible
#FloridaIsARedStateEvenThoughObamaWonItTwice

Your sense of humor is garbage. Get out. Even someone like you can't deny Rubio is in a pretty strong position if he runs again.

Someone's friendly. I'll buy that Rubio is the favorite. Seeing him up by double digits is a little hard to buy, which is why I was implying that one poll isn't enough to declare this race Safe R. I was just as skeptical of a poll showing Strickland and Portman tied.

[Beet]

LOL @ Waterman-Schultz.

Why is she so toxic again ?

Mostly negative news articles.

In any case, she does 5 points worse than Murphy in the first matchup, but 4 points better than Murphy in the second matchup. Since Rubio most likely is not going to run, the second matchup is more likely.

These polls confirm what I've been saying all along, which is that Murphy is not a significantly stronger candidate than Wasserman-Schultz, despite his Republican-leaning voting record.

Nope, wrong again. Nobody knows who Muprhy is. He's unknown and has a lot of room for growth. 67% don't know who Murphy is - only 24% don't know about Debbie. Debbie is already underwater. What a loser. Martha Coakley could carpetbag to Florida and she would do better than Debbie.

Murphy already has +16% favorables and he's still underwater by more than Debbie. His higher unknowns would matter if it translated into more undecideds, but it doesn't. If Rubio doesn't run for Senate then he brings nothing. Debbie has been the subject of every other Politico hit piece for weeks, and she still polls just as well as Murphy. Her favorables have nowhere to go but up, unlike Murphy. And when they do, her top line numbers will improve as well.

[The Other Castro]

DWS isn't getting anywhere near the Senate.