GOP-dominated suburbs (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 01, 2024, 06:36:09 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  General Politics
  Political Geography & Demographics (Moderators: muon2, 100% pro-life no matter what)
  GOP-dominated suburbs (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: GOP-dominated suburbs  (Read 5269 times)
Ban my account ffs!
snowguy716
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,632
Austria


« on: March 13, 2015, 03:24:59 AM »
« edited: March 13, 2015, 03:27:39 AM by Snowguy716 »

The Twin Cities suburbs were traditionally settled by ruralites from the upper Midwest.  White flight never really occurred on a city wide basis in either twin city so it was usually people coming from the rural areas that had been crammed into tiny apartments or duplexed homes with individual rooms to rent.  This was due to the depression and war leading to under investment in new housing and demand was pent up as cities filled to the brim.  Those people, renting veterans, went first.

These suburbs were largely Republican.  Since the 90s, these burbs have moved left.  The exurbs are the heart of conservative activism...a lot of North Dakotans moved to MN in the last 30 years (before the oil boom) and they were the young suburbanites that fueled the rise of the MNGOPs right wing.

Now they are no longer dominating new development...exurbia is languishing and these GOP friendly Gen Xers are being replaced by Millennial Dems who are peppering the inner suburbs and 2nd ring burbs and turnung them DFL.
Logged
Ban my account ffs!
snowguy716
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,632
Austria


« Reply #1 on: March 13, 2015, 07:40:34 PM »

The Twin Cities suburbs were traditionally settled by ruralites from the upper Midwest.  White flight never really occurred on a city wide basis in either twin city so it was usually people coming from the rural areas that had been crammed into tiny apartments or duplexed homes with individual rooms to rent.  This was due to the depression and war leading to under investment in new housing and demand was pent up as cities filled to the brim.  Those people, renting veterans, went first.

These suburbs were largely Republican.  Since the 90s, these burbs have moved left.  The exurbs are the heart of conservative activism...a lot of North Dakotans moved to MN in the last 30 years (before the oil boom) and they were the young suburbanites that fueled the rise of the MNGOPs right wing.

Now they are no longer dominating new development...exurbia is languishing and these GOP friendly Gen Xers are being replaced by Millennial Dems who are peppering the inner suburbs and 2nd ring burbs and turnung them DFL.

I haven't noticed this trend, at least not on the County level. If anything, Anoka has trended Pub, and Dakota hasn't moved much. It may be true for the higher end burbs in Hennepin County.
Anoka is a lot of exurbs and Dakota has been a bellwether.  But yes the DFL trending burbs would be closer to the core.  Think of it like ripples on a pond.
Logged
Ban my account ffs!
snowguy716
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,632
Austria


« Reply #2 on: March 14, 2015, 10:55:51 PM »


Hasn't Edina become more secular Jewish?  How has Minnetonka trended? One peculiarity about MN is that the big metro area does not seem to vote much differently in the aggregate from the balance of the state.

Edina prior to the 60s, had all sorts of discriminatory policies and country club rules aimed at keeping blacks and Jews out, this is exactly why St. Louis Park ended up with his well known Jewish population FYI. None of that matters anymore and the place has gone from the conservative country club dominated lily white enclave of its past to a pretty standard but slightly more affluent than most inner ring suburb now, but I haven't heard of any flood of any Jewish population in or anything, if anything I bet more blacks have. I mean sure Jews from SLP or southwest Minneapolis that find desirable housing there or whatever and want to move in have no real problem doing so or fear of discrimination now but it's not like there's anything drawing them there. Also worth noting that non-Jews in SLP are just as likely to be Democrats, I mean I go to chuch in SLP now. But that whole area just kind of screams "rich Democrats", the type of people who prefer to live in luxury condos or in the case of certain neighborhoods in southwest Minneapolis, real mansions, instead of the trashy newly built McMansions you'll find 15 miles west. I mean just look at this: http://www.50thandfrance.com And this is a relatively new development, Edina's current DFL state senator elected in 2012 is the first Democrat to represent Edina in the State Senate EVER.

Minnetonka has never been that Republican, but has definitely shifted Democratic, so much in fact that its DFL State Senator even survived 2010 and even after 2014 still has two DFL State Representatives. But it went from Gore winning it by about two points to Obama in 2012 winning it by 10 points. I think Minnetonka (as well as Hopkins) has also had a long standing Jewish population too though nowhere near as big as in SLP.

Edina went from 2.6% black in 2000 to 3% black in 2010. Obama carried it by 11 points in 2008 - not that Dem really.
Using the prez race to predict local trends isnt very smart Torie and you know that.

Edina was the center of GOP politics in MN back in the 50s-80s...now they are voting DFL.

The DFL core is spreading to the inner and now 2nd ring suburbs.  Meanwhile formerly marginal rural DFL seats have gone GOP recently.  Is that permanent?  Who knows.

If you look at generational dynamics... Gen Xers drove the MNGOPs right wing revival that began in the early 90s.  They settled the 3rd ring suburbs (especially the conservative ones).

The youngest Gen Xers are now in their mid 30s...most have established families.

The growth now is among millennials starting out and baby boomers retiring.  Very different dynamic.  Millennials arent moving out to the exurbs in any appreciable numbers.  They are settling in the core, 1st, and some 2nd ring burbs.  They are driving the spreading DFL wave outwards.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.024 seconds with 12 queries.