CNN/ORC national poll: Clinton = 53% favorable / 44% unfavorable

[Tender Branson]

The Obamabots and their passive hatred of Hillary (who shares 95% of The Anointed One's views) is so pathetic.

What an intelligent rebuttal. Thank you for clarifying the key differences between Obama and Hillary.

Well, politically they are not that far apart. It's more the persona of Hillary that makes the hair on my balls stand up.

Obama:



Hillary:

[IceSpear]

That's a massive drop compared with their previous poll.

Once she announces her run, the next poll will already show a tied favorable rating ...

I thought it would be very negative and she'd trail the Republicans (then lose in a landslide ofc)?

By the way, their May 2014 poll had Hillary at a 55-42 favorability rating. Not so much a "massive drop" as a "return to form".

[IceSpear]

Hillary Clinton

From this:



To this:





SOOOOOOOO SAAAAAAAAD

You realize this favorability rating is far higher than that of any of the Republican candidates, correct?

[King]

*yawn* I was talked into this idea that my eyes and ears were deceiving me and Obama wasn't a shoo-in to be re-elected 4 years ago. I'm not buying it again and the credibility of anyone who tried selling it to me then is shot (including our dear Winfield). My eyes and ears are not deceiving me. Hillary Clinton is going to win.

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

Hillary Clinton

From this:



To this:





SOOOOOOOO SAAAAAAAAD

You realize this favorability rating is far higher than that of any of the Republican candidates, correct?

What polls have shown is that Hillary has very high name recognition. 

Now that the public is getting to know more about her, her statements, her views, her actions, her favorable ratings will decline, go up with some other event, fluctuate.

But anyone who believes that Hillary is guaranteed the Presidency is sadly mistaken.

Once she declares, if she does, and once she is under the microscope as a major candidate for the Presidency, and once the slogging gets tough and nasty, as it surely will, she will not be leading the race nearly to the extent that she has been doing. 

This race is not over, as some Hillary robots seem to believe, but really has not as yet even begun in the larger context.   

Who here is contesting any of this? Just because Democrats celebrate a poll that shows Hillary ahead doesn't make them delusional about her prospects.

[IceSpear]

Hillary Clinton

From this:



To this:





SOOOOOOOO SAAAAAAAAD

You realize this favorability rating is far higher than that of any of the Republican candidates, correct?

What polls have shown is that Hillary has very high name recognition. 

Now that the public is getting to know more about her, her statements, her views, her actions, her favorable ratings will decline, go up with some other event, fluctuate.

But anyone who believes that Hillary is guaranteed the Presidency is sadly mistaken.

Once she declares, if she does, and once she is under the microscope as a major candidate for the Presidency, and once the slogging gets tough and nasty, as it surely will, she will not be leading the race nearly to the extent that she has been doing. 

This race is not over, as some Hillary robots seem to believe, but really has not as yet even begun in the larger context.   

Yes, very high name recognition...and positive favorability. Quite a good combination if I do say so myself.

And if the public already knows about her, why would they fall after they "get to know her"? They already know her. Maybe 2 weeks of intense and relentless negative media coverage will move the numbers a bit, maybe she'll get temporary bumps from things like announcing her campaign clinching the nomination, but in the grand scheme of things, most people aren't changing their opinion of her at this point.

Nobody said she's guaranteed the presidency, so that's just a strawman. She's already been under the microscope for quite a while now. She's received far more scrutiny than any other candidate in either party. If anyone has to be worried about increased scrutiny, it will be the eventual Republican nominee (unless it ends up being media darling Jeb Bush, since they'll give him a pass for everything.)

[Mr. Morden]

Not really worth starting a brand new thread, so I'll post this here.  YouGov now has her at 44% favorable, 45% unfavorable:

http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/7h5papjepi/toplines_HP_clinton_email_20150313.pdf

[Tender Branson]

Not really worth starting a brand new thread, so I'll post this here.  YouGov now has her at 44% favorable, 45% unfavorable:

http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/7h5papjepi/toplines_HP_clinton_email_20150313.pdf

I already posted this last week:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=208942.0

[Mr. Morden]

Not really worth starting a brand new thread, so I'll post this here.  YouGov now has her at 44% favorable, 45% unfavorable:

http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/7h5papjepi/toplines_HP_clinton_email_20150313.pdf

I already posted this last week:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=208942.0

Oh, sorry, I got that mixed up with another one.

[Lincoln Republican]

*yawn* I was talked into this idea that my eyes and ears were deceiving me and Obama wasn't a shoo-in to be re-elected 4 years ago. I'm not buying it again and the credibility of anyone who tried selling it to me then is shot (including our dear Winfield). My eyes and ears are not deceiving me. Hillary Clinton is going to win.

Yes, just ask President Dewey about that.

[King]

Dewey being the favorite was built on a selection bias of people throwing out polls that didn't show Thurmond and Wallace getting any broad support.

If anything Republicans have been acting Dewey-Trumanesque these past two elections with unskewed polling and refusing to believe the Clintons are as popular with the public as they are.

[Lincoln Republican]

Dewey being the favorite was built on a selection bias of people throwing out polls that didn't show Thurmond and Wallace getting any broad support.

If anything Republicans have been acting Dewey-Trumanesque these past two elections with unskewed polling and refusing to believe the Clintons are as popular with the public as they are.

My dear friend, the only two things that are certain in this life are death and taxes.

[RFayette]

Dewey being the favorite was built on a selection bias of people throwing out polls that didn't show Thurmond and Wallace getting any broad support.

If anything Republicans have been acting Dewey-Trumanesque these past two elections with unskewed polling and refusing to believe the Clintons are as popular with the public as they are.

As a right-leaning libertarian, I agree Clinton is the favorite.  It sucks and I would love for Clinton to not run for whatever reason.  But alas....

[porky88]

If anything Republicans have been acting Dewey-Trumanesque these past two elections with unskewed polling and refusing to believe the Clintons are as popular with the public as they are.

I agree about the Clintons being more popular than republicans think. Frankly, I think some liberals are in denial about their broader appeal.

I also think the republicans are miscalculating Obama fatigue. They seem to think President Obama will be as big of a drag on the Democratic Party in 2016 as President Bush was on them in 2008. That‘s not happening if you look at the current data. Things could still change, but the current trajectory points to this election being more like 1988 or 2000 than 2008.

[IceSpear]

If anything Republicans have been acting Dewey-Trumanesque these past two elections with unskewed polling and refusing to believe the Clintons are as popular with the public as they are.

I agree about the Clintons being more popular than republicans think. Frankly, I think some liberals are in denial about their broader appeal.

I also think the republicans are miscalculating Obama fatigue. They seem to think President Obama will be as big of a drag on the Democratic Party in 2016 as President Bush was on them in 2008. That‘s not happening if you look at the current data. Things could still change, but the current trajectory points to this election being more like 1988 or 2000 than 2008.

Indeed. If McCain can get 46% of the vote when Bush is at 25% approval, then Hillary can certainly clear 50% when Obama is at 45% approval. Though Obama could still sink lower, at the moment his approval is far higher than Bush's was in March 2007.