FL-SEN: Is Rubio about to bungle it?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 19, 2024, 01:26:21 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  FL-SEN: Is Rubio about to bungle it?
« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 10 11 12 13 14 [15] 16 17 18 19 20 ... 43
Author Topic: FL-SEN: Is Rubio about to bungle it?  (Read 103651 times)
Atlas Has Shrugged
ChairmanSanchez
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 38,096
United States


Political Matrix
E: 5.29, S: -5.04


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #350 on: September 19, 2015, 08:56:03 PM »

Tbh Rubio, rather understandably seems to have given up on the Senate. Unlike Cruz or Paul he never used it to crusade his points, and he's not in the mould of a senate dealer.
Pretty much. Rubio has a shot in 2016 and a shot in 2020, but after that he is old news. Another dud of a GOP rising star, as BRTD has recently mentioned.
Logged
Miles
MilesC56
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,325
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #351 on: September 30, 2015, 12:21:01 PM »

As if the field isn't crowded enough, Atwater might still end up running:

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.
Logged
🦀🎂🦀🎂
CrabCake
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,243
Kiribati


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #352 on: September 30, 2015, 12:36:19 PM »

Atwater's role seems to be a bad luck position for ambitious politicians. Before him came Alex Sink, who now has two pretty humiliating losses under her belt; and then Tom Gallagher who failed once to run for senate and four times for governor. The role was created from the merger of two roles. In one of these, Treasure (and a few other roles in the title) Gallagher was preceded by Bill Nelson (who escaped the curse) and Bill Gunter Jr who failed three times to run for Senate.
Logged
Atlas Has Shrugged
ChairmanSanchez
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 38,096
United States


Political Matrix
E: 5.29, S: -5.04


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #353 on: October 01, 2015, 08:42:38 PM »

I'd be amazed if he ran. I don't think the current field is not anywhere close to being bad enough to require his entry.
Logged
/
darthebearnc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,367
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #354 on: October 01, 2015, 10:23:36 PM »

Ugh why is Grayson beating Murphy in the polls?

Yeah, he's more liberal, but if Democrats want a Democrat to win then just VOTE FOR MURPHY.

Agh
Logged
Donerail
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,345
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #355 on: October 01, 2015, 10:31:34 PM »

Ugh why is Grayson beating Murphy in the polls?

Yeah, he's more liberal, but if Democrats want a Democrat to win then just VOTE FOR MURPHY.

Agh

It seems you haven't had much experience with the FDP.
Logged
Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #356 on: October 01, 2015, 10:34:21 PM »

Atwater sees the serious risk of losing the seat if he may be jumping in like this. It's like he knows he's the FLGOP's last resort trump card and is honoring that duty after realizing it won't be easy, which is why  he initially sat out.
Logged
Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,685
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #357 on: October 01, 2015, 10:37:09 PM »

Ugh why is Grayson beating Murphy in the polls?

Yeah, he's more liberal, but if Democrats want a Democrat to win then just VOTE FOR MURPHY.

Agh

The FDP doesn't understand and will never understand how to win. If Murphy is nominated and wins the general, it will be in spite of the incompetence of the FDP, not because of any actions they may take to help him in the GE.
Logged
Skye
yeah_93
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,580
Venezuela


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #358 on: October 01, 2015, 10:58:43 PM »

Yeah, he's more conservative, but if Republicans want a Republican to win then just VOTE FOR THE ESTABLISHMENT CANDIDATE.
ftfy
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #359 on: October 01, 2015, 11:14:33 PM »

Grayson is capitalizing on the Sanders surge, whether or not he actually stands with Sanders 100% of the time, he represents the same anti-establishment energy. I definitely see him winning the primary, in which case, bye bye general to whoever the Republican is.
Logged
/
darthebearnc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,367
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #360 on: October 02, 2015, 05:13:34 AM »

Ugh why is Grayson beating Murphy in the polls?

Yeah, he's more liberal, but if Democrats want a Democrat to win then just VOTE FOR MURPHY.

Agh

The FDP doesn't understand and will never understand how to win. If Murphy is nominated and wins the general, it will be in spite of the incompetence of the FDP, not because of any actions they may take to help him in the GE.

How does what I said not make sense? Murphy is much more electable than Grayson in the General Election (as shown by polling), so if Democrats in general want someone from their party to win that Senate seat, it is much more strategic to elect him in the primary.
Logged
Miles
MilesC56
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,325
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #361 on: October 02, 2015, 01:37:48 PM »

McCollum will have a decision next week.
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,230
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #362 on: October 02, 2015, 01:43:07 PM »

Ugh why is Grayson beating Murphy in the polls?

Yeah, he's more liberal, but if Democrats want a Democrat to win then just VOTE FOR MURPHY.

Agh

The FDP doesn't understand and will never understand how to win. If Murphy is nominated and wins the general, it will be in spite of the incompetence of the FDP, not because of any actions they may take to help him in the GE.

How does what I said not make sense? Murphy is much more electable than Grayson in the General Election (as shown by polling), so if Democrats in general want someone from their party to win that Senate seat, it is much more strategic to elect him in the primary.

Florida Dems gonna Florida Dem. It's a futile task trying to find logic in their decisions.
Logged
Atlas Has Shrugged
ChairmanSanchez
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 38,096
United States


Political Matrix
E: 5.29, S: -5.04


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #363 on: October 02, 2015, 02:18:38 PM »

I hope he doesn't run. His time passed nearly twenty years ago.
Logged
windjammer
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,512
France


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #364 on: October 02, 2015, 03:29:12 PM »

Are you serious? His challenger would be ALAN GRAYSON.
Logged
tpfkaw
wormyguy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,118
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.58, S: 1.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #365 on: October 02, 2015, 03:46:13 PM »

Yeah, Alan Grayson is the one to beat (his wife).
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #366 on: October 02, 2015, 04:08:11 PM »

Grayson is really the Democrat Akin. Not because of his ideology, but because he's just a ticking time bomb of dickish things to say, and his general baggage.
Logged
🦀🎂🦀🎂
CrabCake
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,243
Kiribati


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #367 on: October 02, 2015, 05:00:40 PM »

Florida dems, if they're smart need to recruit some other lefty hero to split the vote, or even undermine Grayson entirely.

Unfortunately as you may have noticed I said the phrase "Florida dems, if they're smart"
Logged
Chancellor Tanterterg
Mr. X
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,297
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #368 on: October 03, 2015, 09:41:49 AM »

Grayson is really the Democrat Akin. Not because of his ideology, but because he's just a ticking time bomb of dickish things to say, and his general baggage.

I mean, when you get to the point where the Democrat (Grayson) is so bad that I wouldn't even consider voting for him if I lived in the state...
Logged
Donerail
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,345
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #369 on: October 05, 2015, 09:45:38 AM »
« Edited: October 05, 2015, 09:47:16 AM by SJoyce »

Grayson is capitalizing on the Sanders surge, whether or not he actually stands with Sanders 100% of the time, he represents the same anti-establishment energy. I definitely see him winning the primary, in which case, bye bye general to whoever the Republican is.

Yes, this is correct. I unliked a "Tampa Bay for Sanders" Facebook page after it changed its name to "Tampa Bay for Sanders & Grayson."

Are you serious? His challenger would be ALAN GRAYSON.
I deleted the comment LOL. Seriously, though, Republicans shouldn't get too cocky if Grayson gets the nomination. They will have to fight hard to hold this seat, with or without Grayson. That being said, they would both lose to Atwater, one by 4 or 5 points, the other by 12 points.

I'd be most optimistic about our chances of beating notorious loser Bill McCollum compared to any other of the GOPers.
Logged
windjammer
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,512
France


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #370 on: October 05, 2015, 11:04:54 AM »

Sjoyce honestly, who is more likely to be the dem nominee? I would say Grayson because florida dems are awful but I m not a specialist.
Logged
windjammer
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,512
France


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #371 on: October 05, 2015, 11:05:22 AM »

Sjoyce honestly, who is more likely to be the dem nominee? I would say Grayson because florida dems are awful but I m not a specialist.
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,230
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #372 on: October 05, 2015, 01:57:30 PM »

Libertarian candidate Augustus Sol Invictus admits to sacrificing goat and drinking its blood.

http://www.orlandosentinel.com/features/gone-viral/os-ap-florida-senate-sacrificing-goat-20151005-story.html
Logged
Dereich
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,904


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #373 on: October 05, 2015, 02:19:24 PM »


Damn, just missed on getting this out first. It's such an amazingly Florida news story.

Sjoyce honestly, who is more likely to be the dem nominee? I would say Grayson because florida dems are awful but I m not a specialist.

Not him, but as an admittedly biased Florida poster I'm still saying Grayson. The FL Dems original sin is not understanding the unique nature of the Florida electorate. They count on demographics and Republican mistakes to carry them to wins without any need for them to regulate their behavior themselves. While this works in other states (and with Bill Nelson, who has the advantage of many many GOP mistakes and is himself a good politician) in Florida it just means getting far outperformed by savvier GOP campaigns. For me, it all translates into the FL Dems making lazy and poor decisions when it comes to electibility, which is why I've always considered Murphy doomed.

In this election, Greyson is well known and well liked by large parts of the liberal primary electorate. Murphy is not well known outside his district and political watchers. He doesn't have any signature accomplishments or benefits that I can think of and electibility isn't a primary concern for primary voters; given all that and it being a presidential year (with low information voters who only know Grayson and perhaps people thinking the Presidential election gives more leeway with ideology) I've seen nothing which would put Murphy over the top without a world-class campaign.
Logged
Miles
MilesC56
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,325
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #374 on: October 29, 2015, 11:20:00 AM »

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 10 11 12 13 14 [15] 16 17 18 19 20 ... 43  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.064 seconds with 12 queries.