FL-SEN: Is Rubio about to bungle it?

[publicunofficial]

Actually, on Grayson's twitter page (iirc) he mentioned that he was encouraged by the support he's receiving about a possible run, so I'm pegging him as likely to run.

He's certainly talking about it, but I think he's smart enough to realize he's be giving up a safe seat for a suicide run. As I said, I'm going with the theory that he'll keep saying he's interested and thinking of running until Ben Ray Lujan or whoever gives him something he wants.

[publicunofficial]

Quick re-cap of the potential candidates on both sides:

GOP:
-Rep. Ron DeSantis (Will decide "in next few weeks", supported by Club for Growth, Freedomworks, Tea Party Express)
-Lt. Gov Carlos Lopez-Cantera ("95% there", won't announce till end of legislative session)
-Rep. Tom Rooney (Meeting with the NRSC on Thursday)
-Rep. David Jolly (Will decide around June or July, after his wedding)
-Rep. Dennis Ross (Reportedly "interested")
-Rep. Vern Buchanan (Interested)
-Former Sen. George LeMieux (Interested)
-Former Senate President Don Gaetz ("Looking at the race")
-Rep. Ted Yoho (Mentioned frequently, hasn't said anything)
-Former House Speaker Will Weatherford


Out of all of these guys, I'd bet on DeSantis being the most likely to win the nomination. Rooney however would shake things up if he ran, and would be the strongest possible GOP nominee IMO. CLC will run, but I doubt he wins the primary. Jolly would be interesting, but he's a bit too liberal to win a primary (He supports same-sex marriage). Vern Buchanan is wealthy, but his ethics issues will sink him in a statewide race. Dennis Ross has been mentioned, but I doubt he enters and I heavily doubt he'll be the nominee if he does. I also doubt Weatherford runs.

As for the rest; Yoho would be the worst possible candidate, Don Gaetz is a nobody, and George LeMieux couldn't compete in a primary against f**king Connie Mack IV.


Dems:
-Rep. Patrick Murphy
-Attorney Pam Keith
-Rep. Alan Grayson (Interested, might just be extorting committee assignments)


I'm predicting Patrick Murphy vs. Ron DeSantis for the final match-up.

Weatherford is out, citing his several young children being a priority.

[Flake]

https://twitter.com/AlanGrayson/status/587724570993491968

I'm thinking he's running.

[Donerail]

If Grayson believes a website poll on The Florida Squeeze is good evidence of primary support, Murphy may have an easier primary than I thought.

[IceSpear]

If Grayson believes a website poll on The Florida Squeeze is good evidence of primary support, Murphy may have an easier primary than I thought.

Reminds me of people who try to use Atlas Forum or MoveOn.org polls to "prove" that Democrats dislike Hillary. It seems Grayson may be delusional.

[LeBron]

I may be supporting a progressive primary challenger to Strickland, but yeah Grayson is an embarrassment to progressives everywhere (and he would be blowing a winnable seat for Democrats). Murphy has my support in a hypothetical primary.

[windjammer]

I may be supporting a progressive primary challenger to Strickland, but yeah Grayson is an embarrassment to progressives everywhere (and he would be blowing a winnable seat for Democrats). Murphy has my support in a hypothetical primary.

Not surprising. I mean, you're a *moderate laborite*.

[LeBron]

I may be supporting a progressive primary challenger to Strickland, but yeah Grayson is an embarrassment to progressives everywhere (and he would be blowing a winnable seat for Democrats). Murphy has my support in a hypothetical primary.

Not surprising. I mean, you're a *moderate laborite*.

Are you okay? You seem to be pissed off at me or something as of late.

Murphy does have the best shot at winning and (for the most part) has good views. I wouldn't be shocked if most if not all Democrats on here back him over Grayson.

[windjammer]

I may be supporting a progressive primary challenger to Strickland, but yeah Grayson is an embarrassment to progressives everywhere (and he would be blowing a winnable seat for Democrats). Murphy has my support in a hypothetical primary.

Not surprising. I mean, you're a *moderate laborite*.

Are you okay? You seem to be pissed off at me or something as of late.

Murphy does have the best shot at winning and (for the most part) has good views. I wouldn't be shocked if most if not all Democrats on here back him over Grayson.

Oh don't worry, it's just you're funny.

[Donerail]

You must be logged in to read this quote.

[publicunofficial]

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Still bluffing, I assure you.

[Zioneer]

https://twitter.com/AlanGrayson/status/587724570993491968

I'm thinking he's running.

So he's trusting a uber-progressive blog over established pollsters? Wow, he's delusional.

[Pandaguineapig]

Run Alan Run!

[windjammer]

He's likely in

[ElectionsGuy]

Run Alan Run!

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Run Alan Run!

You guys actually want CLC in the senate? Grayson would lose the general by at least 15, no questions asked.

[RogueBeaver]

Run Alan Run!

[morgieb]

Run Alan Run!

You guys actually want CLC in the senate? Grayson would lose the general by at least 15, no questions asked.

They're Republicans/Republican-leaning.

[IceSpear]

If FL Dems nominate Grayson, the party should probably just disband. Nothing of value would be lost. Nelson can run as an independent.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

If FL Dems nominate Grayson, the party should probably just disband. Nothing of value would be lost. Nelson can run as an independent.

You'd be permanently conceding 10 house seats...

[Donerail]

If FL Dems nominate Grayson, the party should probably just disband. Nothing of value would be lost. Nelson can run as an independent.

You'd be permanently conceding 10 house seats...

Even in the absence of a Democrat, FL-05 is not going to send a Republican to Congress.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

If FL Dems nominate Grayson, the party should probably just disband. Nothing of value would be lost. Nelson can run as an independent.

You'd be permanently conceding 10 house seats...

Even in the absence of a Democrat, FL-05 is not going to send a Republican to Congress.

They'll send a green then. So it's still technically the dem party conceding a seat, even though the green would probably caucus with the Dems.

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

If FL Dems nominate Grayson, the party should probably just disband. Nothing of value would be lost. Nelson can run as an independent.

You'd be permanently conceding 10 house seats...

Even in the absence of a Democrat, FL-05 is not going to send a Republican to Congress.

FL-22 would elect Lois Frankel as an independent as well, I'd imagine. And Alcee Hastings would hold on.

[Maxwell]

If FL Dems nominate Grayson, the party should probably just disband. Nothing of value would be lost. Nelson can run as an independent.

You'd be permanently conceding 10 house seats...

Even in the absence of a Democrat, FL-05 is not going to send a Republican to Congress.

They'll send a green then. So it's still technically the dem party conceding a seat, even though the green would probably caucus with the Dems.

Yes. That was what he was insinuating.

[ElectionsGuy]

Run Alan Run!

You guys actually want CLC in the senate? Grayson would lose the general by at least 15, no questions asked.

They're Republicans/Republican-leaning.

Nah, I'm just looking for entertainment in these races.