ME-GOV 2018: Collins for Governor?

[Maxwell]

She should remain in the senate for life.

This. I wish Snowe would run for governor as a(n) independent Republican (because that's what she is).

She left DC because of the partisanship and bickering attitudes. I think she could just as easily let go of party affiliation altogether. Then again, I could also see her running as a Republican. Either way you slice it, she'd have a cakewalk of an election.

Come on, you didn't actually buy what she said, do you? I think it was much more her husband's taking of government money for his for profit college.

[Del Tachi]

Collins as a lifer?

I used to believe it, but in a Republican Caucus that's becoming more Southern and more conservative after every election cycle, things may be getting a bit uncomfortable for the last, true Yankee "Rockefeller Republican".

She'll end her career on a high-note and retire in 2020.  D+1

[njwes]

Speaking of Maine governors, has anyone come up with a good explanation of how LePage won so handily last November? The sense on this board if I remember correctly was that he was toast, but in the end it looks like he may well would have won a 1-on-1 vs Michaud.

Sorry to be off-topic.

[Maxwell]

Speaking of Maine governors, has anyone come up with a good explanation of how LePage won so handily last November? The sense on this board if I remember correctly was that he was toast, but in the end it looks like he may well would have won a 1-on-1 vs Michaud.

Sorry to be off-topic.

LePage made a strong attempt to win over blue collar workers, Michaud ran a bland "work across party lines" campaign, and it's no secret that Cutler screwed him on some voters (though Michaud would've still lost a 1-to-1).

[njwes]

Speaking of Maine governors, has anyone come up with a good explanation of how LePage won so handily last November? The sense on this board if I remember correctly was that he was toast, but in the end it looks like he may well would have won a 1-on-1 vs Michaud.

Sorry to be off-topic.

LePage made a strong attempt to win over blue collar workers, Michaud ran a bland "work across party lines" campaign, and it's no secret that Cutler screwed him on some voters (though Michaud would've still lost a 1-to-1).

Thank you. Kinda curious who those Cutler voters would've broken for were he never on the ballot. I guess a good number may not have voted anyway.

[Xing]

Unless she picks her replacement very carefully, RIP that seat for Republicans. Keep in mind that a special election would be held in 2020, a presidential year.

[RINO Tom]

Unless she picks her replacement very carefully, RIP that seat for Republicans. Keep in mind that a special election would be held in 2020, a presidential year.

I bet that guy who won the House seat would still be favored.

[Free Bird]

Unless she picks her replacement very carefully, RIP that seat for Republicans. Keep in mind that a special election would be held in 2020, a presidential year.

A centrist compromiser can continue to win the seat indefinitely

[Miles]

Unless she picks her replacement very carefully, RIP that seat for Republicans. Keep in mind that a special election would be held in 2020, a presidential year.

I bet that guy who won the House seat would still be favored.

Yeah, I wouldn't underestimate Poliquin, if he's appointed. Well have to see how he holds up next year, but Maine in 2014 already had the highest turnout of any state. The bump Democrats get from Presidential turnout likely wouldn't be as pronounced here.

[smoltchanov]

Unless she picks her replacement very carefully, RIP that seat for Republicans. Keep in mind that a special election would be held in 2020, a presidential year.

I bet that guy who won the House seat would still be favored.

Yeah, I wouldn't underestimate Poliquin, if he's appointed. Well have to see how he holds up next year, but Maine in 2014 already had the highest turnout of any state. The bump Democrats get from Presidential turnout likely wouldn't be as pronounced here.

May be. But his rather strong social conservatism isn't a plus (but rather a minus) in Maine. Especially - statewide, with 1st district being much more socially liberal.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Unless she picks her replacement very carefully, RIP that seat for Republicans. Keep in mind that a special election would be held in 2020, a presidential year.

I bet that guy who won the House seat would still be favored.

Yeah, I wouldn't underestimate Poliquin, if he's appointed. Well have to see how he holds up next year, but Maine in 2014 already had the highest turnout of any state. The bump Democrats get from Presidential turnout likely wouldn't be as pronounced here.

I really hopes she does this, Dems definately need at least an open seat in a state like ME to pick up, and hopefully, Dean Heller run for gov of NV, too.

Cain and Dina Titus can become new female senators if Heinkamp and McCaskill lose.

[rbt48]

Speaking of Maine governors, has anyone come up with a good explanation of how LePage won so handily last November? The sense on this board if I remember correctly was that he was toast, but in the end it looks like he may well would have won a 1-on-1 vs Michaud.

Sorry to be off-topic.

I'm sure LePage was helped somewhat by the nature of the turnout and the anti-Obama nature of the election.

[Maxwell]

Unless she picks her replacement very carefully, RIP that seat for Republicans. Keep in mind that a special election would be held in 2020, a presidential year.

I bet that guy who won the House seat would still be favored.

Yeah, I wouldn't underestimate Poliquin, if he's appointed. Well have to see how he holds up next year, but Maine in 2014 already had the highest turnout of any state. The bump Democrats get from Presidential turnout likely wouldn't be as pronounced here.

May be. But his rather strong social conservatism isn't a plus (but rather a minus) in Maine. Especially - statewide, with 1st district being much more socially liberal.

LePage is far more conservative than Poliquin and won very re-election very convincingly. I suspect Poliquin will surprise us and hold on.

[smoltchanov]

Unless she picks her replacement very carefully, RIP that seat for Republicans. Keep in mind that a special election would be held in 2020, a presidential year.

I bet that guy who won the House seat would still be favored.

Yeah, I wouldn't underestimate Poliquin, if he's appointed. Well have to see how he holds up next year, but Maine in 2014 already had the highest turnout of any state. The bump Democrats get from Presidential turnout likely wouldn't be as pronounced here.

May be. But his rather strong social conservatism isn't a plus (but rather a minus) in Maine. Especially - statewide, with 1st district being much more socially liberal.

LePage is far more conservative than Poliquin and won very re-election very convincingly. I suspect Poliquin will surprise us and hold on.

Again - may be. But 2016 is unlikely to be next 2014.....

[Maxwell]

Unless she picks her replacement very carefully, RIP that seat for Republicans. Keep in mind that a special election would be held in 2020, a presidential year.

I bet that guy who won the House seat would still be favored.

Yeah, I wouldn't underestimate Poliquin, if he's appointed. Well have to see how he holds up next year, but Maine in 2014 already had the highest turnout of any state. The bump Democrats get from Presidential turnout likely wouldn't be as pronounced here.

May be. But his rather strong social conservatism isn't a plus (but rather a minus) in Maine. Especially - statewide, with 1st district being much more socially liberal.

LePage is far more conservative than Poliquin and won very re-election very convincingly. I suspect Poliquin will surprise us and hold on.

Again - may be. But 2016 is unlikely to be next 2014.....

But the Democrats are actively recruiting known flop Emily Cain again.

[free my dawg]

Unless she picks her replacement very carefully, RIP that seat for Republicans. Keep in mind that a special election would be held in 2020, a presidential year.

I bet that guy who won the House seat would still be favored.

Yeah, I wouldn't underestimate Poliquin, if he's appointed. Well have to see how he holds up next year, but Maine in 2014 already had the highest turnout of any state. The bump Democrats get from Presidential turnout likely wouldn't be as pronounced here.

May be. But his rather strong social conservatism isn't a plus (but rather a minus) in Maine. Especially - statewide, with 1st district being much more socially liberal.

LePage is far more conservative than Poliquin and won very re-election very convincingly. I suspect Poliquin will surprise us and hold on.

Again - may be. But 2016 is unlikely to be next 2014.....

Cain is not a long-term solution for ME-2. She'd be the best candidate Democrats have for governor, which makes the DCCC's strategy even more confusing. If she wins, bet on it - she'll lose again in 2018.

[Free Bird]

Unless she picks her replacement very carefully, RIP that seat for Republicans. Keep in mind that a special election would be held in 2020, a presidential year.

I bet that guy who won the House seat would still be favored.

Yeah, I wouldn't underestimate Poliquin, if he's appointed. Well have to see how he holds up next year, but Maine in 2014 already had the highest turnout of any state. The bump Democrats get from Presidential turnout likely wouldn't be as pronounced here.

May be. But his rather strong social conservatism isn't a plus (but rather a minus) in Maine. Especially - statewide, with 1st district being much more socially liberal.

LePage is far more conservative than Poliquin and won very re-election very convincingly. I suspect Poliquin will surprise us and hold on.

Again - may be. But 2016 is unlikely to be next 2014.....

Cain is not a long-term solution for ME-2. She'd be the best candidate Democrats have for governor, which makes the DCCC's strategy even more confusing. If she wins, bet on it - she'll lose again in 2018.

So another Guinta-Shea-Porter

[free my dawg]

Unless she picks her replacement very carefully, RIP that seat for Republicans. Keep in mind that a special election would be held in 2020, a presidential year.

I bet that guy who won the House seat would still be favored.

Yeah, I wouldn't underestimate Poliquin, if he's appointed. Well have to see how he holds up next year, but Maine in 2014 already had the highest turnout of any state. The bump Democrats get from Presidential turnout likely wouldn't be as pronounced here.

May be. But his rather strong social conservatism isn't a plus (but rather a minus) in Maine. Especially - statewide, with 1st district being much more socially liberal.

LePage is far more conservative than Poliquin and won very re-election very convincingly. I suspect Poliquin will surprise us and hold on.

Again - may be. But 2016 is unlikely to be next 2014.....

Cain is not a long-term solution for ME-2. She'd be the best candidate Democrats have for governor, which makes the DCCC's strategy even more confusing. If she wins, bet on it - she'll lose again in 2018.

So another Guinta-Shea-Porter

Except Poliquin is a much better candidate than Guinta since he seems to be genuinely committed to his re-invention.